Win, draw and score chances for AIK v Degerfors, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| AIK win | 52.7% |
| Draw | 22.9% |
| Degerfors win | 24.3% |
| AIK or draw (1X) | 75.7% |
| Degerfors or draw (X2) | 47.3% |
| AIK or Degerfors (12) | 77.1% |
| Both teams to score | 62.4% |
| AIK clean sheet | 27.9% |
| Degerfors clean sheet | 14.2% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| AIK 1-1 Degerfors | 10.4% |
| AIK 2-1 Degerfors | 9.6% |
| AIK 2-0 Degerfors | 7.6% |
| AIK 1-0 Degerfors | 7.2% |
| AIK 1-2 Degerfors | 6.3% |
| AIK 3-1 Degerfors | 6.3% |
| AIK 2-2 Degerfors | 6.2% |
| AIK 3-0 Degerfors | 4.9% |
| Stat | AIK | Degerfors | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.95 | 1.28 | 3.23 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 4.2 | 9.7 |
| Shots | 17.7 | 12.5 | 30.2 |
| Shots on target | 6.0 | 4.4 | 10.3 |
| Yellow cards | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 12.3 | 24.1 |
| Tackles | 15.6 | 16.8 | 32.5 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 4.4% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 83.8% | 16.2% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 62.7% | 37.4% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 22.5% | 77.5% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 63.1% | 36.9% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 37.8% | 62.2% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 26.8% | 73.2% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 18.0% | 82.0% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 98.8% | 1.2% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 96.7% | 3.3% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 92.5% | 7.5% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 85.1% | 14.9% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 74.5% | 25.5% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 88.8% | 11.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 80.6% | 19.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 70.1% | 29.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 45.6% | 54.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 37.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 40.2% | 59.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 22.3% | 77.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 10.8% | 89.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 4.6% | 95.4% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 82.3% | 17.7% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 23.6% | 76.4% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 99.6% | 0.4% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 98.7% | 1.3% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 96.6% | 3.5% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 92.3% | 7.7% |
Our model makes AIK favourites in AIK v Degerfors on Saturday 21 November, with a 53% chance of a home win, 23% for the draw and 24% for Degerfors, from projected goals of 1.95 for AIK and 1.28 for Degerfors.
The most likely score in AIK v Degerfors is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 at 10% and 2-0 at 8%, from our model's projection of 1.95 goals for AIK and 1.28 for Degerfors, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 62% of the outcomes our model gives AIK v Degerfors, making yes the likelier answer, with AIK keeping a clean sheet 28% of the time and Degerfors 14%, from projected goals of 1.95 and 1.28.
Our model projects 3.23 goals in AIK v Degerfors, with over 2.5 goals at 63% and over 3.5 at 40%, and three goals the likeliest total at 22%.
Our model expects 9.7 corners in AIK v Degerfors on Saturday 21 November, 5.5 for AIK and 4.2 for Degerfors, putting over 9.5 corners at 50% and over 10.5 at 38%.
Our model expects 3.2 yellow cards in AIK v Degerfors on Saturday 21 November, 1.6 for AIK and 1.7 for Degerfors, putting over 2.5 cards at 62% and over 3.5 at 40%.
The AIK v Degerfors simulation turns our projections of 1.95 goals for AIK and 1.28 for Degerfors into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.