Updated 11 October 2026.
Levante welcome Sevilla to the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia on Monday 12 October, with kick-off at 8pm UK. Levante are 17th and Sevilla 5th, and the table suggests a clear gap: Sevilla have 13 points from seven games, Levante just 5 from six. The model, though, sees little between them, and Levante come into the game with a rare home win to their name from August.
Levante are 17th in the La Liga table with one win, two draws and three defeats, and 8 goals scored against 12 conceded. They have lost their last two, going down 3-1 at Villarreal and 4-2 at home to Barcelona. Their one win came in a 5-2 victory over Betis, sandwiched between goalless draws at Osasuna and Málaga. Defence is the worry: they concede two a game, the 4th most in the division.
Sevilla have won four of seven and sit 5th on 13 points, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Their latest outing was a 3-1 home defeat to Barcelona, but before that came a 1-0 win at Deportivo and a 1-0 win over Valencia. They are in the thick of the fouls column too: 14.4 a game is the 2nd most in La Liga, and their cards rank 3rd most. In both-teams-to-score terms they land at 71%, the 6th highest, so goals at both ends have been a feature of their games.
Levante possible starting lineup:
Ryan; Toljan, Mandi, Dela, Sánchez; Bardeli, Rey, Olasagasti; Brugué, Romero, Fernández
Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Vlachodimos; Iglesias, Salas, CastrÃn, Suazo; Agoumé, Kochorashvili, Fofana; Sierra Ortega, Correia, Ure
Iván Romero leads the Levante attack and has had a shot in six straight games, averaging 2.7 a match. He has also put a shot on target in four in a row and is 1.73 at bet365 to make it five.
Roger Brugué has had a shot in five consecutive games at 2.6 a game, and Thiago Fernández has done the same in each of his last four.
On the Sevilla side, Lucien Agoumé has made at least one tackle in all seven games this season, averaging three. Gabriel Suazo has made three or more tackles in four straight and is 1.50 at bet365 to continue.
Our model gives Levante the narrowest of edges, at 40% to win against 31% for Sevilla and 29% for the draw. The bookmakers have it the other way round, with Sevilla at 2.63 and Levante at 2.75. The player markets offer the cleaner angles: Romero and Brugué have both had a shot in each of their recent games, while Suazo and Agoumé bring tackle runs for Sevilla.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Levante win | 2.75 (bet365) | 40% |
| Draw | 3.30 (Ladbrokes) | 29% |
| Sevilla win | 2.63 (bet365) | 31% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 (Midnite) | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 (bet365) | 46% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 14%, though we make Levante slightly more likely to win the game. Over 1.5 goals is 1.36 at Midnite and our model puts it at 73%, while Levante keeping a clean sheet comes in at 31%.
Kick-off is at 8pm UK on Monday 12 October 2026 at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia.
We predict a 1-1 draw, though we make Levante slightly more likely to win than Sevilla.
The bookmakers have Sevilla narrowly ahead at 2.63 with Levante at 2.75, while our model gives Levante a 40% chance against 31% for Sevilla.
Our model puts both teams to score at 52%, and the best price is 1.80 at Midnite.
Iván Romero has had a shot in six straight games and a shot on target in four in a row.
Sevilla are 5th with 13 points from seven games, and Levante are 17th with 5 points from six.
Levante: Ryan; Toljan, Mandi, Dela, Sánchez; Bardeli, Rey, Olasagasti; Brugué, Romero, Fernández. Sevilla: Vlachodimos; Iglesias, Salas, CastrÃn, Suazo; Agoumé, Kochorashvili, Fofana; Sierra Ortega, Correia, Ure.