Updated 11 November 2026.
Turkey host Belgium at the Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı in İzmir on Thursday 12 November, kicking off at 17:00 UK time. The hosts have lost all four of their UEFA Nations League League A games and have scored twice while shipping eleven. Belgium arrive with six points and come off a heavy defeat in France.
Turkey are 4th in the Nations League standings with no points from four games. Belgium sit 3rd with six points from two wins and two defeats.
Turkey lost 3-1 away to Italy on 5 October, went down 3-0 to Belgium three days earlier, and before that lost 4-1 at home to Italy and 1-0 to France. That is four defeats on the spin, after a 3-2 World Cup win over the USA in June. Their goals-against average of 2.75 per game is the 4th most in the competition, and they average just 0.5 goals for, the 14th fewest. They win plenty of corners, 6.25 a game, the 4th most in the competition, and have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of their games, the 6th highest rate. Their shots on target come in at 4.75 a game, the 18th most.
Belgium have won two and lost two of their four Nations League games. They opened with a 2-0 win in Italy, lost 1-0 at home to France, then beat Turkey 3-0 before a 4-1 defeat in France on 5 October. They have kept a clean sheet in half their games, the 8th highest rate, and average 5.5 shots on target, the 11th most. They are also the 3rd most carded side in the competition, at 3.5 cards a game.
Turkey possible starting lineup:
Çakır; Çelik, Kabak, Topçu, Kadıoğlu; Özcan, Yüksek, Kökçü; Akgün, Güler, Yılmaz
Belgium possible starting lineup:
Vandevoordt; Castagne, Mechele, Ngoy, Seys; Raskin, Vanaken, Keita; Lukébakio, Trossard, Lukaku
Dodi Lukébakio has had a shot on target in four straight games, averaging 1.5 a game, and is 1.40 at bet365 to get one again.
Arda Güler has taken three or more shots in three straight games, averaging five a match, and has had a shot on target in each of them. Ladbrokes price both at 1.40.
Zeki Çelik has made two or more tackles in four straight games, averaging 2.8, and has committed a foul in each of them as well. The tackle line is 1.20 at bet365.
Brandon Mechele has made a tackle in four straight games, averaging two, and has committed a foul in four of his last five.
We back Belgium to win, available at 1.85 with Coral. Our model gives them a 44% chance, with Turkey at 32% and the draw at 24%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Turkey win | 3.90 (bet365) | 32% |
| Draw | 4.10 (bet365) | 24% |
| Belgium win | 1.85 (Coral) | 44% |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 (bet365) | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 (bet365) | 59% |
Our prediction is Turkey 1-1 Belgium, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, though we make Belgium the likelier winner at 44%, projecting 1.66 goals to Turkey's 1.38. We give both teams to score 61% and over 2.5 goals 59%.
In the fouls market, Timothy Castagne has committed a foul in four of his last five games and is 1.57 at bet365, Ladbrokes and Coral, while Mechele is 1.73 at bet365 for a foul.
Turkey vs Belgium in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27 kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Thursday 12 November 2026. The match is at the Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı in İzmir.
We predict Turkey 1-1 Belgium in this UEFA Nations League 2026/27 League A fixture, with 1-1 the likeliest single scoreline at 11%. We still make Belgium more likely to win, at 44%, against 32% for Turkey.
Belgium are favourites to beat Turkey in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27 game on 12 November 2026, priced at 1.85 with Coral. Turkey are 3.90 at bet365 and the draw is 4.10, with our model giving Belgium 44%.
We give both teams to score a 61% chance in Turkey vs Belgium in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27, with over 2.5 goals at 59%. Turkey have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their 4 league games, or 75%.
Dodi Lukébakio has had at least one shot on target in 4 straight games for Belgium, averaging 1.5 a game, and they all came in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27. He is 1.40 at bet365 to do it again against Turkey.
Belgium are 3rd in their UEFA Nations League 2026/27 League A group with 6 points from 4 games, while Turkey are 4th with 0 points after losing all 4 games. Turkey have scored 2 and conceded 11.
Predicted lineups for Turkey vs Belgium in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Thursday 12 November 2026: Turkey may start Çakır; Çelik, Kabak, Topçu, Kadıoğlu; Özcan, Yüksek, Kökçü; Akgün, Güler, Yılmaz. Belgium may start Vandevoordt; Castagne, Mechele, Ngoy, Seys; Raskin, Vanaken, Keita; Lukébakio, Trossard, Lukaku.