Win, draw and score chances for Vasco v Internacional, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Vasco win | 56.6% |
| Draw | 24.9% |
| Internacional win | 18.5% |
| Vasco or draw (1X) | 81.5% |
| Internacional or draw (X2) | 43.4% |
| Vasco or Internacional (12) | 75.1% |
| Both teams to score | 52.9% |
| Vasco clean sheet | 38.2% |
| Internacional clean sheet | 16.1% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Vasco 1-1 Internacional | 11.9% |
| Vasco 2-0 Internacional | 10.3% |
| Vasco 1-0 Internacional | 10.2% |
| Vasco 2-1 Internacional | 9.9% |
| Vasco 0-0 Internacional | 7.2% |
| Vasco 3-0 Internacional | 6.3% |
| Vasco 3-1 Internacional | 6.0% |
| Vasco 1-2 Internacional | 5.2% |
| Stat | Vasco | Internacional | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 | 0.96 | 2.79 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 4.1 | 9.7 |
| Shots | 19.3 | 11.0 | 30.3 |
| Shots on target | 6.1 | 3.6 | 9.7 |
| Yellow cards | 2.0 | 2.1 | 4.2 |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 14.4 | 28.2 |
| Tackles | 15.5 | 16.5 | 32.0 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 7.2% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 77.8% | 22.2% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 47.2% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 30.5% | 69.5% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 15.1% | 85.0% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 75.2% | 24.9% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 63.2% | 36.8% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 50.4% | 49.6% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 38.0% | 62.1% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 18.1% | 81.9% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 98.9% | 1.1% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 96.8% | 3.2% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 92.7% | 7.4% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 85.4% | 14.6% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 74.9% | 25.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 84.9% | 15.1% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 75.1% | 24.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 63.2% | 36.8% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 37.9% | 62.1% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 78.4% | 21.6% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 40.1% | 59.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 24.0% | 76.0% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 12.8% | 87.3% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 95.5% | 4.5% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 90.0% | 10.0% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 80.9% | 19.1% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 68.5% | 31.5% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 99.9% | 0.1% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 99.5% | 0.5% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 98.4% | 1.6% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 95.9% | 4.1% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 91.2% | 8.8% |
Our model makes Vasco favourites in Vasco v Internacional on Thursday 19 November, with a 57% chance of a home win, 25% for the draw and 18% for Internacional, from projected goals of 1.83 for Vasco and 0.96 for Internacional.
The most likely score in Vasco v Internacional is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-0 at 10% and 1-0 at 10%, from our model's projection of 1.83 goals for Vasco and 0.96 for Internacional, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 53% of the outcomes our model gives Vasco v Internacional, making yes the likelier answer, with Vasco keeping a clean sheet 38% of the time and Internacional 16%, from projected goals of 1.83 and 0.96.
Our model projects 2.79 goals in Vasco v Internacional, with over 2.5 goals at 53% and over 3.5 at 31%, and two goals the likeliest total at 25%.
Our model expects 9.7 corners in Vasco v Internacional on Thursday 19 November, 5.6 for Vasco and 4.1 for Internacional, putting over 9.5 corners at 50% and over 10.5 at 38%.
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards in Vasco v Internacional on Thursday 19 November, 2.0 for Vasco and 2.1 for Internacional, putting over 3.5 cards at 60% and over 4.5 at 40%.
The Vasco v Internacional simulation turns our projections of 1.83 goals for Vasco and 0.96 for Internacional into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.