Updated 23 October 2026.
FC Augsburg host FC Union Berlin at the WWK Arena on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 2:30pm UK time. It pairs the Bundesliga's second-highest scorers with a side that has found the net just five times in six league games. Augsburg are 10th on 8 points, Union Berlin 17th on 5.
Augsburg's games have been loud this season. Every one of their six has gone over 2.5 goals, the highest rate in the division, and they've scored 16 and let in 12. Union have been quiet at one end and leaky at the other, so the question is how many Augsburg can score and whether Union can nick one back.
Augsburg sit 10th in the Bundesliga table after two wins, two draws and two defeats. They arrive on the back of a 4-3 loss at Elversberg last Saturday, a game that followed a 2-2 draw at home to Bayern. Before that came a 3-2 defeat at Bremen, a 2-2 draw with Leverkusen and a 4-1 win at Frankfurt. They have scored 13 goals in those five games, and their 6 corners a game is the 5th most in the league.
They average 2.67 goals a game, the 2nd most in the division, and their 7 shots on target a game are also the 2nd most. At the other end they concede 2 a game, and both teams have scored in 83% of their matches, the 3rd highest rate. They also commit the fewest fouls in the league, at 8.67 a game.
Union Berlin are 17th, with one win, two draws and three defeats. They beat Elversberg 1-0 at home on 10 October and then held Dortmund to a 0-0 draw last Saturday. Before that they lost 7-0 at Bayern, 3-1 at home to Schalke and 4-0 at Leverkusen.
They average 0.83 goals a game, the 3rd fewest, and concede 2.83, the 2nd most. They have kept a clean sheet in a third of their games, the 4th highest rate in the league. Their card count of 2.5 a game is the 3rd most.
FC Augsburg possible starting lineup:
Dahmen; Bah, Matsima, Brackelmann, Behrens; Massengo, Fellhauer; Wolf, Rieder, Ibrahimovic; Ribeiro
FC Union Berlin possible starting lineup:
Rönnow; Haberer, Uduokhai, Van Den Bosch, Rothe; Khedira, Schäfer; Jeong, Aebischer, Imeri; Skarke
Calvin Brackelmann has made two or more tackles in each of Augsburg's six league games, averaging 2.7. He is 1.50 at bet365 to do it again.
Hennes Behrens and Fabian Rieder have each made at least one tackle in all six games, Behrens averaging 3.7 a match.
Arijon Ibrahimovic has had a shot on target in four straight games, averaging 1.3, and is 1.48 at Ladbrokes to make it five. Han-Noah Massengo has committed a foul in four in a row and is 1.80 at bet365 to make it five.
For Union, Rani Khedira has made a tackle in each of the six games, averaging 2.2. Michel Aebischer has made a tackle in all six as well, averaging 1.7.
We back Augsburg, who are 1.85 at Ladbrokes, and our model gives them a 52% chance of winning. The draw is 4.00 at Midnite and Union are 4.10 at bet365. In the goals markets, both teams to score is 1.48 (Ladbrokes) and over 2.5 goals is 1.50 (bet365).
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Augsburg win | 1.85 (Ladbrokes) | 52% |
| Draw | 4.00 (Midnite) | 23% |
| Union Berlin win | 4.10 (bet365) | 25% |
| Both teams to score | 1.48 (Ladbrokes) | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 (bet365) | 68% |
We project Augsburg to score 2.08 goals and Union 1.41. Augsburg are set to have 6.5 shots on target to Union's 4.4, and Union are projected to commit more fouls (11.8 to 9.8).
Our prediction is Augsburg 1-1 Union Berlin as the likeliest single score, though we make Augsburg more likely to win, and a draw is in play. A 2-1 home win is almost as likely, at 9.3% to 9.6% for 1-1.
Kick-off is at 2:30pm UK time on Saturday 24 October 2026 at the WWK Arena.
Augsburg 1-1 Union Berlin is the likeliest scoreline, though we make Augsburg more likely to win at 52%, and a draw is in play.
Augsburg are favourites at 1.85 with Ladbrokes. Union Berlin are 4.10 at bet365 and the draw is 4.00 at Midnite.
Our model gives both teams to score a 67% chance. It is 1.48 at Ladbrokes, and both teams have scored in 83% of Augsburg's games.
We project 2.08 goals for Augsburg and 1.41 for Union Berlin, and give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance.
Augsburg are 10th on 8 points from six games. Union Berlin are 17th on 5 points.
Augsburg: Dahmen; Bah, Matsima, Brackelmann, Behrens; Massengo, Fellhauer; Wolf, Rieder, Ibrahimovic; Ribeiro. Union Berlin: Rönnow; Haberer, Uduokhai, Van Den Bosch, Rothe; Khedira, Schäfer; Jeong, Aebischer, Imeri; Skarke.