Win, draw and score chances for Tromsø v Viking, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Tromsø win | 30.1% |
| Draw | 23.6% |
| Viking win | 46.3% |
| Tromsø or draw (1X) | 53.7% |
| Viking or draw (X2) | 69.9% |
| Tromsø or Viking (12) | 76.4% |
| Both teams to score | 64.9% |
| Tromsø clean sheet | 15.9% |
| Viking clean sheet | 23.4% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Tromsø 1-1 Viking | 10.4% |
| Tromsø 1-2 Viking | 9.1% |
| Tromsø 2-1 Viking | 7.2% |
| Tromsø 2-2 Viking | 6.6% |
| Tromsø 0-1 Viking | 6.4% |
| Tromsø 0-2 Viking | 6.3% |
| Tromsø 1-3 Viking | 5.6% |
| Tromsø 1-0 Viking | 4.9% |
| Stat | Tromsø | Viking | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 | 1.84 | 3.29 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 4.8 | 9.6 |
| Shots | 13.7 | 13.8 | 27.6 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 | 4.7 | 9.1 |
| Yellow cards | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3.5 |
| Fouls | 12.0 | 11.1 | 23.1 |
| Tackles | 12.8 | 14.6 | 27.4 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 4.2% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 84.5% | 15.5% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 63.9% | 36.1% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 41.8% | 58.2% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 23.6% | 76.4% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 74.5% | 25.5% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 62.4% | 37.6% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 37.1% | 62.9% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 26.2% | 73.8% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 17.5% | 82.5% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 96.4% | 3.6% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 91.6% | 8.4% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 83.2% | 16.8% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 71.3% | 28.7% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 56.8% | 43.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 80.6% | 19.4% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 69.3% | 30.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 56.3% | 43.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 43.1% | 56.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 31.1% | 68.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 68.1% | 31.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 27.7% | 72.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 14.4% | 85.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 6.6% | 93.4% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 76.9% | 23.1% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 61.9% | 38.1% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 45.4% | 54.6% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 17.9% | 82.1% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 98.7% | 1.3% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 96.2% | 3.8% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 91.1% | 8.9% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 82.5% | 17.5% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 70.3% | 29.7% |
Our model makes Viking favourites in Tromsø v Viking on Saturday 21 November, with a 46% chance of an away win, 24% for the draw and 30% for Tromsø, from projected goals of 1.84 for Viking and 1.45 for Tromsø.
The most likely score in Tromsø v Viking is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 1-2 at 9% and 2-1 at 7%, from our model's projection of 1.45 goals for Tromsø and 1.84 for Viking, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 65% of the outcomes our model gives Tromsø v Viking, making yes the likelier answer, with Tromsø keeping a clean sheet 16% of the time and Viking 23%, from projected goals of 1.45 and 1.84.
Our model projects 3.29 goals in Tromsø v Viking, with over 2.5 goals at 64% and over 3.5 at 42%, and three goals the likeliest total at 22%.
Our model expects 9.6 corners in Tromsø v Viking on Saturday 21 November, 4.8 for Tromsø and 4.8 for Viking, putting over 9.5 corners at 50% and over 10.5 at 37%.
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards in Tromsø v Viking on Saturday 21 November, 1.7 for Tromsø and 1.8 for Viking, putting over 3.5 cards at 47% and over 4.5 at 28%.
The Tromsø v Viking simulation turns our projections of 1.45 goals for Tromsø and 1.84 for Viking into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.