Updated 30 October 2026.
Paris FC host Monaco at Stade Jean Bouin on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 16:15 UK. Only a point separates the sides in the Ligue 1 table, where Monaco are 4th on 15 points and Paris 6th on 14, and each has played eight games. We predict 1-1, the likeliest single score at 13%, though we make Paris slightly more likely to win, at 39% against 34% for Monaco.
Paris lost 2-1 at Lens last time out, while Monaco drew 1-1 with Lille.
Paris have won four, drawn two and lost two, scoring 13 and conceding 9. They lost 2-1 at Lens on 24 October, two weeks after a 1-0 defeat at Lorient, and in between they won 4-3 against Rennes. In September, both at home, they beat Strasbourg 2-1 and drew 0-0 with Lyon.
Per game, Paris score 1.63 goals, the 6th most in the league, and concede 1.13, the 5th fewest. They have kept a clean sheet in 38% of their matches, the 3rd highest rate in the division. They also commit 14 fouls a game, the 4th most, and collect 2.38 cards a game, the most in Ligue 1.
Monaco have lost once in eight league games, with four wins and three draws. Their 11 goals scored are fewer than Paris's, but they have let in only 7, and 0.88 conceded per game is the 3rd fewest. The league defeat was 1-0 at Lorient on 18 October, and since then they have drawn 1-1 with Lille and beaten Freiburg 3-0 in the Europa Conference League.
Both teams have scored in 63% of Monaco's matches, the 7th highest rate, while only 38% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals. Paris have gone over 2.5 goals in 63% of theirs, the 8th highest rate, and both teams have scored in 50% of their games.
Paris possible starting lineup:
Nkambadio; Camara, Mbow, Coppola, Otávio; Lopez, Lees-Melou; Pagis, Kebbal, Koleosho; Sinayoko
Monaco possible starting lineup:
Hradecky; Vanderson, Teze, Sané, Nazinho; Zakaria, Camara; Golovin, Abline, Detourbet; Brunner
Ilan Kebbal has had at least one shot in all eight of Paris's league games, averaging 2.1 a game, and is 1.07 with bet365 to have a shot again. His team-mate Luca Koleosho has had a shot in each of his last seven games, averaging 2.3 a game, at 1.08 with bet365, and has made a tackle in six straight.
On the Monaco side, Lamine Camara has made at least one tackle in eight straight games, averaging 3.9 a game, and Vanderson averages four tackles a game across a five-game run. Aleksandr Golovin has had a shot in five in a row at 1.8 a game and is 1.20 with bet365 to make it six.
Up front for Paris, Pablo Pagis has committed a foul in all eight league matches.
We make Paris the slightly likelier winners, with the bookmakers in agreement: Paris are 2.30 with Ladbrokes, the draw is 3.50 at bet365 and Monaco are 3.10 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Paris win | 2.30 (Ladbrokes) | 39% |
| Draw | 3.50 (bet365) | 27% |
| Monaco win | 3.10 (bet365) | 34% |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 (bet365) | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 (bet365) | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 (bet365) | 76% |
Our prediction is Paris 1-1 Monaco. 1-1 is the single likeliest scoreline at 13%, though we make Paris slightly more likely to win. We project 1.40 goals for Paris and 1.31 for Monaco, and a 56% chance that both sides score. We project 4.61 shots on target for Paris and 4.03 for Monaco, with a 27% chance of a Paris clean sheet and 25% for Monaco.
Paris vs Monaco in Ligue 1 2026/27 kicks off at 16:15 UK on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Stade Jean Bouin. Monaco are 4th with 15 points from 8 games and Paris are 6th with 14 points from 8 games.
We predict Paris 1-1 Monaco in Ligue 1 2026/27, the likeliest single scoreline at 13%, although we give Paris a slightly better chance of winning at 39% than Monaco at 34%, with a draw on 27%. We project 1.40 goals for Paris and 1.31 for Monaco.
Paris are narrow favourites to beat Monaco in Ligue 1 2026/27: we give them a 39% chance of a home win, against 34% for Monaco and 27% for a draw. Monaco are 4th and Paris 6th in the table, separated by 1 point.
We give both teams to score a 56% chance in Paris vs Monaco, a Ligue 1 2026/27 game. Both teams have scored in 63% of Monaco's games, the 7th highest rate in the league, and in 50% of Paris's games.
Ilan Kebbal has had at least 1 shot in 8 straight Ligue 1 games for Paris, averaging 2.1 a game, ahead of Paris vs Monaco in 2026/27. His team-mate Luca Koleosho has had a shot in 7 straight games, averaging 2.3.
In the Ligue 1 2026/27 table Monaco are 4th on 15 points and Paris are 6th on 14 points, both after 8 games. Monaco have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 1, while Paris have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2.
For the 16:15 UK kick-off on 1 November 2026, Paris's possible starting lineup is Nkambadio; Camara, Mbow, Coppola, Otávio; Lopez, Lees-Melou; Pagis, Kebbal, Koleosho; Sinayoko. Monaco's is Hradecky; Vanderson, Teze, Sané, Nazinho; Zakaria, Camara; Golovin, Abline, Detourbet; Brunner.