Win, draw and score chances for Republic of Ireland v Kosovo, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 13 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Republic of Ireland win | 47.6% |
| Draw | 27.8% |
| Kosovo win | 24.6% |
| Republic of Ireland or draw (1X) | 75.4% |
| Kosovo or draw (X2) | 52.4% |
| Republic of Ireland or Kosovo (12) | 72.2% |
| Both teams to score | 43.7% |
| Republic of Ireland clean sheet | 41.1% |
| Kosovo clean sheet | 25.8% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Republic of Ireland 1-0 Kosovo | 14.4% |
| Republic of Ireland 1-1 Kosovo | 12.8% |
| Republic of Ireland 0-0 Kosovo | 10.6% |
| Republic of Ireland 2-0 Kosovo | 9.7% |
| Republic of Ireland 0-1 Kosovo | 9.4% |
| Republic of Ireland 2-1 Kosovo | 8.7% |
| Republic of Ireland 1-2 Kosovo | 5.7% |
| Republic of Ireland 3-0 Kosovo | 4.4% |
| Stat | Republic of Ireland | Kosovo | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 | 0.89 | 2.24 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 3.9 | 8.3 |
| Shots | 9.9 | 8.8 | 18.7 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 3.2 | 6.8 |
| Yellow cards | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3.9 |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 10.8 | 21.9 |
| Tackles | 12.6 | 14.1 | 26.8 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 89.4% | 10.6% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 65.6% | 34.4% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 38.9% | 61.1% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 18.9% | 81.1% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 7.7% | 92.3% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 45.4% | 54.6% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 32.5% | 67.5% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 21.8% | 78.2% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 13.7% | 86.3% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 8.1% | 91.9% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 32.3% | 67.7% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 18.4% | 81.6% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 9.2% | 90.8% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 4.1% | 96.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 24.4% | 75.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 14.9% | 85.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 8.4% | 91.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 74.2% | 25.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 19.5% | 80.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 9.7% | 90.3% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 68.6% | 31.4% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 35.4% | 64.6% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 21.6% | 78.4% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 11.8% | 88.2% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 98.2% | 1.8% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 95.2% | 4.9% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 89.1% | 10.9% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 79.3% | 20.7% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 66.0% | 34.0% |
Our model makes Republic of Ireland favourites in Republic of Ireland v Kosovo on Tuesday 17 November, with a 48% chance of a home win, 28% for the draw and 24% for Kosovo, from projected goals of 1.36 for Republic of Ireland and 0.89 for Kosovo.
The most likely score in Republic of Ireland v Kosovo is 1-0 at 14%, ahead of 1-1 at 13% and 0-0 at 11%, from our model's projection of 1.36 goals for Republic of Ireland and 0.89 for Kosovo, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Our model leans against both teams scoring in Republic of Ireland v Kosovo, at 44% yes and 56% no, with Republic of Ireland keeping a clean sheet 41% of the time and Kosovo 26%, from projected goals of 1.36 and 0.89.
Our model projects 2.24 goals in Republic of Ireland v Kosovo, with over 1.5 goals at 66% and over 2.5 at 39%, and two goals the likeliest total at 27%.
Our model expects 8.3 corners in Republic of Ireland v Kosovo on Tuesday 17 November, 4.5 for Republic of Ireland and 3.9 for Kosovo, putting over 7.5 corners at 59% and over 8.5 at 45%.
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards in Republic of Ireland v Kosovo on Tuesday 17 November, 2.0 for Republic of Ireland and 1.9 for Kosovo, putting over 3.5 cards at 54% and over 4.5 at 35%.
The Republic of Ireland v Kosovo simulation turns our projections of 1.36 goals for Republic of Ireland and 0.89 for Kosovo into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.