Updated 6 November 2026.
Villarreal host Getafe at the Estadio de la Cerámica on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 17:30 UK. Both clubs sit on 12 points from 11 games, but Villarreal are 9th and have scored almost twice as many goals as the visitors, who are 13th with 8. The hosts lost 6-0 at home to PSG in the Champions League on Tuesday.
Our model makes Villarreal clear favourites, with a 63% chance of the win. Getafe's 0.73 goals a game is the 3rd fewest in La Liga, and we predict a 1-0 home win.
Villarreal have lost three of their last five games in all competitions. They went down 4-3 at Liverpool in the Champions League on 20 October, beat Valencia 2-1 in La Liga and won 5-0 at Manacor in the Copa del Rey, then lost 1-0 to Espanyol in La Liga and 0-6 to PSG in the Champions League on Tuesday, both at home. Their league numbers hold up: 15 scored and 15 conceded in 11, with the 8th most goals per game at 1.36, and the most corners in La Liga at 7.27 a match.
Getafe have won two of their last five games in all competitions. They beat Sevilla 3-1 last Sunday and Lebrijana 3-2 in the Copa del Rey, but lost 1-0 to Brighton in the Europa Conference League on Thursday, 4-0 at Athletic Club in La Liga on 25 October and 5-2 at home to Lugano in the Conference League on 22 October. They score 0.73 goals a game, the 3rd fewest in La Liga, and average the fewest shots on target at 2.73.
Getafe average 4 cards a game, the most in La Liga, and commit 14.45 fouls, the 3rd most. Villarreal pick up 2.09 cards a game, the 6th fewest. Both clubs are level at 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats in the La Liga table.
Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Gulácsi; Freeman, Navarro, Veiga, Cardona; Gueye, Comesaña; Buchanan, Moleiro, Pépé; Mikautadze
Getafe possible starting lineup:
Soria; Carvajal, Djené, Boselli, Mojica; Gudelj, Mangala, Terrats; García, Satriano; Ünal
Tajon Buchanan has had three or more shots in three straight games, averaging 3.7 a game across them. He is 2.05 at Ladbrokes to do it again.
Nicolas Pépé has put a shot on target in four of his last five, and is 1.36 at bet365 or Coral for one more. Sergi Cardona has had a shot in four of five and is 1.40 at bet365; he has also made two or more tackles in three straight games.
For Getafe, Enes Ünal has had a shot in four straight games and is 1.17 at bet365. Andrés García has made at least one tackle in ten straight and Sebastián Boselli has made two or more in three in a row, at 1.33.
Getafe's Nemanja Gudelj has committed two or more fouls in three straight, averaging 3.7 a game across them, and is 1.73 at bet365.
We back Villarreal at 1.48 with Coral. Our model gives them a 63% chance of the win, with the draw at 24% and Getafe at 13%. Bet365 have the draw at 4.50 and Getafe at 8.00.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal win | 1.48 (Coral) | 63% |
| Draw | 4.50 (bet365) | 24% |
| Getafe win | 8.00 (bet365) | 13% |
| Both teams to score | 1.95 (bet365) | 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 (bet365) | 45% |
We predict a 1-0 Villarreal win. The model has them at 1.78 goals and Getafe at 0.69, and we give Villarreal a 50% chance of keeping a clean sheet. 2-0 is the next likeliest score at 13% and 1-1 follows at 11%. Both teams to score is 42% and we make Over 2.5 goals 45%.
Villarreal vs Getafe in La Liga kicks off at 17:30 UK on Sunday 8 November 2026 at the Estadio de la Cerámica. It is the 12th La Liga game of the 2026/27 season for both clubs, who each have 12 points.
Our La Liga prediction for Villarreal vs Getafe on 8 November 2026 is a 1-0 Villarreal win. The model gives Villarreal a 63% chance, the draw 24% and Getafe 13%, with 1-1 the third likeliest score at 11%.
Villarreal are favourites for the 8 November 2026 La Liga game against Getafe, priced at 1.48 with Coral. Our model gives them a 63% chance of winning, against 13% for Getafe at 8.00 with bet365.
We give both teams to score a 42% chance in Villarreal vs Getafe in La Liga on 8 November 2026, with bet365 offering 1.95. Getafe average just 0.73 goals a game, the 3rd fewest in the league.
Tajon Buchanan has had 3+ shots in 3 straight games for Villarreal in 2026/27 La Liga, and Enes Ünal has had a shot in 4 straight for Getafe. Andrés García has made a tackle in 10 straight games.
Villarreal are 9th and Getafe 13th in the 2026/27 La Liga table going into this game, both on 12 points from 11 games. Villarreal have scored 15 goals and conceded 15, while Getafe have scored 8 and conceded 16.
Predicted lineups for Villarreal vs Getafe in the 2026/27 La Liga on Sunday 8 November 2026: Villarreal may start Gulácsi; Freeman, Navarro, Veiga, Cardona; Gueye, Comesaña; Buchanan, Moleiro, Pépé; Mikautadze. Getafe may start Soria; Carvajal, Djené, Boselli, Mojica; Gudelj, Mangala, Terrats; García, Satriano; Ünal.