Updated 6 November 2026.
Lens welcome Olympique Marseille to Stade Bollaert-Delelis on Sunday 8 November, with kick-off at 19:45 UK. Both sides arrive on the back of midweek European games that went in opposite directions: Lens were beaten 9-1 by Como in the Champions League, while Marseille won 1-0 at Leverkusen in the Europa League. Lens are 9th in Ligue 1 on 13 points, Marseille 6th on 15. We predict a 1-1 draw, though we make Lens the more likely winner at 50%.
Lens have won two and lost three of their last five in all competitions: a 3-1 win at Troyes on 17 October, a 3-0 defeat at Club Brugge in the Champions League, and a 2-1 home victory over Paris on 24 October. Since then they have gone down 1-0 at Lille and then lost 9-1 at home to Como in the Champions League on Wednesday. In the league they have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 4 from nine, scoring 16 and conceding 13. They score freely, with goals for averaging 1.78 a game, the 5th most in the division, and both teams have scored in 78% of their matches, the 2nd highest. They also take a lot of shots on target, averaging 5.33 a game, the 4th most, and win 6 corners a game, the 2nd most.
Marseille's league record is 5 wins and 4 defeats from nine, with 20 goals scored and 13 conceded. They have won four of their last five in all competitions, including a 1-0 win at Leverkusen in the Europa League on Thursday, a 2-0 home win over Toulouse on 1 November and a 4-3 win against Le Havre a week earlier. The fourth was a 5-2 win at Angers on 18 October, and the one defeat in that spell was 1-0 at Sturm Graz in the Europa League. Only one side scores more per game than their 2.22, and they have kept a clean sheet in 33% of league games, the 4th highest.
In the Ligue 1 table, Marseille are three places and two points ahead of Lens.
Lens possible starting lineup:
Risser; Aguilar, Baidoo, Todibo, Udol; Haidara, Cuisance, Abdulhamid; Sotoca, Hazard, Thauvin
Olympique Marseille possible starting lineup:
de Lange; Weah, Egan-Riley, Aguerd, Garcia; Nnadi, Højbjerg; Abdelli, Harit, Paixão; Gouiri
Timothy Weah has had at least one shot in seven straight games, averaging 1.4 a game, and is 1.62 at bet365 to make it eight.
Igor Paixão has managed two or more shots in three consecutive games and averages four a game over that spell, and he is 1.62 at bet365 for 2+ shots.
Himad Abdelli has had a shot in four in a row, averaging two a game, and is 1.33 at bet365 for another.
For Lens, Thorgan Hazard has had a shot in five straight, including a shot on target in each of the last three, and is 1.62 at bet365 for a shot on target again.
Ruben Aguilar has made at least one tackle in seven consecutive games, averaging 3.1 a game.
We make Lens favourites at 50% to win, against 22% for the draw and 28% for Marseille. bet365 have Lens at 2.30 and the draw at 3.90, with Marseille at 3.00 at Coral. Both teams to score is 1.44 at bet365 and over 2.5 goals is 1.50.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Lens to win | 2.30 (bet365) | 50% |
| Draw | 3.90 (bet365) | 22% |
| Marseille to win | 3.00 (Coral) | 28% |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 (bet365) | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 (bet365) | 70% |
We project 2.08 goals for Lens and 1.51 for Marseille, and four or more goals has a 48% chance. Our prediction is Lens 1-1 Olympique Marseille, the likeliest single score at 9.1%, though we make Lens more likely to win and 2-1 is almost level with it at 9.0%.
Lens vs Marseille in the 2026/27 Ligue 1 kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, with 9th-placed Lens hosting 6th-placed Olympique Marseille after 9 games each.
Our prediction for Lens vs Marseille in the 2026/27 Ligue 1 is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 9.1%. We still make Lens more likely to win, at 50%, against 28% for Marseille and 22% for a draw.
Lens are favourites against Olympique Marseille in the 2026/27 Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November, with our model giving them a 50% chance and bet365 offering 2.30 on a home win. Marseille are 28% and best priced at 3.00 with Coral, while the draw is 22%.
Both teams to score has a 69% chance in Lens vs Marseille in the 2026/27 Ligue 1 and is 1.44 at bet365. Both teams have scored in 78% of Lens's league games this season, the 2nd highest rate in the division.
Before Lens vs Marseille in the 2026/27 Ligue 1, Lens are 9th on 13 points from nine games, while Marseille are 6th on 15 points from nine. Marseille have won five and lost four, Lens four and four with one draw.
Timothy Weah has had at least one shot in seven straight games for Marseille ahead of the 2026/27 Ligue 1 trip to Lens, averaging 1.4 a game. bet365 offer 1.62 on another shot against Lens on Sunday 8 November.
Predicted lineups for Lens vs Marseille in the 2026/27 Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November 2026: Lens may start Risser; Aguilar, Baidoo, Todibo, Udol; Haidara, Cuisance, Abdulhamid; Sotoca, Hazard, Thauvin. Olympique Marseille may start de Lange; Weah, Egan-Riley, Aguerd, Garcia; Nnadi, Højbjerg; Abdelli, Harit, Paixão; Gouiri.