Win, draw and score chances for Coventry v Palace, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Coventry win | 38.1% |
| Draw | 24.7% |
| Palace win | 37.2% |
| Coventry or draw (1X) | 62.8% |
| Palace or draw (X2) | 61.9% |
| Coventry or Palace (12) | 75.3% |
| Both teams to score | 63.4% |
| Coventry clean sheet | 20.9% |
| Palace clean sheet | 20.5% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Coventry 1-1 Palace | 11.2% |
| Coventry 2-1 Palace | 8.4% |
| Coventry 1-2 Palace | 8.3% |
| Coventry 2-2 Palace | 6.6% |
| Coventry 1-0 Palace | 6.3% |
| Coventry 0-1 Palace | 6.2% |
| Coventry 2-0 Palace | 5.4% |
| Coventry 0-2 Palace | 5.3% |
| Stat | Coventry | Palace | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 | 1.56 | 3.15 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 4.0 | 9.3 |
| Shots | 14.4 | 13.2 | 27.6 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 | 4.2 | 8.8 |
| Yellow cards | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3.2 |
| Fouls | 8.9 | 10.6 | 19.5 |
| Tackles | 12.3 | 16.2 | 28.5 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 4.8% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 82.7% | 17.3% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 39.1% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 38.6% | 61.4% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 21.1% | 79.0% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 70.8% | 29.2% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 45.0% | 55.1% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 32.8% | 67.2% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 22.5% | 77.5% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 14.6% | 85.4% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 96.5% | 3.5% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 91.7% | 8.3% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 83.5% | 16.5% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 71.7% | 28.3% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 57.3% | 42.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 77.0% | 23.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 64.7% | 35.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 38.1% | 61.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 26.6% | 73.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 62.2% | 37.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 22.1% | 77.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 10.6% | 89.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 4.5% | 95.5% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 31.7% | 68.3% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 18.2% | 81.8% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 9.3% | 90.8% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 4.2% | 95.9% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.2% | 0.8% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 97.6% | 2.5% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 93.9% | 6.1% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 87.2% | 12.8% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 76.9% | 23.1% |
Our model makes Coventry favourites in Coventry v Palace on Saturday 21 November, with a 38% chance of a home win, 25% for the draw and 37% for Palace, from projected goals of 1.59 for Coventry and 1.56 for Palace.
The most likely score in Coventry v Palace is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 at 8% and 1-2 at 8%, from our model's projection of 1.59 goals for Coventry and 1.56 for Palace, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 63% of the outcomes our model gives Coventry v Palace, making yes the likelier answer, with Coventry keeping a clean sheet 21% of the time and Palace 20%, from projected goals of 1.59 and 1.56.
Our model projects 3.15 goals in Coventry v Palace, with over 2.5 goals at 61% and over 3.5 at 39%, and two and three goals the likeliest totals at 22% each.
Our model expects 9.3 corners in Coventry v Palace on Saturday 21 November, 5.3 for Coventry and 4.0 for Palace, putting over 8.5 corners at 58% and over 9.5 at 45%.
Our model expects 3.2 yellow cards in Coventry v Palace on Saturday 21 November, 1.2 for Coventry and 2.0 for Palace, putting over 2.5 cards at 62% and over 3.5 at 40%.
The Coventry v Palace simulation turns our projections of 1.59 goals for Coventry and 1.56 for Palace into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.