Win, draw and score chances for Puebla v Atlético San Luis, with the goals lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Puebla win | 36.1% |
| Draw | 27.5% |
| Atlético San Luis win | 36.5% |
| Puebla or draw (1X) | 63.6% |
| Atlético San Luis or draw (X2) | 63.9% |
| Puebla or Atlético San Luis (12) | 72.5% |
| Both teams to score | 54.1% |
| Puebla clean sheet | 26.8% |
| Atlético San Luis clean sheet | 27.0% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Puebla 1-1 Atlético San Luis | 13.1% |
| Puebla 0-1 Atlético San Luis | 8.9% |
| Puebla 1-0 Atlético San Luis | 8.9% |
| Puebla 1-2 Atlético San Luis | 8.2% |
| Puebla 2-1 Atlético San Luis | 8.2% |
| Puebla 0-0 Atlético San Luis | 7.9% |
| Puebla 0-2 Atlético San Luis | 6.3% |
| Puebla 2-0 Atlético San Luis | 6.2% |
| Stat | Puebla | Atlético San Luis | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 | 1.32 | 2.63 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 7.9% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 74.4% | 25.6% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 12.6% | 87.4% |
Our model makes Puebla favourites in Puebla v Atlético San Luis on Saturday 21 November, with a 36% chance of a home win, 28% for the draw and 36% for Atlético San Luis, from projected goals of 1.31 for Puebla and 1.32 for Atlético San Luis.
The most likely score in Puebla v Atlético San Luis is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 at 9% and 1-0 at 9%, from our model's projection of 1.31 goals for Puebla and 1.32 for Atlético San Luis, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 54% of the outcomes our model gives Puebla v Atlético San Luis, making yes the likelier answer, with Puebla keeping a clean sheet 27% of the time and Atlético San Luis 27%, from projected goals of 1.31 and 1.32.
Our model projects 2.63 goals in Puebla v Atlético San Luis, with over 2.5 goals at 49% and over 3.5 at 27%, and two goals the likeliest total at 26%.
The Puebla v Atlético San Luis simulation turns our projections of 1.31 goals for Puebla and 1.32 for Atlético San Luis into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.