Updated 5 November 2026.
Gaziantep F.K. host Kasımpaşa at Gaziantep Stadyumu on Friday 6 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UK. The hosts have lost their last five Super Lig games and sit 16th. The visitors are 5th and unbeaten in their last three. Our model still has this one nearly level.
Gaziantep have picked up 8 points from 10 games, and Kasımpaşa have 17. That is a nine-point gap, but we still make the home side slightly more likely to win, projecting 1.27 goals for Gaziantep and 1.21 for Kasımpaşa.
Gaziantep's run is bleak. They have lost five in a row, starting with a 2-0 defeat at Kocaelispor and a 3-0 home loss to Çorum FK. Most recently they went down 2-0 at Trabzonspor on 1 November. They have scored 9 and conceded 17 in the league, and managed just two goals in their last five games. At home they were beaten 3-1 by Erzurumspor in October.
Both teams have scored in 50% of Gaziantep's games, the 5th highest rate in the division, and they concede 1.7 a game, the 5th most. They also collect cards: 2.3 a game, the 4th most. They sit 16th of 18 in the Super Lig table.
Kasımpaşa have lost once in ten, a 3-1 defeat at Galatasaray on 9 October. Since then they beat Samsunspor 4-1, won 1-0 at Eyüpspor and drew 2-2 with Beşiktaş last time out. Both teams have scored in 70% of Kasımpaşa's games, the highest rate in the division, and they concede just 1.1 a game, the 4th fewest. They commit 15.8 fouls a game, the 2nd most, and collect 2.5 cards, the 3rd most.
Gaziantep F.K. possible starting lineup:
Dadakdeniz; Pérez, Sylla, Sarıkaya, Çalhanoğlu; Camara, Bacuna, Sorescu; Gidado, Kozlowski, Stewart
Kasımpaşa possible starting lineup:
Gianniotis; Winck, Arous, Jessen, Ilie; Demirbay, Mendes Da Silva, Hajradinovic; Rak-Sakyi, Kol, Benedyczak
Adrian Benedyczak has had two or more shots in ten straight league games, averaging 3.4 a game. He has also hit the target in seven in a row. His best price on one shot on target is 1.40 at bet365.
Deian Sorescu has taken two or more shots in eight straight games, averaging 2.9, and is 1.25 at bet365 to make it nine. He has also made a tackle in each of his last five.
Luis Pérez has made at least one tackle in nine consecutive games, averaging 1.9. On the other side, Cláudio Winck has done it in ten straight at 2.1 a game.
Ali Yavuz Kol has committed a foul in nine straight games, averaging 2.2 a match.
We make Gaziantep the narrow favourites to win at 37%, with Kasımpaşa on 34% and the draw on 29%. The bookmakers see it the same way round, with Gaziantep at 2.60 with Coral, Kasımpaşa at 2.70 with Coral and the draw at 3.40 with Ladbrokes.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep win | 2.60 (Coral) | 37% |
| Draw | 3.40 (Ladbrokes) | 29% |
| Kasımpaşa win | 2.70 (Coral) | 34% |
| Both teams to score | 1.70 (Coral) | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 (bet365) | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 (Midnite) | 72% |
Our predicted score is 1-1, the likeliest single scoreline at 14%, though we make Gaziantep slightly more likely to win. We give both teams to score 51%, and Kasımpaşa's 70% rate for both teams scoring points the same way. Over 2.5 goals is closer to a coin flip at 45%.
In the player markets, Benedyczak has had two or more shots in ten straight league games and Sorescu in eight.
Statz prediction: Gaziantep F.K. 1-1 Kasımpaşa
Gaziantep vs Kasımpaşa in the Super Lig kicks off at 17:00 UK on Friday 6 November 2026 at Gaziantep Stadyumu. It is a regular-season game in the 2026/27 campaign, with the hosts 16th and the visitors 5th in the table.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Gaziantep vs Kasımpaşa in the 2026/27 Super Lig, the likeliest scoreline at 14%. We make Gaziantep slightly more likely to win, at 37%, with Kasımpaşa on 34% and the draw on 29% for the match on 6 November 2026.
Our model gives both teams to score a 51% chance in Gaziantep vs Kasımpaşa in the 2026/27 Super Lig, and the best price is 1.70 at Coral. Both teams have scored in 70% of Kasımpaşa's league games, the highest rate in the division.
Gaziantep are 16th of 18 in the 2026/27 Super Lig with 8 points from 10 games, while Kasımpaşa are 5th with 17 points. Kasımpaşa have lost once in ten, and Gaziantep have lost their last five league matches.
For Gaziantep vs Kasımpaşa in the 2026/27 Super Lig, Kasımpaşa's Adrian Benedyczak is the player in form, with 2 or more shots in 10 straight games, averaging 3.4 a match. He has also had a shot on target in 7 straight.
For Gaziantep vs Kasımpaşa in the 2026/27 Super Lig on 6 November 2026, Gaziantep's possible starting lineup has Dadakdeniz in goal and Stewart up front, while Kasımpaşa's has Gianniotis in goal and Benedyczak up front. Full 11-man lineups are listed above.