Updated 30 October 2026.
Falkirk welcome league leaders Celtic to the Falkirk Community Stadium on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 1pm UK. The hosts have won their last three in the Scottish Premiership and sit 6th. Celtic are top on 28 points, 13 clear of Falkirk, but they drew 2-2 with Dundee United on Wednesday and lost twice in the Europa League this month.
Celtic have conceded in each of their last five games in all competitions. We still make them 59% to win this Scottish Premiership game, though 1-1 is the likeliest single score.
Falkirk are 6th in the table with 15 points from 11 games: four wins, three draws and four defeats, 13 goals scored and 12 conceded. Their latest result was a 1-0 win away at Aberdeen on Wednesday, and before that they beat Kilmarnock 3-0 at home and won 2-1 at Hibernian. Their last defeat was a 2-1 home loss to Dundee on 10 October.
Falkirk's goals-against figure of 1.09 per game is the 3rd fewest in the division, and they have kept a clean sheet in 27% of their games, the 3rd highest rate. They also commit the most fouls per game in the league, 14. Going forward they average 3.82 shots on target a game, the 5th fewest, and win 4.73 corners a game, the 3rd fewest.
Celtic have won nine of 11 and lost once in the league, scoring 27 and conceding 8. Nobody scores more per game (2.45) and nobody concedes fewer (0.73). They also lead the league for shots on target at 8.64 a game and for corners at 9.09.
In their last five games in all competitions Celtic lost 4-1 at Benfica in the Europa League, then hammered Hearts 7-1, lost 2-1 at home to Celta, won 2-1 at Hibernian and drew 2-2 with Dundee Utd on Wednesday.
Falkirk possible starting lineup:
Bain; Strain, Neilson, Henderson, Tanser; Melniks, Spencer, Barbrook; Ross, Eames, Murrell
Celtic possible starting lineup:
Johnstone; Donovan, Murray, Scales, Tierney; McGregor, Baur; Durán, Nygren, Osmand; Høgh
Jacob Murrell has had two or more shots in eight straight games, averaging 3.4 a game, and he is 1.62 at bet365 to keep it going. He has also committed a foul in eight straight games.
Midfielder Owen Eames has had two or more shots in four straight games, averaging 2.8, and is 1.91 at bet365 for another.
Defensive midfielder Finley Barbrook has fouled in seven straight games, averaging 2.6, and has made a tackle in five straight.
For Celtic, Mika Baur has made at least one tackle in seven straight games, averaging 3.6, while right-back Colby Donovan has fouled in seven straight games.
We back Celtic to win, and Coral have them at 1.48. Falkirk are 6.25 at Midnite and the draw is 5.5 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Falkirk win | 6.25 (Midnite) | 19% |
| Draw | 5.5 (bet365) | 22% |
| Celtic win | 1.48 (Coral) | 59% |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 (bet365) | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 (bet365) | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 (bet365) | 61% |
Our model projects 1.09 goals for Falkirk and 2.06 for Celtic, which makes 1-1 the likeliest single score at 10.1%, with 1-2 almost level on 9.9%. A draw is in play, though we make Celtic 59% to win. We give Falkirk a 13% chance of a clean sheet and Celtic 34%.
Statz prediction: Falkirk 1-1 Celtic
Falkirk vs Celtic in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership kicks off at 1pm UK time on Sunday 1 November 2026 at the Falkirk Community Stadium. Celtic are top of the table on 28 points from 11 games, and Falkirk are 6th on 15 points.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Falkirk vs Celtic in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership on 1 November 2026, the single likeliest score at 10.1%, though we make Celtic 59% to win, with Falkirk on 19% and the draw on 22%.
Celtic are favourites against Falkirk in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership on 1 November 2026, with a 59% chance of winning in our projections, against 22% for a draw and 19% for a Falkirk win. Celtic are top on 28 points and have won 9 of 11 league games.
We give both teams to score a 58% chance in Falkirk vs Celtic in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership on 1 November 2026. Falkirk have a both-teams-to-score rate of 64% in their league games, the 4th highest, and Celtic's is 55%, the 6th highest.
In Falkirk vs Celtic in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership on 1 November 2026, Jacob Murrell has had two or more shots in 8 straight games for Falkirk, averaging 3.4 a game, and Owen Eames has done it in 4 straight. Both are in the possible starting lineup.
Celtic are 1st in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership on 28 points from 11 games, 13 points clear of Falkirk, who are 6th on 15 points ahead of the 1 November 2026 game. Celtic have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 1, and Falkirk have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 4.
For the 1pm UK kick-off on 1 November 2026 in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership, Falkirk's possible starting lineup against Celtic is Bain; Strain, Neilson, Henderson, Tanser; Melniks, Spencer, Barbrook; Ross, Eames, Murrell. Celtic's possible starting lineup is Johnstone; Donovan, Murray, Scales, Tierney; McGregor, Baur; Durán, Nygren, Osmand; Høgh.