Updated 11 November 2026.
England host Croatia at Wembley Stadium on Thursday 12 November, with kick-off at 19:45 UK. The last time these two met, England won 7-0 in Croatia in October.
England are second in their League A group with 9 points from four games, having scored 14 and conceded 3. They average 3.5 goals a game, the most of any side in the competition, and they've kept a clean sheet in 75% of their matches, the 2nd highest rate. Their only defeat was a 3-2 loss to Spain. They've won the other three, including a 2-0 win in Prague and a 3-0 win over the Czech Republic at home last time out.
Croatia are third in the group with 3 points from four and have conceded 14, the 2nd most in the competition, at 3.5 a game. They've lost three of four, a run that took in the 7-0 and a 4-1 defeat to Spain, and their latest outing was a 1-2 loss to Spain at home. Their one win came 2-1 away to the Czech Republic. Every one of their four games has gone over 2.5 goals, the highest rate in the competition, and they score 1.0 goals a game, the 27th fewest on Croatia's goals page.
England have 6.25 shots on target a game, the 7th most, against 3.25 for Croatia, the 16th fewest. England's foul count is 9.75 a game, the 8th fewest.
England possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Alexander-Arnold, Quansah, Branthwaite, Hall; Rice, Anderson; Rogers, Bellingham, Gordon; Kane
Croatia possible starting lineup:
Livakovic; Stanisic, Vuskovic, Gvardiol, Caleta-Car; Modrić, Kovacic, Pašalić; Sučić, Baturina; Beljo
Harry Kane has had two or more shots in each of England's four games, averaging 3 a game. He has also had two or more shots on target in each of his last three, which Ladbrokes price at 1.61.
Jude Bellingham has had a shot on target in four straight games, and Coral price another at 2.30.
Elliot Anderson has had a shot, a foul and a tackle in each of his four games. He's 1.28 at Ladbrokes for a shot and 1.08 at bet365 for a tackle.
Anthony Gordon has put a shot on target in three straight games, and he's 1.40 at bet365 to do it again.
Luka Vuskovic has committed a foul in four straight games, averaging 1.3, and he is 1.44 at Ladbrokes to do it again.
We back England to win, and Ladbrokes have them at 1.25. The model gives them a 71% chance, with the draw at 18% and Croatia at 11%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| England win | 1.25 (Ladbrokes) | 71% |
| Draw | 7.00 (bet365) | 18% |
| Croatia win | 12.00 (BoyleSports) | 11% |
| Both teams to score | 2.00 (Ladbrokes) | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 (Ladbrokes) | 57% |
We predict England 2-0. That is the likeliest single score at 13%, ahead of 1-0 at 11%, and we have England keeping a clean sheet 48% of the time. We project 2.24 goals for England against 0.74 for Croatia, and have over 1.5 goals at 80% and over 3.5 at 35%.
In the bet builder, Rogers has had a foul in five straight games, Rice a shot in four of five and Gordon a shot on target in four of five.
England vs Croatia kicks off at 19:45 UK on Thursday 12 November 2026 at Wembley Stadium, in the fifth of six League A group games for both sides in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League.
We predict England to beat Croatia 2-0 in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, with 2-0 the likeliest score at 13%. We give England a 71% chance of winning.
England are the favourites at 1.25 with Ladbrokes, and we make them 71% likely to win this 2026/27 Nations League game against Croatia, whose chance is 11%.
We put both teams to score at 47% for England vs Croatia in the 2026/27 Nations League, and over 2.5 goals at 57%. England are projected 2.24 goals, Croatia 0.74.
Harry Kane has had 2+ shots in 4 straight Nations League games, averaging 3 a game, and Jude Bellingham has had a shot on target in 4 straight, going into the Croatia match.
England are 2nd in their 2026/27 Nations League A group with 9 points from 4 games, while Croatia are 3rd on 3 points from 4, having lost three of their four.
Predicted lineups for England vs Croatia in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Thursday 12 November 2026: England may start Pickford; Alexander-Arnold, Quansah, Branthwaite, Hall; Rice, Anderson; Rogers, Bellingham, Gordon; Kane. Croatia may start Livakovic; Stanisic, Vuskovic, Gvardiol, Caleta-Car; Modrić, Kovacic, Pašalić; Sučić, Baturina; Beljo.