Once Toluca have enough completed Liga MX matches with expected goals (xG) data, per-game averages and player leaders will publish here. The match-by-match table above updates after every game.
Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Toluca vs Tigres UANL on 10.10.2026.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Toluca's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Toluca's results and their chances agree, within 0.8 points of xPts over 10 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 10 | 19.48 | 23 | +3.52 | 10.51 | 12 | -1.49 | 19.21 | 20 | +0.79 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 11.54 | 15 | +3.46 | 4.82 | 8 | -3.18 | 10.83 | 10 | -0.83 |
| Home | 5 | 11.23 | 15 | +3.77 | 4.78 | 8 | -3.22 | 10.63 | 9 | -1.63 |
| Away | 5 | 8.25 | 8 | -0.25 | 5.73 | 4 | +1.73 | 8.58 | 11 | +2.42 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep | Liga MX | Cruz Azul (A) | 3-3 | 2.26 | 1.37 | 1.92 | 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | Liga MX | Santos Laguna (H) | 2-3 | 2.78 | 1.95 | 1.84 | 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | Liga MX | Puebla (A) | 0-1 | 1.37 | 0.54 | 2.00 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Liga MX | Atlas (H) | 5-2 | 2.09 | 0.72 | 2.27 | 3 | W |
| 31 Aug | Liga MX | Juárez (H) | 4-0 | 3.04 | 0.24 | 2.80 | 3 | W |
| 22 Aug | Liga MX | Querétaro (A) | 1-2 | 1.56 | 1.81 | 1.23 | 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | Liga MX | Atlante (A) | 0-0 | 1.02 | 0.78 | 1.53 | 1 | W |
| 3 Aug | Liga MX | Necaxa (H) | 3-1 | 2.19 | 1.25 | 1.96 | 3 | W |
| 22 Jul | Liga MX | Pumas UNAM (H) | 1-2 | 1.13 | 0.62 | 1.76 | 0 | W |
| 19 Jul | Liga MX | Guadalajara (A) | 0-2 | 2.04 | 1.23 | 1.90 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Vega | attacker | 8 | 549 | 0.00 | 4 | +4.00 | 0.00 |
| Federico Viñas | attacker | 7 | 420 | 0.00 | 4 | +4.00 | 0.00 |
| Helinho | attacker | 9 | 499 | 0.00 | 3 | +3.00 | 0.00 |
| Paulinho | attacker | 4 | 305 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Jesús Angulo | midfielder | 9 | 524 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Jesús Gallardo | defender | 7 | 518 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Everardo del Villar | defender | 8 | 586 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Jorge DÃaz | midfielder | 9 | 490 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Querétaro | 9 | 14.3 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 17 | +5 |
| 2 | Atlas | 10 | 14.5 | 16 | 17.4 | 17 | 12.2 | 17 | +4.8 |
| 3 | América | 9 | 17.9 | 21 | 12.8 | 10 | 15.6 | 20 | +4.4 |
| 4 | Puebla | 10 | 9.7 | 11 | 15.6 | 12 | 10.1 | 14 | +3.9 |
| 5 | León | 10 | 14.5 | 14 | 14.8 | 11 | 13.5 | 17 | +3.5 |
| 6 | Guadalajara | 10 | 14.9 | 17 | 11.9 | 10 | 15.6 | 18 | +2.4 |
| 7 | Pumas UNAM | 10 | 10.6 | 14 | 14.8 | 16 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| 8 | Toluca | 10 | 19.5 | 23 | 10.5 | 12 | 19.2 | 20 | +0.8 |
| 9 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 18.8 | 19 | 14.3 | 18 | 16.6 | 16 | -0.6 |
| 10 | Atlético San Luis | 10 | 12.3 | 14 | 14.5 | 18 | 12.7 | 12 | -0.7 |
| 11 | Tijuana | 9 | 16.5 | 14 | 12.5 | 13 | 14.9 | 14 | -0.9 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 10 | 14.5 | 15 | 16.2 | 11 | 13.1 | 12 | -1.1 |
| 13 | Atlante | 10 | 13 | 12 | 15.1 | 15 | 12.4 | 11 | -1.4 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 9 | 14.8 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 15.3 | 10 | 15.8 | 15 | 13.1 | 10 | -3.1 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 15.5 | 10 | 14.1 | 13 | 14.4 | 10 | -4.4 |
| 17 | Juárez | 10 | 9.1 | 7 | 20.1 | 25 | 8 | 3 | -5 |
| 18 | Necaxa | 10 | 16.8 | 12 | 16.1 | 20 | 14.2 | 8 | -6.2 |