Updated 24 October 2026.
Udinese host AC Milan at the Dacia Arena on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 19:45 UK, and the two sides arrive in very different form. Udinese are 16th in Serie A with 4 points from 7 games and five defeats in their last five. Milan are 4th on 15 points and haven't lost a league game all season.
Udinese have conceded 16 goals, the 3rd most in the division, and Milan arrive with the 3rd best attack. The home side's one bright spot is a midfielder who has had a shot in every game this season.
Udinese have lost their last five: a 2-1 home defeat to Lazio, a 5-3 loss at Inter, a 1-0 home defeat to Cagliari, a 2-1 loss at Torino and, most recently, a 3-0 home defeat to Lecce. They score 1.29 a game, the 9th fewest in the league, and concede 2.29. Both teams have scored in 71% of their games, the 4th highest rate in Serie A, and they have kept no clean sheets. Their shots on target average of 3.86 is the 5th fewest in the league.
Milan are unbeaten in Serie A, with 4 wins and 3 draws, scoring 2 a game and conceding 1, both the 3rd best in the division. Their last league outing was a 3-2 win over Atalanta, and before that a 1-1 draw at Sassuolo. In Europe they won 4-0 away at Salzburg before a 3-0 defeat at Bournemouth on Thursday, their only defeat in their last five. They also hold the 6th highest clean-sheet rate at 29%, and they are the 4th highest for both teams scoring at 71%.
Milan average 3 corners a game, the fewest in Serie A, and Udinese are not far ahead on 3.86, the 7th fewest.
Udinese possible starting lineup:
Okoye; Palma, Solet, Ebosse; Vojvoda, Karlström, Piotrowski, Kamara; Chakvetadze, Ekkelenkamp; Davis
AC Milan possible starting lineup:
Maignan; Gila, De Winter, Pavlović, Moreira; Musah, Modrić, Rabiot, Estupiñán; Pulisic; Ramos
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp has had a shot in all seven of Udinese's games and averages 2.9 a game, and a shot or more is 1.18 at Coral.
Strahinja Pavlović has made a tackle in each of Milan's seven league games, averaging 2.6, and the price is 1.11 at bet365. He's also 3.75 for two or more shots, and 1.53 for a foul.
Mario Gila has made two or more tackles in four straight games and is 1.40 at bet365 to do it again. He's also 4.33 for two or more fouls.
Adrien Rabiot has had a shot on target in three straight games and is 2.15 at Ladbrokes to make it four.
Enzo Ebosse has made a tackle in four in a row for Udinese and is 1.14 at bet365, and he's 1.48 at Ladbrokes to commit a foul having done so in three straight.
We back AC Milan to win, and the best price is 1.67 at bet365. Udinese are 5.50 at bet365 and the draw is 3.80 at Midnite.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Udinese win | 5.50 (bet365) | 20% |
| Draw | 3.80 (Midnite) | 25% |
| AC Milan win | 1.67 (bet365) | 55% |
| Both teams to score | 1.83 (Coral) | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 (bet365) | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 (bet365) | 51% |
Our model projects 1.74 goals for Milan against 0.98 for Udinese. The likeliest single score is 1-1 at 12%, though we make Milan 55% to win, with the draw at 25% and Udinese at 20%. We give Udinese an 18% chance of keeping a clean sheet and Milan 38%.
Prediction: Udinese 1-1 AC Milan
Kick-off is at 19:45 UK on Sunday 25 October 2026 at the Dacia Arena.
We predict a 1-1 draw as the likeliest score, though we make AC Milan favourites to win, at 55% to Udinese's 20%.
AC Milan, at 1.67 with bet365. Udinese are 5.50 and the draw is 3.80.
We give both teams to score a 52% chance, and the best price is 1.83 at Coral. Both Udinese and Milan are in the top four in Serie A for games where both sides score, at 71% each.
Udinese are 16th with 4 points from 7 games. AC Milan are 4th with 15 points and no league defeats.
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp has had a shot in each of Udinese's seven games and averages 2.9 per game.
Udinese: Okoye; Palma, Solet, Ebosse; Vojvoda, Karlström, Piotrowski, Kamara; Chakvetadze, Ekkelenkamp; Davis. AC Milan: Maignan; Gila, De Winter, Pavlović, Moreira; Musah, Modrić, Rabiot, Estupiñán; Pulisic; Ramos.