Updated 6 November 2026.
Girona host Almería at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 15:15 UK, in a La Liga 2 fixture between 7th-placed Girona and 2nd-placed Almería. Almería score more goals per game than anyone else in the division, 1.92, while Girona have conceded 0.92 a game, the 4th fewest.
Almería sit 2nd in the La Liga 2 table on 26 points from 12 games, with eight wins, two draws and two defeats. Their 23 goals scored and 10 conceded back that up: 1.92 goals a game is the most in the division, and 0.83 against is the 3rd fewest. They have kept a clean sheet in 42% of their matches, the 3rd highest rate.
Almería are unbeaten in their last ten games in all competitions, with eight wins and two draws. Their two most recent league games were draws: a 1-1 at Eibar on 31 October and a 2-2 with Oviedo a week earlier. In between came a 2-1 win at Castellonense in the Copa del Rey. Before that, they won 4-2 at Real Sociedad II and 3-0 at home to Leganés.
Girona are 7th on 21 points from 12, with six wins, three draws and three defeats and a goal difference of plus 11 (22 scored, 11 conceded). Their 1.83 goals a game is the 3rd most in the league, and their 0.92 conceded is the 4th fewest. They put 5 shots on target a game, the 6th most, and both teams have scored in 58% of their matches, the 6th highest rate.
The latest result was a 1-0 defeat at Real Sociedad II on 31 October, after a 2-0 Copa del Rey win at Cuarte Industrial. Before that came a 5-1 win over Celta Fortuna and a 2-0 win over FC Andorra at Montilivi, plus a 1-1 draw at Tenerife on 12 October. The home side also commit the 2nd fewest fouls in the division, at 11.08 a game.
Girona possible starting lineup:
Gazzaniga; Morey, Mumin, Zamorano, Moreno; González, Beltrán, Hernández; Asprilla, Pérez, Vanat
Almería possible starting lineup:
Fernández; Luna, Pulido, Bonini, Muñoz; Dzodic, Muñoz, Junyent; Arribas, Cipenga, de la Fuente
Yáser Asprilla has had at least one shot in 10 straight games for Girona, averaging 1.9 a game over the run. Vladyslav Vanat, the striker, has a similar run of 8 straight games with a shot, also averaging 1.9.
For Almería, Sergio Arribas has had a shot in seven straight games, averaging 2.6 over the run. Javi Muñoz has made at least one tackle in nine straight games, averaging 2.3.
On the Girona side, Carles Pérez has committed a foul in eight straight games, averaging 2, and has also made a tackle in four straight, averaging 2.5.
Our model backs Girona at 52%, and midnite offer 2.05 on the home win. Almería are 3.60 at bet365 and the draw is 3.50 at midnite.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 2.05 (midnite) | 52% |
| Draw | 3.50 (midnite) | 24% |
| Almería win | 3.60 (bet365) | 24% |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 (bet365) | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 (bet365) | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 (bet365) | 57% |
1-1 is the likeliest single score at 11%, though we make Girona 52% to win against 24% for Almería. A 2-1 home win is next at 10%, ahead of 1-0 and 2-0. We project 1.81 goals for Girona and 1.17 for Almería, and give both teams to score a 58% chance.
Asprilla and Vanat have each had a shot in at least eight straight games for Girona, Arribas has done so in seven for Almería, and Javi Muñoz has made a tackle in nine straight.
Prediction: Girona 1-1 Almería
Girona vs Almería in La Liga 2 kicks off at 15:15 UK time on Sunday 8 November 2026 at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi. It is a 2026/27 La Liga 2 game between 7th-placed Girona and 2nd-placed Almería.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Girona vs Almería in the 2026/27 La Liga 2, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%. We make Girona 52% to win, with Almería on 24% and the draw on 24%.
Girona are the favourites for the 2026/27 La Liga 2 match, priced at 2.05 with midnite and given a 52% chance of winning by our model. Almería are 3.6 at bet365, and the draw is 3.5 at midnite.
We give both teams to score a 58% chance in Girona vs Almería in the 2026/27 La Liga 2, and bet365 offer 1.67 on it. Over 2.5 goals is 57% by our model at 1.80, with 2.98 total goals projected.
Yáser Asprilla has had a shot in 10 straight La Liga 2 games for Girona in 2026/27, averaging 1.9 a game over the run. Vladyslav Vanat has done it in 8 in a row, and Almería's Sergio Arribas has a run of 7.
Almería are 2nd in La Liga 2 for 2026/27 with 26 points from 12 games, while Girona are 7th on 21 points from 12. Almería have scored 23 goals and Girona 22.
Predicted lineups for Girona vs Almería in the 2026/27 La Liga 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026: Girona may start Gazzaniga; Morey, Mumin, Zamorano, Moreno; González, Beltrán, Hernández; Asprilla, Pérez, Vanat. Almería may start Fernández; Luna, Pulido, Bonini, Muñoz; Dzodic, Muñoz, Junyent; Arribas, Cipenga, de la Fuente.