Win, draw and score chances for Israel v Austria, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Israel win | 18.8% |
| Draw | 21.1% |
| Austria win | 60.1% |
| Israel or draw (1X) | 39.9% |
| Austria or draw (X2) | 81.2% |
| Israel or Austria (12) | 78.9% |
| Both teams to score | 55.9% |
| Israel clean sheet | 13.3% |
| Austria clean sheet | 35.5% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Israel 1-2 Austria | 10.0% |
| Israel 1-1 Austria | 9.9% |
| Israel 0-2 Austria | 9.6% |
| Israel 0-1 Austria | 9.5% |
| Israel 1-3 Austria | 6.7% |
| Israel 0-3 Austria | 6.5% |
| Israel 2-2 Austria | 5.2% |
| Israel 2-1 Austria | 5.1% |
| Stat | Israel | Austria | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 | 2.02 | 3.05 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 4.3 | 8.3 |
| Shots | 8.7 | 13.0 | 21.7 |
| Shots on target | 3.1 | 5.2 | 8.3 |
| Yellow cards | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3.3 |
| Fouls | 9.3 | 11.7 | 21.0 |
| Tackles | 14.7 | 15.3 | 30.0 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 4.7% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 80.8% | 19.2% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 41.2% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 36.4% | 63.6% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 19.4% | 80.7% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 44.2% | 55.8% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 31.5% | 68.5% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 21.0% | 79.1% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 13.1% | 86.9% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 7.7% | 92.4% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 74.7% | 25.3% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 58.7% | 41.3% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 26.5% | 73.5% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 15.1% | 84.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 71.8% | 28.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 44.4% | 55.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 31.6% | 68.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 21.1% | 78.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 40.8% | 59.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 22.8% | 77.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 11.1% | 88.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 4.8% | 95.2% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 61.3% | 38.7% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 43.9% | 56.1% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 28.1% | 71.9% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 16.0% | 84.0% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 8.1% | 91.9% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.6% | 0.4% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 98.7% | 1.3% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 96.4% | 3.6% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 91.9% | 8.2% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 84.1% | 15.9% |
Our model makes Austria favourites in Israel v Austria on Tuesday 17 November, with a 60% chance of an away win, 21% for the draw and 19% for Israel, from projected goals of 2.02 for Austria and 1.04 for Israel.
The most likely score in Israel v Austria is 1-2 at 10%, ahead of 1-1 at 10% and 0-2 at 10%, from our model's projection of 1.04 goals for Israel and 2.02 for Austria, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 56% of the outcomes our model gives Israel v Austria, making yes the likelier answer, with Israel keeping a clean sheet 13% of the time and Austria 36%, from projected goals of 1.04 and 2.02.
Our model projects 3.05 goals in Israel v Austria, with over 2.5 goals at 59% and over 3.5 at 36%, and two and three goals the likeliest totals at 22% each.
Our model expects 8.3 corners in Israel v Austria on Tuesday 17 November, 4.0 for Israel and 4.3 for Austria, putting over 7.5 corners at 58% and over 8.5 at 44%.
Our model expects 3.3 yellow cards in Israel v Austria on Tuesday 17 November, 1.6 for Israel and 1.7 for Austria, putting over 2.5 cards at 63% and over 3.5 at 41%.
The Israel v Austria simulation turns our projections of 1.04 goals for Israel and 2.02 for Austria into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.