Win, draw and score chances for Querétaro v Monterrey, with the goals lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Querétaro win | 33.2% |
| Draw | 25.2% |
| Monterrey win | 41.6% |
| Querétaro or draw (1X) | 58.4% |
| Monterrey or draw (X2) | 66.8% |
| Querétaro or Monterrey (12) | 74.8% |
| Both teams to score | 61.0% |
| Querétaro clean sheet | 20.1% |
| Monterrey clean sheet | 24.4% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Querétaro 1-1 Monterrey | 11.6% |
| Querétaro 1-2 Monterrey | 8.9% |
| Querétaro 2-1 Monterrey | 7.8% |
| Querétaro 0-1 Monterrey | 7.3% |
| Querétaro 1-0 Monterrey | 6.4% |
| Querétaro 0-2 Monterrey | 6.3% |
| Querétaro 2-2 Monterrey | 6.3% |
| Querétaro 0-0 Monterrey | 5.5% |
| Stat | Querétaro | Monterrey | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 | 1.61 | 3.02 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 5.5% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 80.9% | 19.1% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 35.7% | 64.3% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 18.8% | 81.2% |
Our model makes Monterrey favourites in Querétaro v Monterrey on Saturday 14 November, with a 42% chance of an away win, 25% for the draw and 33% for Querétaro, from projected goals of 1.61 for Monterrey and 1.41 for Querétaro.
The most likely score in Querétaro v Monterrey is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-2 at 9% and 2-1 at 8%, from our model's projection of 1.41 goals for Querétaro and 1.61 for Monterrey, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 61% of the outcomes our model gives Querétaro v Monterrey, making yes the likelier answer, with Querétaro keeping a clean sheet 20% of the time and Monterrey 24%, from projected goals of 1.41 and 1.61.
Our model projects 3.02 goals in Querétaro v Monterrey, with over 2.5 goals at 58% and over 3.5 at 36%, and two goals the likeliest total at 23%.
The Querétaro v Monterrey simulation turns our projections of 1.41 goals for Querétaro and 1.61 for Monterrey into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.