Updated 11 November 2026.
Sweden host Bosnia and Herzegovina at the Strawberry Arena on Saturday 14 November, kick-off 19:45 UK, and the two sides sit first and second in their League B group. Sweden lead on 10 points from four games, Bosnia are on 8, and neither has lost. They have already met this autumn, a 1-1 draw on 2 October.
Sweden have won three of their four Nations League games, the exception being that draw with Bosnia. Bosnia are unbeaten too, with two wins and two draws from their four.
Sweden have scored 7 and conceded 3 in four games, and they come in on the back of a 1-0 win away to Romania on 5 October. Before that came a 1-1 draw in Bosnia, a 3-1 win over Poland and a 2-1 win over Romania. Their last defeat was a 3-0 loss to France at the World Cup.
Each side has conceded 0.75 goals a game, the 16th fewest in the competition. Sweden average 1.75 goals for, and both teams have scored in 75% of their games, the 7th highest rate in the competition. They take few fouls (9 a game, the 6th fewest) and few cards (0.75 a game, the 4th fewest).
Bosnia and Herzegovina beat Poland 1-0 on 5 October, three days after the 1-1 draw with Sweden. Before that came a 4-2 win away to Romania and a goalless draw with Poland. They have kept a clean sheet in half of their games, the 8th highest rate, but they are not a side that piles up shots: 2.75 on target a game puts them 11th fewest. They also give away more fouls (11.5 a game) and pick up more cards (2.5) than Sweden.
Sweden possible starting lineup:
Johansson; Smith, Lindelöf, Gudmundsson; Svensson, Karlström, Ayari, Bernhardsson; Zeneli, Nanasi, Gyökeres
Bosnia and Herzegovina possible starting lineup:
Zlomislic; Mujakic, Katic, Kolasinac, Dedić; Basic, Gigovic, Memic; Mahmic, Tabakovic, Demirovic
Viktor Gyökeres has had a shot on target in four straight games, and he is 1.22 at Ladbrokes to make it five. He has also had two or more shots in three straight games, averaging 3.3 a game across them.
Ermedin Demirovic has had a shot in four straight games. He has also put a shot on target in four of his last five, and is 1.75 at Ladbrokes and Coral to have one on Saturday.
Haris Tabakovic has had two or more shots in four of his last five, with 14 shots across them. Ladbrokes and Coral go 1.75 on two or more again.
Daniel Svensson has had a shot in three straight games from left-back and is 1.44 at Ladbrokes to keep that going.
We back Sweden to win, and the best price is 1.55 at Ladbrokes.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden win | 1.55 (Ladbrokes) | 62% |
| Draw | 4.50 (Coral) | 21% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina win | 6.00 (bet365) | 17% |
| Both teams to score | 1.73 (Ladbrokes) | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 (bet365) | 58% |
We predict Sweden 2-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina, with 2.04 goals projected for the hosts against 0.97 for the visitors. 2-0 only just leads the scorelines: 1-0, 2-1 and 1-1 are all within a point of it, so a draw is in play. Sweden should keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and we make over 1.5 goals 80% likely.
Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27 (League B) kicks off at 19:45 UK on Saturday 14 November 2026 at the Strawberry Arena. The two sides drew 1-1 on 2 October, and Sweden lead the group on 10 points to 8.
We predict Sweden 2-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, with Sweden given a 62% chance of winning. A draw is still in play at 21%, and 1-1 sits close behind the top scorelines.
Sweden are favourites for the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League game on 14 November, priced 1.55 at Ladbrokes, with Bosnia and Herzegovina 6.00 at bet365. Our model gives Sweden a 62% chance of a home win.
We give both teams to score a 54% chance in this 2026/27 UEFA Nations League fixture, with 1.73 the best price at Ladbrokes. Both sides scored in their 1-1 draw on 2 October, and Sweden's games have seen both teams score 75% of the time.
Sweden lead their 2026/27 UEFA Nations League League B group on 10 points from 4 games, with Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd on 8 points. Neither side has lost, and Sweden's record is three wins and a draw.
Viktor Gyökeres has had a shot on target in 4 straight games for Sweden ahead of Saturday's 2026/27 UEFA Nations League match against Bosnia and Herzegovina. He has also averaged 3.3 shots a game across his last three, and is 1.22 at Ladbrokes for another shot on target.
Predicted lineups for Sweden vs Bosnia in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Saturday 14 November 2026: Sweden may start Johansson; Smith, Lindelöf, Gudmundsson; Svensson, Karlström, Ayari, Bernhardsson; Zeneli, Nanasi, Gyökeres. Bosnia and Herzegovina may start Zlomislic; Mujakic, Katic, Kolasinac, Dedić; Basic, Gigovic, Memic; Mahmic, Tabakovic, Demirovic.