Updated 6 November 2026.
Manchester United welcome Aston Villa to Old Trafford on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 16:30 UK. United sit 17th in the Premier League with one win from nine, but they're coming off a 3-2 Champions League victory over Roma. Villa are 10th and arrive after a 3-0 defeat at Barcelona, with the fewest shots on target per game in the division.
United's league record reads 1 win, 4 draws and 4 defeats, with 10 goals scored and 15 conceded for 7 points. They have won one of their last five games, drawing one and losing three. They beat Roma 3-2 at home in Tuesday's Champions League game, which came after a 2-0 loss at Chelsea and a 0-3 home defeat to Bournemouth. Before that came a 4-1 reverse at Como and a 1-1 draw at Leeds.
United average 5 shots on target a game, the 4th most in the league, and win the 3rd most corners at 6.11 a game. The shots have not turned into enough goals, with 1.11 scored a game the 10th fewest, and at the other end they've kept no clean sheets, the 2nd lowest rate in the division.
Villa are on 12 points from nine, with 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats, 10 scored and 13 conceded, and they sit 10th in the league table. Their last three games brought a 3-0 Carabao Cup exit at Bournemouth on 28 October, a 1-1 draw with Fulham on Saturday and a 3-0 loss at Barcelona in the Champions League on Tuesday. Before that came a 2-1 win over Manchester City on 24 October.
Villa average 3 shots on target a game, the fewest in the league, and just 3.67 corners, the 3rd fewest. Both sides are in the top three for games where both teams score, at 56%, and Villa's games go over 2.5 goals 56% of the time, the 4th highest rate.
Manchester United possible starting lineup:
Lammens; Dalot, Yoro, de Ligt, Maguire; Andrey Santos, Tielemans; Mbeumo, Fernandes, Cunha; Zirkzee
Aston Villa possible starting lineup:
Suzuki; Bogarde, Torres, Lindelöf, Maatsen; Kamara, Goretzka; McGinn, Manzambi, Alysson; Jackson
Bryan Mbeumo has had a shot in nine straight league games and a shot on target in all nine, averaging 3 shots and 1.3 on target a game. He's 1.50 at bet365 for a shot on target against Villa.
Matheus Cunha has also had at least one shot in nine in a row, averaging 2 a game. Bruno Fernandes has had a shot in eight straight games, averaging 3.1 a game, and he's also made a tackle in five in a row.
For Villa, Nicolas Jackson has had a shot on target in five straight, averaging 1.8, and two or more shots in the same five, averaging 3.8. Bet365 have him at 1.40 for a shot on target and 1.29 for two or more shots. Ian Maatsen has made a tackle in six straight games, averaging 2.3, and is 1.06 at bet365 to keep that going.
We make Manchester United the likeliest winners, at 50%. Midnite have them at 2.15, with the draw at 3.75 and Villa at 3.30 with bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United win | 2.15 (midnite) | 50% |
| Draw | 3.75 (midnite) | 24% |
| Aston Villa win | 3.30 (bet365) | 26% |
| Both teams to score | 1.53 (ladbrokes) | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 (bet365) | 59% |
Our projection has United on 1.8 goals and Villa on 1.24, and we predict a 1-1 draw, the single likeliest scoreline at 11%. We still make United more likely to win overall, at 50%, with 2-1 the next most likely score.
We give both teams to score a 60% chance and over 2.5 goals 59%. Aston Villa's goals record is 10 scored and 13 conceded in nine games, United's 10 and 15.
Diogo Dalot has made at least two tackles in each of his last five, averaging 3.4, and is 1.33 at bet365 for two or more. Matheus Cunha has also made two or more tackles in each of his last five, and is 1.44 at bet365. For Villa, Boubacar Kamara has committed a foul in each of his last five and is 1.22 at Ladbrokes for one or more.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa in the 2026/27 Premier League kicks off at 16:30 UK on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Old Trafford. Villa travel to Manchester having lost 3-0 at Barcelona in the Champions League on Tuesday.
We predict a 1-1 draw between Manchester United and Aston Villa in this 2026/27 Premier League fixture on 8 November 2026, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%. Our model still gives United the better chance of winning at 50%.
Manchester United are favourites at 2.15 with midnite for this 2026/27 Premier League match, with Aston Villa at 3.30 with bet365. Our model gives United a 50% win chance against 26% for Villa in the 2026/27 season.
Our model gives both teams to score a 60% chance in Manchester United vs Aston Villa in the 2026/27 Premier League, with the best price 1.53 at Ladbrokes. United and Villa both sit in the Premier League's top three for BTTS at 56% this season.
Bryan Mbeumo has had a shot on target in 9 straight Premier League games for Manchester United in the 2026/27 season, averaging 1.3 on target a game over the run. He is 1.50 at bet365 for a shot on target against Aston Villa on 8 November.
Manchester United are 17th on 7 points and Aston Villa 10th on 12 points after nine Premier League games each in the 2026/27 season. United have won once, while Villa have won three and drawn three.
Predicted lineups for Man Utd vs Villa in the 2026/27 Premier League on Sunday 8 November 2026: Manchester United may start Lammens; Dalot, Yoro, de Ligt, Maguire; Andrey Santos, Tielemans; Mbeumo, Fernandes, Cunha; Zirkzee. Aston Villa may start Suzuki; Bogarde, Torres, Lindelöf, Maatsen; Kamara, Goretzka; McGinn, Manzambi, Alysson; Jackson.