Win, draw and score chances for Remo v Chapecoense, with the goals, corners, shots and cards lines, from our projection model.
Updated 14 November 2026, with the latest team projections.
| Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|
| Remo win | 54.7% |
| Draw | 25.5% |
| Chapecoense win | 19.8% |
| Remo or draw (1X) | 80.2% |
| Chapecoense or draw (X2) | 45.3% |
| Remo or Chapecoense (12) | 74.6% |
| Both teams to score | 53.5% |
| Remo clean sheet | 37.0% |
| Chapecoense clean sheet | 16.9% |
| Score | Chance |
|---|---|
| Remo 1-1 Chapecoense | 12.1% |
| Remo 1-0 Chapecoense | 10.0% |
| Remo 2-0 Chapecoense | 9.9% |
| Remo 2-1 Chapecoense | 9.8% |
| Remo 0-0 Chapecoense | 7.3% |
| Remo 3-0 Chapecoense | 5.9% |
| Remo 3-1 Chapecoense | 5.8% |
| Remo 1-2 Chapecoense | 5.5% |
| Stat | Remo | Chapecoense | Match total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 | 0.99 | 2.78 |
| Corners | 6.5 | 4.6 | 11.1 |
| Shots | 18.9 | 11.3 | 30.1 |
| Shots on target | 6.5 | 3.6 | 10.0 |
| Yellow cards | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 13.0 | 23.9 |
| Tackles | 14.1 | 12.9 | 27.1 |
| Stat | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 7.3% |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 77.6% | 22.4% |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 30.3% | 69.7% |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 14.9% | 85.2% |
| Corners | Over 7.5 | 86.3% | 13.7% |
| Corners | Over 8.5 | 77.6% | 22.4% |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 66.9% | 33.1% |
| Corners | Over 10.5 | 55.1% | 44.9% |
| Corners | Over 11.5 | 43.2% | 56.9% |
| Corners | Over 12.5 | 32.1% | 67.9% |
| Shots | Over 18.5 | 98.8% | 1.2% |
| Shots | Over 20.5 | 96.7% | 3.3% |
| Shots | Over 22.5 | 92.3% | 7.7% |
| Shots | Over 24.5 | 84.9% | 15.1% |
| Shots | Over 26.5 | 74.1% | 25.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 6.5 | 87.1% | 12.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 7.5 | 78.1% | 21.9% |
| Shots on target | Over 8.5 | 66.9% | 33.2% |
| Shots on target | Over 9.5 | 54.4% | 45.6% |
| Shots on target | Over 10.5 | 41.9% | 58.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 2.5 | 66.3% | 33.7% |
| Yellow cards | Over 3.5 | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Yellow cards | Over 4.5 | 25.8% | 74.2% |
| Yellow cards | Over 5.5 | 13.1% | 86.9% |
| Yellow cards | Over 6.5 | 5.9% | 94.1% |
| Fouls | Over 19.5 | 81.7% | 18.3% |
| Fouls | Over 21.5 | 68.2% | 31.8% |
| Fouls | Over 23.5 | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| Fouls | Over 25.5 | 36.4% | 63.7% |
| Fouls | Over 27.5 | 22.9% | 77.2% |
| Tackles | Over 16.5 | 98.5% | 1.6% |
| Tackles | Over 18.5 | 95.7% | 4.3% |
| Tackles | Over 20.5 | 90.1% | 9.9% |
| Tackles | Over 22.5 | 80.9% | 19.2% |
| Tackles | Over 24.5 | 68.1% | 31.9% |
Our model makes Remo favourites in Remo v Chapecoense on Wednesday 18 November, with a 55% chance of a home win, 25% for the draw and 20% for Chapecoense, from projected goals of 1.78 for Remo and 0.99 for Chapecoense.
The most likely score in Remo v Chapecoense is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 at 10% and 2-0 at 10%, from our model's projection of 1.78 goals for Remo and 0.99 for Chapecoense, which spreads the rest across every other scoreline.
Both teams score in 54% of the outcomes our model gives Remo v Chapecoense, making yes the likelier answer, with Remo keeping a clean sheet 37% of the time and Chapecoense 17%, from projected goals of 1.78 and 0.99.
Our model projects 2.78 goals in Remo v Chapecoense, with over 2.5 goals at 52% and over 3.5 at 30%, and two goals the likeliest total at 25%.
Our model expects 11.1 corners in Remo v Chapecoense on Wednesday 18 November, 6.5 for Remo and 4.6 for Chapecoense, putting over 10.5 corners at 55% and over 11.5 at 43%.
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards in Remo v Chapecoense on Wednesday 18 November, 1.5 for Remo and 1.9 for Chapecoense, putting over 2.5 cards at 66% and over 3.5 at 44%.
The Remo v Chapecoense simulation turns our projections of 1.78 goals for Remo and 0.99 for Chapecoense into an exact chance for every scoreline, adds those up for the result, both teams to score and the goal lines, then draws 10,000 sample matches from the same model to show the run settling on them.