Nepal xG 2026

Nepal expected goals 2026: last 7

Games

7

Expected goals (xG)

2.48

Goals scored

2

Goals minus xG

-0.48

Expected goals against (xGA)

23.64

Goals conceded

19

xGA minus goals conceded

+4.64

Expected points (xPts)

1.33

Points

0

Points minus xPts

-1.33

Verdict

A bit unlucky

Are Nepal overperforming their expected goals?

Nepal have taken 1.3 points fewer than their chances warranted over 7 games: -0.5 goals against their xG, and +4.6 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Nepal results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 7	7	2.48	2	-0.48	23.64	19	+4.64	1.33	0	-1.33
Last 5	5	1.15	1	-0.15	13.70	13	+0.70	1.13	0	-1.13
Home	4	2.12	1	-1.12	11.21	7	+4.21	1.14	0	-1.14
Away	3	0.36	1	+0.64	12.43	12	+0.43	0.19	0	-0.19

Nepal expected goals match by match, last 7

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
31 Mar	Asian Cup Qualification	Laos (H)	0-1	0.56	1.52	0.66	0	L
18 Nov	Asian Cup Qualification	Malaysia (H)	0-1	0.04	2.51	0.10	0	L
14 Oct	Asian Cup Qualification	Vietnam (H)	0-1	0.24	2.42	0.19	0	L
9 Oct	Asian Cup Qualification	Vietnam (A)	3-1	0.14	2.29	0.16	0	L
14 Jun	Asian Cup Qualification	Indonesia (A)	7-0	0.17	4.96	0.02	0	L
11 Jun	Asian Cup Qualification	Kuwait (H)	1-4	1.28	4.76	0.19	0	L
8 Jun	Asian Cup Qualification	Jordan (A)	2-0	0.05	5.18	0.01	0	L

Nepal players: goals against expected goals, last 7

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Sanish Shrestha	defender	4	337	0.00	1	+1.00	0.00

Asian Cup Qualification 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Singapore	6	7.7	8	7	4	8.4	14	+5.6
2	Myanmar	6	7.3	8	8.5	11	7.4	12	+4.6
3	Turkmenistan	6	6.7	11	6.5	7	8.4	12	+3.6
4	Vietnam	5	11.8	14	2.4	2	12.2	15	+2.8
5	Brunei Darussalam	7	2.3	4	16.6	22	3.4	6	+2.6
6	Syria	6	15.9	21	1.7	2	15.9	18	+2.1
7	Tajikistan	6	10	14	3.4	3	12.1	14	+1.9
8	Lebanon	5	9	14	2	0	11.2	13	+1.8
9	Thailand	6	11.1	16	3.1	5	13.3	15	+1.7
10	Cambodia	2	0.9	2	4.7	2	0.7	2	+1.3
11	Philippines	6	10.7	16	2.8	6	13.4	14	+0.6
12	Laos	5	2.1	2	13.4	15	2.4	3	+0.6
13	Mongolia	2	2.6	3	2.2	4	2.9	3	+0.1
14	Hong Kong	6	6.6	8	6	8	8.5	8	-0.5
15	East Timor	8	7	8	14.1	18	6.6	6	-0.6
16	Sri Lanka	8	9.2	10	7.7	11	11.8	11	-0.8
17	Bhutan	6	3.8	4	11.6	16	4.9	4	-0.9
18	Maldives	6	4.7	3	12.5	13	4.1	3	-1.1
19	Nepal	4	1	1	8.7	6	1.1	0	-1.1
20	Malaysia	4	11	10	1.4	4	10.2	9	-1.2
21	Macao	1	0.6	0	0.7	1	1.2	0	-1.2
22	Yemen	5	16.4	18	1	1	12.5	11	-1.5
23	Bangladesh	6	5.6	6	7.4	8	6.9	5	-1.9
24	Pakistan	6	4	2	13.6	11	4.4	2	-2.4
25	India	6	7.3	4	6.8	6	8.7	5	-3.7
26	Afghanistan	6	4	4	7.3	11	5.9	2	-3.9
27	Chinese Taipei	6	2.6	5	8.6	19	4.2	0	-4.2

Nepal stats & bet builder pages

• Nepal Team Stats
• Nepal Shots On Target
• Nepal Shots
• Nepal Fouls Committed
• Nepal Tackles
• Nepal Goals
• Nepal Assists
• Nepal Fouls Drawn
• Nepal Yellow Cards
• Nepal Corners
• Nepal Big Chances Missed
• Nepal Offsides
• Nepal Chances Created
• Nepal Through Balls
• Nepal Accurate Through Balls
• Nepal Passes
• Nepal Accurate Passes
• Nepal Total Crosses
• Nepal Accurate Crosses
• Nepal Long Balls
• Nepal Accurate Long Balls
• Nepal Dribble Attempts
• Nepal Successful Dribbles
• Nepal Touches
• Nepal Interceptions
• Nepal Aerials Won
• Nepal Duels Won
• Nepal Clearances
• Nepal Blocked Shots
• Nepal Ball Recoveries
• Nepal Tackles Won

Nepal recent matches

• Nepal 0-1 Laos: match stats
• Laos stats
• Asian Cup Qualification stats & standings
• Nepal 0-0 Hong Kong: match stats
• Hong Kong stats
• Friendly International stats & standings
• Nepal 0-1 Malaysia: match stats
• Malaysia stats
• Nepal 2-2 Bangladesh: match stats
• Bangladesh stats
• Nepal 0-1 Vietnam: match stats
• Vietnam stats
• Nepal 1-3 Vietnam: match stats