Updated 24 October 2026.
Genoa and Venezia meet at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 14:00 UK, and the two clubs have scored 11 goals between them in 14 league games. Genoa are 17th in Serie A with 4 points from 7 games, and Venezia sit 20th on 3. Both have won once all season.
Genoa have scored 5 goals and conceded 13. Venezia's numbers are 6 for and 16 against.
Genoa have lost five of their seven league games, and they come in off a 2-0 defeat at Roma. The week before, they beat Fiorentina 2-1 at home, and that win and a 1-1 draw with Frosinone, also at the Ferraris, account for all four of their points.
The problem is at the other end. Genoa average 0.71 goals a game, which is the 2nd fewest in the division, and their shots on target come in at 2.86 a game, the fewest in Serie A. Their goals against figure of 1.86 a game is the 7th most. They also lead the league for cards, at 3 a game.
Venezia arrive off a 1-0 home win over Napoli on 17 October. Before that they lost to Atalanta 3-1, Lazio 2-0, Fiorentina 4-2 and Frosinone 3-2. The Napoli win is their only one in seven league games, after six defeats.
Venezia concede 2.29 goals a game, the 3rd most in the league, and score 0.86. They are 2nd most for cards at 2.86 a game. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 43% of the league games for each side, the 6th lowest rate in Serie A.
Genoa possible starting lineup:
Bijlow; Marcandalli, Østigård, Vásquez; Ehizibue, Frendrup, Ellertsson, Traoré; Messias, El Shaarawy, Osmajic
Venezia possible starting lineup:
Stanković; Moreno, Juan Jesus, Halhal; Haps, Sohm, Bašić, Hainaut, Kike Pérez; Yeboah, Adams
Mikael Egill Ellertsson has made 2 or more tackles in seven straight league games, averaging 2.7 a game, and that line is 1.53 at bet365. He has also committed a foul in seven in a row, priced at 1.50 with Ladbrokes.
For Venezia, John Yeboah has had 2 or more shots in seven straight league games, averaging 3 a game. He is 1.22 at bet365 for 2+ shots, and he has hit the target in four of his last five.
His strike partner Akor Adams is shooting even more. He has had 3 or more shots in four straight games and averages 4.8 a game. The 3+ shots line is 1.67 at bet365.
Leo Østigård has made a tackle and committed a foul in seven straight league games. Kike Pérez has made a tackle in six straight league games and is averaging 2.7 a game, and he has committed 2 or more fouls in each of his last four, at 2.00 with Ladbrokes.
We make Genoa slight favourites at home. Our model has them at 44% to win, with Venezia on 29% and the draw on 27%. Genoa are 2.10 at bet365 to win, the draw is 3.40 and Venezia are 3.50.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa win | 2.10 (bet365) | 44% |
| Draw | 3.40 (bet365) | 27% |
| Venezia win | 3.50 (bet365) | 29% |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 (bet365) | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 (midnite) | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 (bet365) | 52% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 13%, though we still make Genoa slightly more likely to win the game. We project 1.54 goals for Genoa and 1.20 for Venezia, and 2-1 and 1-0 follow the draw among the likeliest scorelines.
Both teams to score is 56% in our model and 1.75 at bet365. The over 2.5 line is 2.00 at bet365, and we give it 52%.
Kick-off is at 14:00 UK on Sunday 25 October 2026 at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris.
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 13%. We make Genoa slightly more likely to win the game, at 44% to Venezia's 29%.
Genoa are the favourites at 2.10 with bet365, with the draw at 3.40 and Venezia at 3.50.
We give both teams to score a 56% chance, and bet365 price it at 1.75. Genoa and Venezia have each conceded at least 1.86 goals a game this season.
Genoa are 17th with 4 points from 7 games, and Venezia are 20th with 3 points from 7.
John Yeboah has had at least 2 shots in seven straight league games, averaging 3 a game. For Genoa, Mikael Egill Ellertsson has made 2 or more tackles in seven straight league games.
Genoa: Bijlow; Marcandalli, Østigård, Vásquez; Ehizibue, Frendrup, Ellertsson, Traoré; Messias, El Shaarawy, Osmajic. Venezia: Stanković; Moreno, Juan Jesus, Halhal; Haps, Sohm, Bašić, Hainaut, Kike Pérez; Yeboah, Adams.