Updated 23 October 2026.
Lazio host Parma at the Stadio Olimpico on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 7:45pm UK. Lazio are 2nd on 19 points from seven games, unbeaten, with six wins and a draw. Parma are 19th on 4 points, with one win, one draw and five defeats. That leaves them 17 places and 15 points behind in the Serie A table.
Lazio have conceded four goals in seven league games, and Parma have scored four.
Lazio come in off a 3-0 win at Juventus on 18 October, and before that a 3-1 home win over Monza. They have won four of their last five league games, the exception a 2-2 draw with AC Milan at the Olimpico. They average 2 goals a game, the 3rd most in Serie A, and have kept a clean sheet in 57% of their matches, the 2nd highest rate. Only one side has conceded fewer, at 0.57 a game.
Parma have lost their last two without scoring, 0-3 to Torino on 19 October and 0-3 at Inter nine days earlier. Their last win was a 2-1 home win over Genoa on 20 September. At 0.57 goals a game they have the fewest in the division, and they have registered the 3rd fewest shots on target at 3.43 a game. They concede 1.86 a game, the 7th most.
Lazio have won six of seven league games and Parma have lost five of seven.
Lazio possible starting lineup:
Mandas; Floriani Mussolini, Sutalo, Provstgaard, Tavares; Belahyane, Taylor, Frattesi; Isaksen, Noslin, Zaccagni
Parma possible starting lineup:
Corvi; Delprato, Troilo, Diego Carlos, Britschgi; Keita, Fabbian, Bernabé, Valeri; Romero, Touré
Romano Floriani Mussolini has made at least one tackle in all seven of Lazio's league games, averaging 2.1, and is 1.17 at bet365 to keep that going. Reda Belahyane has done the same in six straight at 2 a game, priced at 1.10.
In attack, Mattia Zaccagni has had a shot on target in four of his last five and is 1.53 at bet365 to add another. Gustav Isaksen has a shot on target in four of his last five as well, at 1.30 at bet365, and has committed a foul in four straight games.
For Parma, El Bilal Touré has had a shot in five straight games, averaging 1.8, and he is 1.22 at bet365 to make it six. Diego Carlos has fouled in five straight and is 1.25 at Midnite to extend the run. David Romero has taken a shot in four in a row, averaging 2.8.
We back Lazio to win, at 1.40 with Ladbrokes. Our model gives them a 62% chance of the win, with 25% for the draw and 13% for a Parma victory. The best prices are below.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Lazio win | 1.40 (Ladbrokes) | 62% |
| Draw | 4.75 (bet365) | 25% |
| Parma win | 9.00 (bet365) | 13% |
| Both teams to score | 2.10 (bet365) | 41% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 (bet365) | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 (bet365) | 43% |
We predict Lazio 1-0 Parma, with 2-0 the next likeliest scoreline. We have Lazio on 1.71 goals and Parma on 0.67, and we give Lazio a 51% chance of a clean sheet. A 1-1 draw is in play, at 11% the third most likely score.
In the player markets, Zaccagni to have a shot on target is 1.53 at bet365, Isaksen to do the same is 1.30 and Touré to have a shot is 1.22. For a player-market builder we would look at Touré to shoot, Diego Carlos to foul, and Zaccagni and Isaksen each to have a shot on target. Touré and Diego Carlos have hit in each of their last five games, Zaccagni and Isaksen in four of five.
Lazio host Parma at the Stadio Olimpico on Saturday 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 7:45pm UK time.
We predict Lazio 1-0 Parma. Our model gives Lazio a 62% chance of the win, with 25% for the draw and 13% for a Parma win.
Lazio are favourites at 1.40 with Ladbrokes. The draw is 4.75 and Parma are 9.00, both at bet365.
Our model gives both teams to score a 41% chance and over 2.5 goals 43%. Lazio are projected 1.71 goals and Parma 0.67.
Lazio are 2nd on 19 points from seven games, unbeaten. Parma are 19th on 4 points with one win, one draw and five defeats.
Romano Floriani Mussolini has tackled in all seven Lazio games, Mattia Zaccagni has a shot on target in four of his last five, and El Bilal Touré has had a shot in five straight Parma games.
Lazio: Mandas; Floriani Mussolini, Sutalo, Provstgaard, Tavares; Belahyane, Taylor, Frattesi; Isaksen, Noslin, Zaccagni. Parma: Corvi; Delprato, Troilo, Diego Carlos, Britschgi; Keita, Fabbian, Bernabé, Valeri; Romero, Touré.