Updated 11 November 2026.
Côte d'Ivoire host Gambia at the Stade de Bouaké on Thursday 12 November, with kick-off at 7pm UK, in an Africa Cup of Nations qualifier between the top two sides in the group. Both have won both games and sit on 6 points, and the difference is at the back: Ivory Coast have conceded nothing in their two, while Gambia have already let in three.
Ivory Coast have scored four goals in their two qualifiers and Gambia six.
Ivory Coast are 1st in the group after two wins and a goal difference of +4. They beat Ghana 2-0 at home on 24 September, then won 2-0 away at Somalia five days later. Two clean sheets from two means no goals conceded so far, and they have averaged 2 goals scored, 5.5 shots on target and 7.5 corners a game. Neither of their qualifiers had both teams scoring or three goals in total.
Before the qualifiers came three World Cup games in June, a 2-1 loss to Germany, a 2-0 win over Curacao and a 2-1 defeat to Norway. They have won seven of their last ten games in all competitions, and three of their last five.
Gambia are 2nd in the group table on the same 6 points, with six goals scored and three conceded. They beat Somalia 2-1 at home, then went to Ghana and won 4-2 four days later. Both teams scored in each of those games, and each had three goals or more. Gambia are averaging 3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded a game in the qualifiers.
Gambia have won six of their last ten games in all competitions. Their wins in the group came after two friendly defeats, 3-1 at Iran and 3-1 at Senegal. In the two qualifiers they have averaged 1.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Côte d'Ivoire are 1.20 to win with midnite. We make them 79% to take the three points, with the draw at 15% and a Gambia win at 6%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Côte d'Ivoire win | 1.20 (midnite) | 79% |
| Draw | 5.75 (midnite) | 15% |
| Gambia win | 13.00 (midnite) | 6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 (midnite) | 76% |
| Both teams to score | 2.50 (midnite) | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 (midnite) | 52% |
We predict a 2-0 home win, the single likeliest scoreline at 16%, with 1-0 and 3-0 behind it. We have Ivory Coast scoring 2.29 goals and Gambia 0.48, and we give the hosts a 62% chance of keeping another clean sheet. Gambia have scored in both qualifiers, and both teams to score is 2.50 with midnite, a 34% chance by our projection. We give Gambia a 10% chance of a clean sheet.
On goals, we make over 1.5 a 76% chance, over 2.5 a 52% chance and over 3.5 a 30% chance. After 2-0, 1-0 and 3-0, the next likeliest scorelines are 2-1 at 8% and 4-0 at 7%. We project Côte d'Ivoire for 13.18 total shots, 4.77 on target and 5.84 corners, against 5.98 shots, 2.26 on target and 3.62 corners for Gambia. For cards, we project 12.16 fouls and 1.65 yellow cards for Côte d'Ivoire, and 12.89 fouls and 1.60 yellow cards for Gambia.
Ivory Coast vs Gambia kicks off at 7pm UK on Thursday 12 November 2026 at the Stade de Bouaké in the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers. It is a group stage match, with both sides on 6 points from two games.
We predict a 2-0 win for Côte d'Ivoire in this Africa Cup of Nations qualifier, the likeliest single scoreline at 16%. We give the hosts a 79% chance of winning, with the draw at 15% and a Gambia win at 6%, and 1-0 and 3-0 the next most likely scorelines.
Côte d'Ivoire are clear favourites to beat Gambia, priced at 1.20 with midnite, and we give them a 79% chance. Gambia are 13.00 to win at midnite, and the draw is 5.75.
We make both teams to score in Ivory Coast vs Gambia in the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers a 34% chance, with midnite offering 2.50. Côte d'Ivoire have kept clean sheets in both qualifiers, while Gambia have scored six goals in their two games.
Côte d'Ivoire are 1st and Gambia 2nd in their Africa Cup of Nations qualifying group, both on 6 points from 2 wins. Ivory Coast have scored 4 and conceded 0, Gambia scored 6 and conceded 3.
We project 2.77 goals in Ivory Coast vs Gambia, with over 2.5 goals a 52% chance in this Africa Cup of Nations qualifier. Over 1.5 is a 76% chance, and midnite price it at 1.20.