Updated 7 September 2026.
Fouls are the quiet corner of the bet builder menu, and they are where the model earns its keep: high-frequency events, priced player by player, with the referee and the matchup doing predictable work. For the Premier League weekend we have built two six-folds from the top of the player fouls board - one on fouls committed, one on fouls drawn - six starters apiece at 22/1 and 25/1.
Every leg is a 1+ line on a player in the predicted XI, taken from the top of the model's board at prices of 8/13 or bigger. Prices are bet365, correct at the time of writing, and these markets come through the odds feed without a one-click slip - so you add the legs to your own betslip at the book. Check team news before kick-off; a benched player turns a leg void at best.

Joachim Andersen 1+ fouls (4/6, Fulham v Crystal Palace) - the model's top line at 61%, a centre-back in a London derby with plenty of contact in it. Opale Boscagli (8/11) and Pascal Gross (8/11) double up on Brighton v Leeds, a fixture our Referee Watch flagged for bookings pressure this week. Nikola Milenkovic (4/6) has fouled in four of his last five. Then the two form picks: Malick Thiaw (8/13) is the metronome of the whole board - exactly one foul in every one of his last five for Newcastle - and Job Anthony (4/5) has fouled in all five of his last five for Brentford, including four in one game. Six legs, five fixtures, all Saturday.

The other side of the same coin: players who get fouled. Nazariy Angulo (8/13) and Dan Ballard (5/6) book-end the Sunderland trip to Brentford - Angulo has drawn a foul in four of his last five and leads the whole board at 66%. Anton Stach (8/13) carries Leeds's midfield contact at Brighton, Jair Cunha (5/6) has drawn fouls in four of five for Forest, Lewie Coyle (8/11) does the same job for Hull against Villa, and Romeo Lavia (8/11) is the Sunday leg - the man Arsenal will be pressing at the Emirates.
Add the legs at the book - both slips work as standard multis. If you would rather bet a single match, the same board builds match-level fouls doubles every day on our Fouls Bet Builder of the Day page, and the referee side of the maths lives in this week's Referee Watch.
Champions League tickets up for grabs: bet365 - a Statz partner - has launched its Big Ticket Giveaway ballot for the 2026/27 UEFA Champions League, with matchday tickets to be won. Enter the ballot here. 18+. New and eligible customers; registration required; entry details and full terms on the ballot page. T&Cs apply | begambleaware.org
Six-folds are longshots. Six legs at 60% each is a good slip and still loses most weekends - that is what these prices mean, and it is why these are small-stakes bets by design. The value case is simply that every leg here sits at the top of the model's board rather than the top of anyone's hunch list. 18+. Please gamble responsibly - begambleaware.org. Odds correct at the time of writing.
A bet combining player fouls markets - players to commit a foul, or to be fouled - into one multi. Fouls land far more often than cards or goals, so the legs are short prices individually but stack into a big combined price.
Yes - player fouls legs from different fixtures go into one multi at the bookmaker, exactly like an accumulator. Both of this weekend's six-folds spread their legs across the Saturday and Sunday card.
The Statz model's strongest fouls committed lines this weekend are Joachim Andersen, Opale Boscagli and Malick Thiaw, who has committed exactly one foul in every one of his last five games. On fouls drawn, Nazariy Angulo and Anton Stach lead the board at 65%.