Win, draw and score chances for Georgia v Hungary, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Georgia win | 34.8% |
| Draw | 27.4% |
| Hungary win | 37.8% |
| Georgia or draw (1X) | 62.2% |
| Hungary or draw (X2) | 65.2% |
| Georgia or Hungary (12) | 72.6% |
| Both teams to score | 49.7% |
| Georgia clean sheet | 28.6% |
| Hungary clean sheet | 30.4% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Georgia 1-1 Hungary | 13.0% |
| Georgia 0-1 Hungary | 10.9% |
| Georgia 1-0 Hungary | 10.4% |
| Georgia 0-0 Hungary | 8.7% |
| Georgia 1-2 Hungary | 8.1% |
| Georgia 2-1 Hungary | 7.7% |
| Georgia 0-2 Hungary | 6.8% |
| Georgia 2-0 Hungary | 6.2% |
| Stat | Georgia | Hungary | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 | 1.25 | 2.44 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 4.6 | 8.7 |
| Shots | 11.4 | 12.9 | 24.3 |
| Shots on target | 3.9 | 4.3 | 8.2 |
| Yellow cards | 2.2 | 2.3 | 4.5 |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 14.1 | 27.8 |
| Tackles | 14.0 | 15.9 | 30.0 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 91.3% | 8.7% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 70.1% | 29.9% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 44.1% | 55.9% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 10.1% | 89.9% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 64.1% | 35.9% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 37.4% | 62.6% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 26.0% | 74.0% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 10.4% | 89.6% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 88.3% | 11.7% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 77.5% | 22.5% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 63.1% | 36.9% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 31.8% | 68.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 71.3% | 28.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 43.8% | 56.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 31.1% | 68.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 20.7% | 79.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 66.3% | 33.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 47.4% | 52.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 30.2% | 69.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 17.3% | 82.7% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 94.8% | 5.2% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 88.6% | 11.5% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 78.7% | 21.3% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 65.6% | 34.4% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 50.6% | 49.4% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.6% | 0.4% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 98.7% | 1.3% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 96.5% | 3.6% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 91.9% | 8.1% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 84.2% | 15.8% |
Our model makes Hungary favourites in Georgia v Hungary on Saturday 14 November, with a 38% chance of an away win, 27% for the draw and 35% for Georgia, from projected goals of 1.25 for Hungary and 1.19 for Georgia.
The most likely score in Georgia v Hungary is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 at 11% and 1-0 at 10%, from our model's projection of 1.19 goals for Georgia and 1.25 for Hungary, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Georgia v Hungary, at 50% yes and 50% no, with Georgia keeping a clean sheet 29% of the time and Hungary 30%, from projected goals of 1.19 and 1.25.
Our model projects 2.44 goals in Georgia v Hungary, with over 1.5 goals at 70% and over 2.5 at 44%, and two goals the likeliest total at 26%.
Our model expects 8.7 corners in Georgia v Hungary on Saturday 14 November, 4.1 for Georgia and 4.6 for Hungary, putting over 8.5 corners at 51% and over 9.5 at 37%.
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards in Georgia v Hungary on Saturday 14 November, 2.2 for Georgia and 2.3 for Hungary, putting over 4.5 cards at 47% and over 5.5 at 30%.
The Georgia v Hungary simulation turns our projections of 1.19 goals for Georgia and 1.25 for Hungary into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.