No, Brazil have taken 10 points over their last 6 Friendly International games, 1.77 fewer than the 11.77 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Brazil create 1.81 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Friendly International games, 10.87 in all, and have scored 14 goals from those chances, 3.13 more than that xG would expect.
Brazil allow 0.86 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Friendly International games, 5.17 in all, and have conceded 7 goals from those chances, 1.83 more than that xGA would expect.
Brazil have taken 1.8 points fewer than their chances warranted over 6 games: +3.1 goals against their xG, and -1.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 6 | 6 | 10.87 | 14 | +3.13 | 5.17 | 7 | -1.83 | 11.77 | 10 | -1.77 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.40 | 9 | +0.60 | 5.11 | 7 | -1.89 | 8.97 | 7 | -1.97 |
| Home | 4 | 7.27 | 7 | -0.27 | 3.10 | 4 | -0.90 | 8.13 | 7 | -1.13 |
| Away | 2 | 3.60 | 7 | +3.40 | 2.07 | 3 | -0.93 | 3.64 | 3 | -0.64 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Apr | Friendly International | Croatia (H) | 3-1 | 1.79 | 0.59 | 2.21 | 3 | W |
| 26 Mar | Friendly International | France (H) | 1-2 | 1.57 | 0.98 | 1.79 | 0 | W |
| 18 Nov | Friendly International | Tunisia (H) | 1-1 | 2.69 | 0.58 | 2.57 | 1 | W |
| 15 Nov | Friendly International | Senegal (H) | 2-0 | 1.22 | 0.95 | 1.56 | 3 | W |
| 14 Oct | Friendly International | Japan (A) | 3-2 | 1.13 | 2.01 | 0.84 | 0 | L |
| 10 Oct | Friendly International | South Korea (A) | 0-5 | 2.47 | 0.06 | 2.80 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estêvão | attacker | 4 | 258 | 0.00 | 4 | +4.00 | 0.00 |
| Rodrygo | attacker | 4 | 285 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Gabriel Martinelli | attacker | 3 | 142 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Casemiro | midfielder | 6 | 475 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Vinicius Junior | attacker | 6 | 473 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |