Win, draw and score chances for Switzerland v Scotland, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Switzerland win | 60.8% |
| Draw | 22.9% |
| Scotland win | 16.3% |
| Switzerland or draw (1X) | 83.7% |
| Scotland or draw (X2) | 39.2% |
| Switzerland or Scotland (12) | 77.1% |
| Both teams to score | 45.4% |
| Switzerland clean sheet | 45.3% |
| Scotland clean sheet | 17.0% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Switzerland 1-0 Scotland | 13.6% |
| Switzerland 2-0 Scotland | 12.1% |
| Switzerland 1-1 Scotland | 10.8% |
| Switzerland 2-1 Scotland | 9.6% |
| Switzerland 0-0 Scotland | 7.7% |
| Switzerland 3-0 Scotland | 7.2% |
| Switzerland 0-1 Scotland | 6.1% |
| Switzerland 3-1 Scotland | 5.7% |
| Stat | Switzerland | Scotland | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 | 0.79 | 2.57 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 4.4 | 9.3 |
| Shots | 12.4 | 7.9 | 20.2 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 2.8 | 7.4 |
| Yellow cards | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3.6 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 11.9 | 23.7 |
| Tackles | 12.9 | 13.4 | 26.3 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 7.7% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 72.6% | 27.4% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 25.7% | 74.3% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 11.8% | 88.2% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 71.4% | 28.7% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 58.7% | 41.3% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 45.6% | 54.4% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 15.0% | 85.0% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 63.9% | 36.1% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 46.3% | 53.8% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 29.8% | 70.2% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 17.1% | 82.9% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 8.7% | 91.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 61.3% | 38.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 32.9% | 67.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 21.6% | 78.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 13.2% | 86.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 69.3% | 30.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 28.9% | 71.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 15.3% | 84.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 7.1% | 92.9% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 80.2% | 19.8% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 66.3% | 33.8% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 34.3% | 65.7% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 21.2% | 78.8% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 97.8% | 2.2% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 94.3% | 5.7% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 87.4% | 12.6% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 76.8% | 23.3% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 62.8% | 37.2% |
Our model makes Switzerland favourites in Switzerland v Scotland on Monday 16 November, with a 61% chance of a home win, 23% for the draw and 16% for Scotland, from projected goals of 1.77 for Switzerland and 0.79 for Scotland.
The most likely score in Switzerland v Scotland is 1-0 at 14%, ahead of 2-0 at 12% and 1-1 at 11%, from our model's projection of 1.77 goals for Switzerland and 0.79 for Scotland, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Switzerland v Scotland, at 45% yes and 55% no, with Switzerland keeping a clean sheet 45% of the time and Scotland 17%, from projected goals of 1.77 and 0.79.
Our model projects 2.57 goals in Switzerland v Scotland, with over 2.5 goals at 47% and over 3.5 at 26%, and two goals the likeliest total at 25%.
Our model expects 9.3 corners in Switzerland v Scotland on Monday 16 November, 5.0 for Switzerland and 4.4 for Scotland, putting over 8.5 corners at 59% and over 9.5 at 46%.
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards in Switzerland v Scotland on Monday 16 November, 1.8 for Switzerland and 1.8 for Scotland, putting over 3.5 cards at 48% and over 4.5 at 29%.
The Switzerland v Scotland simulation turns our projections of 1.77 goals for Switzerland and 0.79 for Scotland into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.