Yes, Argentina have taken 15 points over their last 5 Friendly International games, 4.69 more than the 10.31 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Argentina create 1.97 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 5 Friendly International games, 9.83 in all, and have scored 16 goals from those chances, 6.17 more than that xG would expect.
Argentina allow 0.63 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 5 Friendly International games, 3.16 in all, and have conceded 1 goal from those chances, 2.16 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Argentina have taken 4.7 points more than their chances warranted over 5 games: +6.2 goals against their xG, and +2.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 9.83 | 16 | +6.17 | 3.16 | 1 | +2.16 | 10.31 | 15 | +4.69 |
| Home | 3 | 5.39 | 8 | +2.61 | 1.97 | 1 | +0.97 | 6.12 | 9 | +2.88 |
| Away | 2 | 4.44 | 8 | +3.56 | 1.19 | 0 | +1.19 | 4.19 | 6 | +1.81 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar | Friendly International | Zambia (H) | 5-0 | 1.64 | 0.23 | 2.42 | 3 | W |
| 27 Mar | Friendly International | Mauritania (H) | 2-1 | 0.72 | 0.93 | 1.15 | 3 | L |
| 14 Nov | Friendly International | Angola (A) | 0-2 | 0.86 | 0.78 | 1.39 | 3 | W |
| 15 Oct | Friendly International | Puerto Rico (A) | 0-6 | 3.58 | 0.41 | 2.80 | 3 | W |
| 11 Oct | Friendly International | Venezuela (H) | 1-0 | 3.03 | 0.81 | 2.55 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro MartÃnez | attacker | 3 | 202 | 0.00 | 3 | +3.00 | 0.00 |
| Lionel Messi | attacker | 4 | 310 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Alexis Mac Allister | midfielder | 5 | 316 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Giovani Lo Celso | midfielder | 3 | 196 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Nico Paz | midfielder | 4 | 184 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Julián Alvarez | attacker | 3 | 194 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Enzo Fernández | midfielder | 3 | 208 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |