Updated 11 November 2026.
Luxembourg host Estonia at the Stade de Luxembourg on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UK, in League C of the UEFA Nations League. The two met on 3 October and Estonia won 1-0 at home. Estonia have conceded once in four games.
Luxembourg are 4th in their group in the Nations League table on 3 points from four games, with two scored and seven conceded. Estonia are 2nd in the group on 6 points, which is one win and three draws with no defeats.
Estonia have kept a clean sheet in 75% of their games, the 2nd highest in the competition, and concede 0.25 goals a game, the 2nd fewest. Estonia's last four games were a 0-0 at home to Iceland on 6 October, the 1-0 win over Luxembourg on 3 October, a 0-0 at Bulgaria on 29 September and a 1-1 at Iceland on 26 September. They don't score much either, at 0.5 goals a game, the 14th fewest. Over 2.5 goals has landed in none of their four.
Luxembourg won 2-1 at Bulgaria on 26 September, then lost 3-0 to Iceland on 29 September, 1-0 at Estonia on 3 October and 2-0 to Bulgaria at home on 6 October. That is three straight defeats without a goal. They concede 1.75 a game, the 13th most, and have not kept a clean sheet in the competition. Their 4.25 shots on target a game is the 27th fewest.
Estonia commit 15.5 fouls a game, the 4th most, while Luxembourg commit 13.75, the 13th most, and pick up 2.75 cards a game, also the 13th most.
Luxembourg possible starting lineup:
Moris; Mahmutovic, Bohnert, Moreira, Selimovic; Duarte, Veiga, Natami; Thill, Dardari, Kadamani
Estonia possible starting lineup:
Hein; Mets, Paskotsi, Tougjas, Käit; Poom, Kristal, Palumets; Shein, Männilaan, Schjönning-Larsen
Vincent Thill has had a shot in all four games, averaging 2 a game, and has committed a foul in each as well.
Aiman Dardari has also had at least one shot in four straight games, at 1.5 a game.
For Estonia, Markus Poom has had a shot in each of his four games, at 1.8 a game, and has made a tackle in three straight.
Centre-back Maksim Paskotsi has had a shot in all four games and committed a foul in all four, averaging 2.5 fouls a game.
Patrik Kristal has made a tackle in four straight, at 1.5 a game, and has had a shot in his last three.
Luxembourg are the bookmakers' favourites at 2.15 with bet365, with the draw at 3.25 with Coral and an Estonia win at 3.75 with Midnite. Both teams to score is 2.10 with bet365, and over 2.5 goals is 2.50.
| Market | Best price |
|---|---|
| Luxembourg to win | 2.15 (bet365) |
| Draw | 3.25 (Coral) |
| Estonia to win | 3.75 (Midnite) |
| Both teams to score | 2.10 (bet365) |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.50 (bet365) |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.50 (bet365) |
Estonia have kept a clean sheet in three of their four games and none of the four has gone over 2.5 goals, while Luxembourg have lost their last three without scoring. In the player markets, Thill and Dardari have each had a shot in all four games, and Poom has done the same for Estonia.
Luxembourg vs Estonia in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League kicks off at 19:45 UK on Friday 13 November 2026 at the Stade de Luxembourg. It is a League C fixture, with Luxembourg 4th and Estonia 2nd in their group.
Luxembourg are the bookmakers' favourites for Luxembourg vs Estonia in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League at 2.15 with bet365, against 3.25 for the draw and 3.75 for an Estonia win. Estonia won the reverse fixture 1-0 on 3 October.
Both teams to score is 2.10 with bet365 for Luxembourg vs Estonia in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League. It has landed in 25% of games for each side this season, and Estonia have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 4.
Ahead of Luxembourg vs Estonia, Estonia are 2nd in their 2026/27 UEFA Nations League League C group on 6 points from 4 games and Luxembourg are 4th on 3 points from 4. Estonia concede 0.25 goals a game, the 2nd fewest in the competition.
Ahead of Luxembourg vs Estonia, Vincent Thill and Aiman Dardari have each had at least 1 shot in all 4 of Luxembourg's 2026/27 UEFA Nations League games. For Estonia, Markus Poom and Maksim Paskotsi have both had a shot in all 4.
Predicted lineups for Luxembourg vs Estonia in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Friday 13 November 2026: Luxembourg may start Moris; Mahmutovic, Bohnert, Moreira, Selimovic; Duarte, Veiga, Natami; Thill, Dardari, Kadamani. Estonia may start Hein; Mets, Paskotsi, Tougjas, Käit; Poom, Kristal, Palumets; Shein, Männilaan, Schjönning-Larsen.