Win, draw and score chances for Flamengo v Athletico PR, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Flamengo win | 73.0% |
| Draw | 17.6% |
| Athletico PR win | 9.4% |
| Flamengo or draw (1X) | 90.6% |
| Athletico PR or draw (X2) | 27.0% |
| Flamengo or Athletico PR (12) | 82.4% |
| Both teams to score | 50.9% |
| Flamengo clean sheet | 45.1% |
| Athletico PR clean sheet | 8.6% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Flamengo 2-0 Athletico PR | 11.7% |
| Flamengo 3-0 Athletico PR | 9.5% |
| Flamengo 2-1 Athletico PR | 9.3% |
| Flamengo 1-0 Athletico PR | 8.8% |
| Flamengo 1-1 Athletico PR | 8.4% |
| Flamengo 3-1 Athletico PR | 7.6% |
| Flamengo 4-0 Athletico PR | 5.9% |
| Flamengo 4-1 Athletico PR | 4.7% |
| Stat | Flamengo | Athletico PR | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.45 | 0.80 | 3.25 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 3.9 | 10.4 |
| Shots | 23.3 | 9.6 | 32.8 |
| Shots on target | 7.7 | 3.3 | 10.9 |
| Yellow cards | 2.0 | 2.2 | 4.2 |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 13.3 | 24.7 |
| Tackles | 14.0 | 14.8 | 28.7 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 4.7% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 84.2% | 15.8% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 40.8% | 59.2% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 22.8% | 77.2% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 81.7% | 18.3% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 71.5% | 28.5% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 35.5% | 64.5% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 25.2% | 74.8% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 99.7% | 0.4% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 98.9% | 1.1% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 97.0% | 3.0% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 93.2% | 6.8% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 86.7% | 13.3% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 91.9% | 8.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 85.3% | 14.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 76.2% | 23.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 65.2% | 34.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 78.7% | 21.3% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 40.6% | 59.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 24.3% | 75.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 13.0% | 87.0% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 85.4% | 14.6% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 73.4% | 26.6% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 27.9% | 72.1% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.3% | 0.7% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 97.8% | 2.2% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 94.4% | 5.6% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 88.1% | 11.9% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 78.2% | 21.8% |
Our model makes Flamengo favourites in Flamengo v Athletico PR on Wednesday 18 November, with a 73% chance of a home win, 18% for the draw and 9% for Athletico PR, from projected goals of 2.45 for Flamengo and 0.80 for Athletico PR.
The most likely score in Flamengo v Athletico PR is 2-0 at 12%, ahead of 3-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 9%, from our model's projection of 2.45 goals for Flamengo and 0.80 for Athletico PR, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 51% of the outcomes our model gives Flamengo v Athletico PR, making yes the likelier answer, with Flamengo keeping a clean sheet 45% of the time and Athletico PR 9%, from projected goals of 2.45 and 0.80.
Our model projects 3.25 goals in Flamengo v Athletico PR, with over 2.5 goals at 63% and over 3.5 at 41%, and three goals the likeliest total at 22%.
Our model expects 10.4 corners in Flamengo v Athletico PR on Wednesday 18 November, 6.6 for Flamengo and 3.9 for Athletico PR, putting over 9.5 corners at 60% and over 10.5 at 47%.
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards in Flamengo v Athletico PR on Wednesday 18 November, 2.0 for Flamengo and 2.2 for Athletico PR, putting over 3.5 cards at 60% and over 4.5 at 41%.
The Flamengo v Athletico PR simulation turns our projections of 2.45 goals for Flamengo and 0.80 for Athletico PR into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.