Updated 6 November 2026.
Hearts welcome Falkirk to Tynecastle Park on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 3pm, with 3rd in the Scottish Premiership facing 4th. Only two points separate them, and they arrive in very different shape: Falkirk have won four of their last five, while Hearts have lost three of theirs across two competitions, including a 7-1 defeat at Celtic.
Hearts sit on 20 points from 11 games, with six wins, two draws and three defeats. They have scored 24 and conceded 17, averaging 2.18 goals a game, the 2nd most in the division. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 82% of their matches, the highest in the league, and both teams have scored in 73%, the 2nd highest. They average 5.36 shots on target a game, the 4th most, and win 6.45 corners, the 3rd most.
Their last five games began with a 7-1 loss at Celtic, followed by a 2-0 defeat to Trabzonspor in Europe, then a 2-0 win at Motherwell and a 2-2 home draw with Rangers. On Thursday they lost 3-1 at Thun in the Europa Conference League, three days before this game.
Falkirk are on 18 points from 12 games (five wins, three draws, four defeats) with 15 scored and 12 conceded. They concede 1 a game, the 3rd fewest, and have kept clean sheets in 33% of matches, the 2nd highest. They have won their last four, starting with a 2-1 win at Hibernian, then a 3-0 against Kilmarnock, a 1-0 at Aberdeen and, last weekend, a 2-0 home win over Celtic.
Falkirk are also the league's most fouling side at 14.42 a game, and their corner count of 4.33 is the 3rd fewest.
Hearts possible starting lineup:
Reus; Altena, McCart, Fagan-Walcott, Kingsley; Kerjota, Dhanda, Mendy; McPake, Braga, Wilson
Falkirk possible starting lineup:
Bain; McMillan, Henderson, Neilson, Tanser; Spencer, Melniks, Ross; Barbrook, Eames, Murrell
Josh McPake has had at least one shot in 10 straight games, averaging 2.4, and he is 1.03 at bet365 to make it 11.
Cláudio Braga has had a shot on target in four straight games, averaging 1.8, and is 1.22 at bet365 to extend that.
For Falkirk, Jacob Murrell has had a shot in 10 straight games, averaging 2.9 a game, and is 1.14 at bet365. He has also committed a foul in nine in a row.
Finley Barbrook has committed a foul in eight straight games, averaging 2.6. Jordi Altena has made a tackle in seven straight games for Hearts, averaging 2.3.
We make Hearts the likeliest winners, at 61%, and they are 1.55 with Ladbrokes. We give the draw 22% and Falkirk 17%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Hearts to win | 1.55 (Ladbrokes) | 61% |
| Draw | 4.50 (bet365) | 22% |
| Falkirk to win | 5.50 (Ladbrokes) | 17% |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 (bet365) | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 (bet365) | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 (bet365) | 56% |
We project Hearts at 1.99 goals and Falkirk at 0.95, with 5.95 shots on target for Hearts to 2.92 for Falkirk. Our predicted score is 1-1, the likeliest single scoreline at 10.5%, though 2-0, 1-0 and 2-1 are all within a point of it and we make Hearts the likelier winner overall. We give Hearts a 39% chance of a clean sheet, and both teams to score 53% and over 2.5 goals 56%.
Our prediction: Hearts 1-1 Falkirk.
Hearts vs Falkirk in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership kicks off at 3pm UK on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Tynecastle Park. Hearts are 3rd on 20 points and Falkirk 4th on 18.
Our prediction for Hearts vs Falkirk in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership is a 1-1 draw, which has a 10.5% chance as the likeliest single score. We make Hearts the more likely winner at 61%, with the draw at 22%.
Hearts are the favourite against Falkirk in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership, with a 61% win chance in our model and a best price of 1.55 at Ladbrokes. Falkirk are 5.50 and the draw is 4.50 at bet365.
We give both teams to score a 53% chance in Hearts vs Falkirk in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership, and it is 1.62 at bet365. Both teams have scored in 73% of Hearts' league games, the 2nd highest rate in the division.
Our model projects 2.94 goals in Hearts vs Falkirk, with Over 2.5 goals at 56% in this 2026/27 Scottish Premiership game. Over 2.5 has landed in 82% of Hearts' matches, the highest in the league, and over 2.5 goals is 1.53 at bet365.
Jacob Murrell has had a shot in 10 straight Scottish Premiership games for Falkirk in the 2026/27 season, averaging 2.9 a game. He is 1.14 at bet365 to have a shot against Hearts on 8 November.
Predicted lineups for Hearts vs Falkirk in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership on Sunday 8 November 2026: Hearts may start Reus; Altena, McCart, Fagan-Walcott, Kingsley; Kerjota, Dhanda, Mendy; McPake, Braga, Wilson. Falkirk may start Bain; McMillan, Henderson, Neilson, Tanser; Spencer, Melniks, Ross; Barbrook, Eames, Murrell.