Updated 5 November 2026.
Burgos host Celta Fortuna at the Estadio Municipal de El Plantío on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 1pm UK, in La Liga 2. The home side sit 8th in the La Liga 2 table on 21 points from 12 games, while Celta Fortuna are 16th on 13. The sides differ at the back: Burgos have the 6th fewest goals against in the division and Celta Fortuna the 3rd most.
Celta Fortuna do score, though. Their 18 goals in 12 games are one more than Burgos' 17, and they average 5.17 shots on target a game, the 4th most in the league.
Burgos are unbeaten in four in all competitions, with three wins and a draw. The most recent was a 1-1 draw with Castellón on 1 November. Before that came a 4-2 win at Laredo in the Copa Del Rey and a 3-2 win at FC Andorra. Earlier, a 1-0 home win over Sabadell on 18 October came after a 1-0 home defeat to Granada on 12 October.
At the back they concede 1.08 a game, the 6th fewest in La Liga 2, and both teams have scored in 58% of their matches. They have kept a clean sheet in 25% of their games, the 11th highest rate, and their fouls average of 14.83 a game is the 6th most. Going forward they average 3.83 shots on target a game, the 6th fewest in the division.
Celta Fortuna are winless in their last three. They drew 2-2 with Córdoba on 31 October, lost 5-1 at Girona, drew 1-1 with Tenerife, and the last win was a 4-1 home result against Real Sociedad II on 10 October.
Both teams have scored in 67% of Celta Fortuna's games, the 2nd highest rate in the league, and 58% have gone over 2.5 goals, the 3rd highest. They concede 1.92 a game, the 3rd most, and have kept a clean sheet in only 17% of matches. They also take 3.58 corners a game, the 4th fewest.
Burgos possible starting lineup:
Cantero; Lizancos, Luengo, Vilarrasa, Martínez; Galdames, Vencedor; Sánchez, Dadie, Llabrés; Forés
Celta Fortuna possible starting lineup:
Carrillo; Ribes, Ndiaye, Lopez Salguero, Miller; Capdevila, Sobral Sabajanes, Arcos; Kibet, Marcos, Marín
Álex Forés has had a shot in seven straight games, averaging 2.1 per game, and leads the Burgos line. On the wing, Javi Llabrés has managed a shot in five in a row at 2.6 a game.
Unai Vencedor has made at least one tackle in eight straight games and committed a foul in nine straight, and Oier Luengo has a tackle in eight in a row, averaging 3.3 a game.
We back Burgos to win, and they are 1.62 with midnite. Both teams to score is 1.83 at bet365, and over 2.5 goals is 1.85 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 1.62 (midnite) | 58% |
| Draw | 3.75 (midnite) | 25% |
| Celta Fortuna win | 4.80 (midnite) | 17% |
| Both teams to score | 1.83 (bet365) | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 (bet365) | 45% |
We predict a 1-0 home win, the likeliest single score at 13.5%, and project Burgos 1.7 goals to Celta Fortuna's 0.79. 2-0 at 12% and 1-1 at 12% are close behind, but a draw is 25% overall against 58% for a Burgos win. We give Burgos a 45% chance of a clean sheet.
Prediction: Burgos 1-0 Celta Fortuna
Burgos vs Celta Fortuna kicks off at 13:00 UK on Saturday 7 November 2026 at the Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, in the 2026/27 La Liga 2 regular season. Burgos are 8th on 21 points and Celta Fortuna are 16th on 13.
We predict Burgos 1-0 Celta Fortuna in the 2026/27 La Liga 2 fixture on 7 November, with Burgos given a 58% chance of winning. The draw is 25% and a Celta Fortuna win is 17%, and 1-0 is the likeliest single score at 13.5%.
Burgos are favourites to beat Celta Fortuna in this 2026/27 La Liga 2 match, at 1.62 with midnite, and we give them a 58% chance. Celta Fortuna are 4.80 and the draw is 3.75.
We give both teams to score in Burgos vs Celta Fortuna a 45% chance, with bet365 offering 1.83. Celta Fortuna's games have seen both sides score 67% of the time in the 2026/27 La Liga 2 season, the 2nd highest rate in the league.
Before Burgos vs Celta Fortuna in the 2026/27 La Liga 2, Burgos are 8th with 21 points from 12 games, while Celta Fortuna are 16th with 13 points from 12. The gap between them is 8 points.
In Burgos vs Celta Fortuna, a 2026/27 La Liga 2 game, Álex Forés has had at least one shot in 7 straight games for Burgos, averaging 2.1 per game. Unai Vencedor has made a tackle in 8 straight and Oier Luengo has done the same, averaging 3.3 a game.
Predicted lineups for Burgos vs Celta Fortuna in the 2026/27 La Liga 2 on Saturday 7 November 2026: Burgos may start Cantero; Lizancos, Luengo, Vilarrasa, Martínez; Galdames, Vencedor; Sánchez, Dadie, Llabrés; Forés. Celta Fortuna may start Carrillo; Ribes, Ndiaye, Lopez Salguero, Miller; Capdevila, Sobral Sabajanes, Arcos; Kibet, Marcos, Marín.