Updated 5 November 2026.
The Famalicão and Arouca game at the Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho on Friday 6 November 2026 (20:45 UK kick-off) pairs 11th-placed Famalicão with 5th-placed Arouca in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal. Arouca arrive on 20 points from 10 games, double the 10 that put Famalicão 11th, and they have the best clean-sheet rate in Liga Portugal.
Famalicão are the home side and the bookmakers' favourites, but we have the draw at 30% and 1-1 as the likeliest single score. Arouca have kept six clean sheets in ten league games.
Famalicão have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4, scoring 14 and conceding 14. Their last five league games brought two wins, a draw and two defeats. They won 4-0 at Rio Ave on 25 October, then lost 3-0 at Braga on 1 November. Before that came a 1-4 home defeat to Alverca, a 4-0 win at Nacional and a 1-1 draw with Sporting.
Per game they score 1.4 goals, the 7th most in the division, and concede 1.4, the 9th most. Both teams have scored in half their games and 60% have gone over 2.5 goals, the 7th highest. They win plenty of corners at 4.9 a game, the 5th most, but their 3.2 shots on target a game is the 5th fewest.
Arouca have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2, with 13 scored and only 7 conceded. They have won their last three league games, 1-0 against Nacional, 1-0 away at Alverca and 1-0 at home to Estrela. Before that they drew 2-2 at Sporting and lost 1-2 at home to Santa Clara.
Their 0.7 goals against per game is the 3rd fewest and their 60% clean-sheet rate is the highest in the league. Only 30% of their games have seen both teams score, the 5th lowest. They are also the 2nd most-carded side at 2.9 a game while committing the 2nd fewest fouls.
The Liga Portugal table has Arouca 6 places and 10 points above Famalicão. Famalicão have scored 14 to Arouca's 13, and the difference is at the back, with 14 conceded against 7.
Famalicão possible starting lineup:
Carević; Garcia, Realpe, van Breemen, Rofino; van de Looi, de Amorim; Sorriso, Pedro Santos, Beney; Koutsias
Arouca possible starting lineup:
de Arruabarrena; Esgaio, Sánchez, Lebedenko, Fontán; van Ee, Flores; Trezza, Fukui, Djouahra; Barbero
Naïs Djouahra has had at least one shot in all 10 of Arouca's games, averaging 2.1, and he is 1.13 at bet365 to make it 11. Iván Barbero has the same 10-game run, averaging 2 shots a game, and is 1.07 at midnite.
Orest Lebedenko has made at least one tackle in all 10 of Arouca's league games, averaging 2.1 a game. On the other flank, Tiago Esgaio has tackled in eight straight games and had a shot in four straight, at 1.73 with midnite.
For Famalicão, Sorriso has made a tackle in seven games running at 2.3 a game, and Roméo Beney has committed a foul in four straight, 1.10 at midnite.
We back Famalicão to win at 43%, and they are 2.10 at Ladbrokes. The draw is 3.40 at bet365 and Arouca are 3.50 at bet365. Both teams to score is 1.80 at midnite, and over 2.5 goals is 1.95 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Famalicão win | 2.10 (Ladbrokes) | 43% |
| Draw | 3.40 (bet365) | 30% |
| Arouca win | 3.50 (bet365) | 27% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 (midnite) | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 (bet365) | 41% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 14%, though we make Famalicão slightly more likely to win overall. 1-0 and 0-0 follow at 12% and 11%, and we give the draw 30%. We expect 1.33 goals from Famalicão and 0.99 from Arouca, and give Famalicão a 37% chance of a clean sheet.
Famalicão vs Arouca in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal kicks off at 20:45 UK time on Friday 6 November 2026 at the Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho. Arouca are 5th on 20 points and Famalicão are 11th on 10 points after 10 games each.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Famalicão vs Arouca in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal, the likeliest single score at 14%, though we make Famalicão slightly more likely to win at 43% against 30% for the draw and 27% for Arouca.
Famalicão are favourites for this 2026/27 Liga Portugal game at 2.10 with Ladbrokes, and we give them a 43% chance of winning, ahead of the 30% draw and 27% for Arouca on Friday 6 November.
We put both teams to score at 48% for Famalicão vs Arouca in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal, with over 2.5 goals at 41%. Arouca have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their 10 league games this season, the highest rate in the division.
Naïs Djouahra and Iván Barbero have each had a shot in all 10 of Arouca's Liga Portugal games in 2026/27 before the trip to Famalicão, averaging 2.1 and 2 shots a game, and they are 1.13 and 1.07 for another.
Arouca are 5th in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal table on 20 points from 10 games, while Famalicão are 11th on 10 points. Arouca have six wins to Famalicão's two, and have conceded 7 goals to Famalicão's 14.
The possible starting lineup for Famalicão vs Arouca in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal has Carević in goal for Famalicão with Koutsias up front, and de Arruabarrena in goal for Arouca with Djouahra, Fukui, Trezza and Barbero in attack, at 20:45 UK.