Win, draw and score chances for Austria v Republic of Ireland, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Austria win | 59.7% |
| Draw | 22.8% |
| Republic of Ireland win | 17.6% |
| Austria or draw (1X) | 82.4% |
| Republic of Ireland or draw (X2) | 40.3% |
| Austria or Republic of Ireland (12) | 77.2% |
| Both teams to score | 48.2% |
| Austria clean sheet | 42.3% |
| Republic of Ireland clean sheet | 16.5% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Austria 1-0 Republic of Ireland | 12.6% |
| Austria 2-0 Republic of Ireland | 11.3% |
| Austria 1-1 Republic of Ireland | 10.8% |
| Austria 2-1 Republic of Ireland | 9.8% |
| Austria 0-0 Republic of Ireland | 7.0% |
| Austria 3-0 Republic of Ireland | 6.8% |
| Austria 0-1 Republic of Ireland | 6.0% |
| Austria 3-1 Republic of Ireland | 5.9% |
| Stat | Austria | Republic of Ireland | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.80 | 0.86 | 2.66 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 3.8 | 8.4 |
| Shots | 15.2 | 8.7 | 23.9 |
| Shots on target | 5.6 | 3.0 | 8.6 |
| Yellow cards | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3.7 |
| Fouls | 13.7 | 11.1 | 24.8 |
| Tackles | 14.9 | 13.8 | 28.7 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 74.5% | 25.5% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 27.8% | 72.2% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 13.2% | 86.8% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 45.7% | 54.3% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 32.9% | 67.1% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 22.1% | 77.9% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 14.0% | 86.1% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 8.3% | 91.7% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 86.6% | 13.4% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 74.9% | 25.1% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 59.8% | 40.2% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 43.6% | 56.4% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 28.7% | 71.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 75.2% | 24.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 62.5% | 37.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 35.7% | 64.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 24.5% | 75.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 31.9% | 68.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 17.4% | 82.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 8.5% | 91.5% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 85.6% | 14.4% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 73.8% | 26.2% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 58.8% | 41.2% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 42.8% | 57.2% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 28.3% | 71.7% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.3% | 0.7% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 97.8% | 2.2% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 94.4% | 5.6% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 88.1% | 11.9% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 78.2% | 21.8% |
Our model makes Austria favourites in Austria v Republic of Ireland on Saturday 14 November, with a 60% chance of a home win, 23% for the draw and 17% for Republic of Ireland, from projected goals of 1.80 for Austria and 0.86 for Republic of Ireland.
The most likely score in Austria v Republic of Ireland is 1-0 at 13%, ahead of 2-0 at 11% and 1-1 at 11%, from our model's projection of 1.80 goals for Austria and 0.86 for Republic of Ireland, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Austria v Republic of Ireland, at 48% yes and 52% no, with Austria keeping a clean sheet 42% of the time and Republic of Ireland 16%, from projected goals of 1.80 and 0.86.
Our model projects 2.66 goals in Austria v Republic of Ireland, with over 2.5 goals at 50% and over 3.5 at 28%, and two goals the likeliest total at 25%.
Our model expects 8.4 corners in Austria v Republic of Ireland on Saturday 14 November, 4.6 for Austria and 3.8 for Republic of Ireland, putting over 7.5 corners at 60% and over 8.5 at 46%.
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards in Austria v Republic of Ireland on Saturday 14 November, 1.7 for Austria and 2.1 for Republic of Ireland, putting over 3.5 cards at 51% and over 4.5 at 32%.
The Austria v Republic of Ireland simulation turns our projections of 1.80 goals for Austria and 0.86 for Republic of Ireland into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.