Turkmenistan have taken 2.6 points more than their chances warranted over 9 games: +2.5 goals against their xG, and -0.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 9 | 9 | 11.54 | 14 | +2.46 | 11.68 | 12 | -0.32 | 12.37 | 15 | +2.63 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.12 | 9 | +2.88 | 5.96 | 6 | -0.04 | 7.11 | 9 | +1.89 |
| Home | 4 | 6.46 | 9 | +2.54 | 4.94 | 6 | -1.06 | 6.62 | 9 | +2.38 |
| Away | 5 | 5.08 | 5 | -0.08 | 6.74 | 6 | +0.74 | 5.75 | 6 | +0.25 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar | Asian Cup Qualification | Thailand (A) | 2-1 | 0.25 | 1.94 | 0.29 | 0 | L |
| 18 Nov | Asian Cup Qualification | Chinese Taipei (H) | 3-1 | 1.61 | 0.35 | 2.31 | 3 | W |
| 14 Oct | Asian Cup Qualification | Sri Lanka (H) | 2-1 | 1.92 | 1.25 | 1.81 | 3 | W |
| 9 Oct | Asian Cup Qualification | Sri Lanka (A) | 1-0 | 0.92 | 0.70 | 1.51 | 0 | W |
| 10 Jun | Asian Cup Qualification | Thailand (H) | 3-1 | 1.42 | 1.72 | 1.19 | 3 | L |
| 25 Mar | Asian Cup Qualification | Chinese Taipei (A) | 1-2 | 0.58 | 0.54 | 1.32 | 3 | D |
| 14 Jun | Asian Cup Qualification | Bahrain (A) | 1-0 | 0.87 | 2.23 | 0.58 | 0 | L |
| 11 Jun | Asian Cup Qualification | Bangladesh (A) | 1-2 | 2.46 | 1.33 | 2.05 | 3 | W |
| 8 Jun | Asian Cup Qualification | Malaysia (H) | 1-3 | 1.51 | 1.62 | 1.31 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elman Tagayev | attacker | 8 | 501 | 0.00 | 3 | +3.00 | 0.00 |
| Altymurad Annadurdyev | attacker | 7 | 386 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Mekan Saparov | defender | 5 | 450 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Arslanmyrat Amanov | attacker | 3 | 175 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Ahmet Atayev | midfielder | 4 | 331 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Yhlas Saparmammedov | defender | 3 | 226 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Resul Çaryýew | goalkeeper | 5 | 450 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Ýazgylyç Gurbanov | attacker | 4 | 218 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Teymur Charyyev | midfielder | 5 | 450 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singapore | 6 | 7.7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 8.4 | 14 | +5.6 |
| 2 | Myanmar | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | 8.5 | 11 | 7.4 | 12 | +4.6 |
| 3 | Turkmenistan | 6 | 6.7 | 11 | 6.5 | 7 | 8.4 | 12 | +3.6 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 5 | 11.8 | 14 | 2.4 | 2 | 12.2 | 15 | +2.8 |
| 5 | Brunei Darussalam | 7 | 2.3 | 4 | 16.6 | 22 | 3.4 | 6 | +2.6 |
| 6 | Syria | 6 | 15.9 | 21 | 1.7 | 2 | 15.9 | 18 | +2.1 |
| 7 | Tajikistan | 6 | 10 | 14 | 3.4 | 3 | 12.1 | 14 | +1.9 |
| 8 | Lebanon | 5 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 11.2 | 13 | +1.8 |
| 9 | Thailand | 6 | 11.1 | 16 | 3.1 | 5 | 13.3 | 15 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Cambodia | 2 | 0.9 | 2 | 4.7 | 2 | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Philippines | 6 | 10.7 | 16 | 2.8 | 6 | 13.4 | 14 | +0.6 |
| 12 | Laos | 5 | 2.1 | 2 | 13.4 | 15 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 13 | Mongolia | 2 | 2.6 | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 14 | Hong Kong | 6 | 6.6 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| 15 | East Timor | 8 | 7 | 8 | 14.1 | 18 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| 16 | Sri Lanka | 8 | 9.2 | 10 | 7.7 | 11 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| 17 | Bhutan | 6 | 3.8 | 4 | 11.6 | 16 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 18 | Maldives | 6 | 4.7 | 3 | 12.5 | 13 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 19 | Nepal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8.7 | 6 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 20 | Malaysia | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1.4 | 4 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 21 | Macao | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 0.7 | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 22 | Yemen | 5 | 16.4 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| 23 | Bangladesh | 6 | 5.6 | 6 | 7.4 | 8 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| 24 | Pakistan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13.6 | 11 | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| 25 | India | 6 | 7.3 | 4 | 6.8 | 6 | 8.7 | 5 | -3.7 |
| 26 | Afghanistan | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7.3 | 11 | 5.9 | 2 | -3.9 |
| 27 | Chinese Taipei | 6 | 2.6 | 5 | 8.6 | 19 | 4.2 | 0 | -4.2 |