Updated 26 October 2026.
Paris Saint Germain welcome Olympique Lyonnais to the Parc des Princes on Monday 26 October, kick-off 19:30 UK, and the two sides sit next to each other in the Ligue 1 table. PSG are 5th and Lyon 4th, both on 14 points from seven games, with identical records of four wins, two draws and one defeat. The difference is in goals: PSG have scored 14 and conceded 9, Lyon have scored 13 and conceded 5.
PSG arrive on a seven-game winning run in all competitions, and Lyon have the tightest defence in the league. We make PSG 67% to win.
PSG beat Man City 4-2 away in the Champions League on 14 October, won 3-1 at Strasbourg in Ligue 1 on 17 October, then beat Barcelona 4-2 at home in the Champions League on 20 October. Before that came a 3-1 win over Le Mans and a 2-1 win at Marseille. They average 2 goals a game in the league, the 3rd most, and they average 7.29 shots on target a game, the most in Ligue 1. Both teams have scored in 86% of PSG's league games, the 5th highest rate.
Lyon lost 3-0 at Hoffenheim in the Europa League on 22 October, four days after beating Nice 2-1 in the league. Before the Nice game they beat Crystal Palace 3-2 in the Europa League on 15 October. In the league they lost 2-1 at Lens on 9 October and beat Rennes 4-0 before that.
Lyon concede 0.71 goals a game, the fewest in the division, and they have kept a clean sheet in 43% of their league matches, the 3rd highest rate. They also have the 4th fewest fouls in the league at 10.86 a game. PSG's 5.71 fouls a game is the fewest of all 18 clubs, and their 1 card a game is the fewest too.
Paris Saint Germain possible starting lineup:
Safonov; Hakimi, Pacho, Zabarnyi, Hernández; Vitinha, Neves, Fabián Ruiz; Akliouche, Torres, Doué
Olympique Lyonnais possible starting lineup:
Greif; Athekame, Niakhaté, Mata, Abner; Bidstrup, Morton, Tolisso; Nuamah, Himbert, Duranville
Désiré Doué has made at least one tackle in all seven of PSG's league games and has had a shot on target in three straight. He is 1.36 at bet365 for another shot on target.
Ferran Torres has had at least one shot in four straight games, averaging 1.8 a game across the run, and is 1.03 at bet365 to have another.
Maghnes Akliouche has had two or more shots in three straight games, averaging 2 a game across the run, and is 1.30 at bet365 to make it four.
Mads Bidstrup has made at least one tackle in five straight games, averaging 3.2 a game across the run, and is 1.03 at ladbrokes to make another. Right-back Zachary Athekame has made at least one tackle in all seven of Lyon's league games, averaging 2.6 a game, and is 1.06 at ladbrokes. Corentin Tolisso has done it in five straight games at 1.6 a game, and is 1.14 at ladbrokes.
We back Paris Saint Germain to win, and they are 1.36 at bet365. The draw is 5.75 at bet365 and a Lyon win is 7.5 at midnite. Both teams to score is 1.61 at Ladbrokes, over 2.5 goals is 1.36 at bet365 and over 1.5 goals is 1.11 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| PSG win | 1.36 (bet365) | 67% |
| Draw | 5.75 (bet365) | 19% |
| Lyon win | 7.5 (midnite) | 14% |
| Both teams to score | 1.61 (Ladbrokes) | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.36 (bet365) | 65% |
We project PSG to score 2.34 goals and Lyon 0.99, with PSG taking around 20 shots to Lyon's 9. Our prediction is a 2-0 PSG win, with 2-1 almost level on probability and 1-1 not far behind, so a draw is in play. PSG have a 37% chance of a clean sheet and Lyon 10%.
Prediction: Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Olympique Lyonnais.
Kick-off at the Parc des Princes is 19:30 UK on Monday 26 October 2026.
We predict a 2-0 win for Paris Saint Germain. 2-1 is almost as likely and 1-1 is in the mix, so a draw is in play.
PSG are the favourites at 1.36 with bet365 and our model gives them a 67% chance. Lyon are 7.5 at midnite.
We put both teams to score at 57%, and the best price is 1.61 at Ladbrokes. PSG have scored and conceded in 86% of their league games, while Lyon's rate is 57%.
We project 2.34 goals for PSG and 0.99 for Lyon. Over 2.5 goals is 65% in our model and 1.36 at bet365.
PSG are 5th and Lyon 4th, both on 14 points from seven games. Lyon have the better goal difference at +8 against PSG's +5.
PSG: Safonov; Hakimi, Pacho, Zabarnyi, Hernández; Vitinha, Neves, Fabián Ruiz; Akliouche, Torres, Doué. Lyon: Greif; Athekame, Niakhaté, Mata, Abner; Bidstrup, Morton, Tolisso; Nuamah, Himbert, Duranville.