Updated 11 November 2026.
Port Vale host Accrington Stanley at Vale Park on Saturday 14 November, kick-off 3pm UK, in League Two. Vale concede the 5th fewest goals a game in the division, 1.17, but score the 3rd fewest at 0.83, while Accrington have scored 23 goals in 14 league games. Vale are 19th in the League Two table on 15 points from 12 games and Accrington are 9th on 19 points from 14, a gap of ten places.
Port Vale have won three of their last five in all competitions. The latest was a 4-2 FA Cup win over Scunthorpe, after a 4-2 league win against Rochdale on 31 October. Before those came a 2-0 defeat at York, a 1-1 draw at Gillingham and a 1-0 home win over Chesterfield. Scoring four in both of the recent wins was out of character: Vale score 0.83 goals a game, the 3rd fewest in the division, and only 17% of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals, the 2nd lowest rate.
Their strength is at the back. They keep clean sheets in 33% of games, the 4th highest rate, and concede 1.17 a game, the 5th fewest. Their fouls are high too, at 13.08 a game, the 5th most.
Accrington lost 2-0 at home to Wycombe in the FA Cup last time out, a result that ended a run of eight games unbeaten in all competitions. Before it came a 1-1 draw with Northampton, a 5-0 win at Rochdale, a 1-1 draw at York and a 3-1 win over Gillingham. They score 1.64 a game, the 6th most in the league, and their shots on target average of 5.00 is the 3rd most. Both teams have scored in 64% of their games, the 7th highest rate.
Accrington commit the most fouls in League Two at 14.5 a game and have the 2nd most cards at 2.79 a game. Vale's cards average is 1.92, the 11th fewest.
Port Vale possible starting lineup:
Maroši; Humphreys, Moon, Hall; Lawrence-Gabriel, Byers, Dempsey, Hall, Headley; Mayea, Figueroa
Accrington possible starting lineup:
Moulden; Anderson, Rawson, Matthews; Tutonda, Mols, Borland, Love; Henderson; Warren, Walton
Alex Henderson has had a shot on target in five straight games, averaging 1.2 a game, and a shot in six straight, averaging 2.8 a game over that run. A shot on target from him is 1.95 with Ladbrokes.
Charlie Warren has had at least one shot in nine straight games, averaging 2.3 a game over the run.
At the back, Joe Anderson has made at least one tackle in 14 straight games, averaging 2.2 a game over the run. Fellow centre-back Devon Matthews has had at least one shot in six straight games, averaging 1.2 a game over the run.
We back Port Vale to win: our model gives them a 45% chance, with 30% for the draw and 25% for Accrington. Ladbrokes have Vale at 1.95, the draw at 3.5 and Accrington at 3.8.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale win | 1.95 (Ladbrokes) | 45% |
| Draw | 3.50 (Ladbrokes) | 30% |
| Accrington Stanley win | 3.80 (Ladbrokes) | 25% |
| Both teams to score | 1.91 (Coral) | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 (bet365) | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 (bet365) | 38% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 14%, with 1-0 to Vale just behind at 13%, though we make Vale 45% to win overall, against 30% for the draw and 25% for Accrington. We project Vale for 1.31 goals and Accrington for 0.90, with a 41% chance of a Vale clean sheet and 27% for Accrington, and under 2.5 goals in 62% of outcomes.
Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley in League Two kicks off at 15:00 UK on Saturday 14 November 2026 at Vale Park. It is a 2026/27 League Two game between 19th-placed Port Vale and 9th-placed Accrington Stanley.
We predict a 1-1 draw between Port Vale and Accrington Stanley in League Two 2026/27, the likeliest single score at 14%. A 1-0 Vale win follows at 13%, and we make Vale the more likely winner overall at 45%, with 30% for the draw and 25% for Accrington.
Port Vale are the favourites against Accrington Stanley in League Two 2026/27, with a 45% chance of winning to Accrington's 25% and 30% for the draw in our model. Ladbrokes have Vale at 1.95, the draw at 3.5 and Accrington at 3.8.
We give both teams to score a 44% chance in Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley in League Two, with Coral offering 1.91. Both teams have scored in 64% of Accrington's games, the 7th highest rate, and in 33% of Vale's, the 3rd lowest.
Port Vale are 19th in League Two on 15 points from 12 games, while Accrington Stanley are 9th on 19 points from 14 games. That is a gap of ten places in the 2026/27 season before the 14 November meeting at Vale Park.
Alex Henderson has had a shot on target in five straight games for Accrington Stanley ahead of their League Two 2026/27 game at Port Vale, averaging 1.2 a game over the run. A shot on target from him is 1.95 with Ladbrokes. Charlie Warren has had a shot in nine straight games.
Predicted lineups for Port Vale vs Accrington in the 2026/27 League Two on Saturday 14 November 2026: Port Vale may start Maroši; Humphreys, Moon, Hall; Lawrence-Gabriel, Byers, Dempsey, Hall, Headley; Mayea, Figueroa. Accrington may start Moulden; Anderson, Rawson, Matthews; Tutonda, Mols, Borland, Love; Henderson; Warren, Walton.