Win, draw and score chances for Mjällby v Malmö FF, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Mjällby win | 35.8% |
| Draw | 27.5% |
| Malmö FF win | 36.8% |
| Mjällby or draw (1X) | 63.3% |
| Malmö FF or draw (X2) | 64.2% |
| Mjällby or Malmö FF (12) | 72.5% |
| Both teams to score | 54.1% |
| Mjällby clean sheet | 26.6% |
| Malmö FF clean sheet | 27.2% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Mjällby 1-1 Malmö FF | 13.1% |
| Mjällby 0-1 Malmö FF | 9.0% |
| Mjällby 1-0 Malmö FF | 8.8% |
| Mjällby 1-2 Malmö FF | 8.3% |
| Mjällby 2-1 Malmö FF | 8.1% |
| Mjällby 0-0 Malmö FF | 7.9% |
| Mjällby 0-2 Malmö FF | 6.3% |
| Mjällby 2-0 Malmö FF | 6.1% |
| Stat | Mjällby | Malmö FF | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 | 1.32 | 2.63 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 4.6 | 10.2 |
| Shots | 13.4 | 13.0 | 26.4 |
| Shots on target | 4.3 | 4.3 | 8.5 |
| Yellow cards | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3.5 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 13.7 | 26.1 |
| Tackles | 15.3 | 17.6 | 33.0 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 7.9% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 74.4% | 25.6% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 12.6% | 87.4% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 79.9% | 20.1% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 69.2% | 30.8% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 57.0% | 43.1% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 32.9% | 67.1% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 94.5% | 5.5% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 87.8% | 12.2% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 77.3% | 22.7% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 74.7% | 25.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 61.9% | 38.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 35.1% | 64.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 24.0% | 76.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 67.4% | 32.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 45.8% | 54.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 13.9% | 86.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 6.3% | 93.7% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 90.6% | 9.4% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 81.4% | 18.6% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 68.5% | 31.5% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 99.7% | 0.3% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 98.9% | 1.1% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 97.1% | 2.9% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 93.5% | 6.5% |
Our model makes Malmö FF favourites in Mjällby v Malmö FF on Saturday 21 November, with a 37% chance of an away win, 27% for the draw and 36% for Mjällby, from projected goals of 1.32 for Malmö FF and 1.30 for Mjällby.
The most likely score in Mjällby v Malmö FF is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 at 9% and 1-0 at 9%, from our model's projection of 1.30 goals for Mjällby and 1.32 for Malmö FF, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 54% of the outcomes our model gives Mjällby v Malmö FF, making yes the likelier answer, with Mjällby keeping a clean sheet 27% of the time and Malmö FF 27%, from projected goals of 1.30 and 1.32.
Our model projects 2.63 goals in Mjällby v Malmö FF, with over 2.5 goals at 49% and over 3.5 at 27%, and two goals the likeliest total at 26%.
Our model expects 10.2 corners in Mjällby v Malmö FF on Saturday 21 November, 5.6 for Mjällby and 4.6 for Malmö FF, putting over 9.5 corners at 57% and over 10.5 at 44%.
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards in Mjällby v Malmö FF on Saturday 21 November, 1.6 for Mjällby and 1.8 for Malmö FF, putting over 2.5 cards at 67% and over 3.5 at 46%.
The Mjällby v Malmö FF simulation turns our projections of 1.30 goals for Mjällby and 1.32 for Malmö FF into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.