Win, draw and score chances for AGF v Lyngby, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| AGF win | 55.3% |
| Draw | 22.1% |
| Lyngby win | 22.6% |
| AGF or draw (1X) | 77.4% |
| Lyngby or draw (X2) | 44.7% |
| AGF or Lyngby (12) | 77.9% |
| Both teams to score | 63.0% |
| AGF clean sheet | 28.3% |
| Lyngby clean sheet | 12.8% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| AGF 1-1 Lyngby | 9.9% |
| AGF 2-1 Lyngby | 9.7% |
| AGF 2-0 Lyngby | 7.7% |
| AGF 1-0 Lyngby | 7.0% |
| AGF 3-1 Lyngby | 6.6% |
| AGF 2-2 Lyngby | 6.1% |
| AGF 1-2 Lyngby | 5.9% |
| AGF 3-0 Lyngby | 5.3% |
| Stat | AGF | Lyngby | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.06 | 1.26 | 3.32 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 4.0 | 9.6 |
| Shots | 17.5 | 11.3 | 28.8 |
| Shots on target | 5.7 | 3.8 | 9.5 |
| Yellow cards | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.6 |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 14.1 | 25.6 |
| Tackles | 13.9 | 16.0 | 30.0 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 4.1% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 84.9% | 15.1% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 64.5% | 35.5% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 24.1% | 75.9% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 74.6% | 25.5% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 37.2% | 62.8% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 26.3% | 73.7% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 17.6% | 82.5% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 97.9% | 2.1% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 94.6% | 5.4% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 88.4% | 11.6% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 78.7% | 21.3% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 65.8% | 34.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 83.8% | 16.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 73.5% | 26.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 61.3% | 38.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 48.3% | 51.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 35.9% | 64.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 69.2% | 30.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 28.8% | 71.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 15.2% | 84.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 7.1% | 92.9% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 78.9% | 21.1% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 65.3% | 34.8% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 49.7% | 50.3% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.6% | 0.4% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 98.7% | 1.3% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 96.4% | 3.6% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 91.8% | 8.2% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 84.1% | 15.9% |
Our model makes AGF favourites in AGF v Lyngby on Friday 20 November, with a 55% chance of a home win, 22% for the draw and 23% for Lyngby, from projected goals of 2.06 for AGF and 1.26 for Lyngby.
The most likely score in AGF v Lyngby is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 at 10% and 2-0 at 8%, from our model's projection of 2.06 goals for AGF and 1.26 for Lyngby, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 63% of the outcomes our model gives AGF v Lyngby, making yes the likelier answer, with AGF keeping a clean sheet 28% of the time and Lyngby 13%, from projected goals of 2.06 and 1.26.
Our model projects 3.32 goals in AGF v Lyngby, with over 2.5 goals at 64% and over 3.5 at 42%, and three goals the likeliest total at 22%.
Our model expects 9.6 corners in AGF v Lyngby on Friday 20 November, 5.6 for AGF and 4.0 for Lyngby, putting over 9.5 corners at 50% and over 10.5 at 37%.
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards in AGF v Lyngby on Friday 20 November, 1.5 for AGF and 2.0 for Lyngby, putting over 3.5 cards at 48% and over 4.5 at 29%.
The AGF v Lyngby simulation turns our projections of 2.06 goals for AGF and 1.26 for Lyngby into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.