Montpellier xG 2024/2025

Montpellier expected goals 2024/2025: 2024/2025

Games: 34
Expected goals (xG): 35.30
Goals scored: 23
Goals minus xG: -12.30
Expected goals against (xGA): 66.11
Goals conceded: 79
xGA minus goals conceded: -12.89
Expected points (xPts): 29.53
Points: 16
Points minus xPts: -13.53
Verdict: Due an upturn

Are Montpellier overperforming their expected goals?

Montpellier have taken 13.5 points fewer than their chances warranted over 34 games: -12.3 goals against their xG, and -12.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Montpellier results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
24/25	34	35.30	23	-12.30	66.11	79	-12.89	29.53	16	-13.53
Last 10	10	7.23	2	-5.23	17.15	21	-3.85	7.96	1	-6.96
Last 5	5	3.45	2	-1.45	9.98	13	-3.02	3.44	1	-2.44
Home	17	22.27	17	-5.27	31.24	41	-9.76	18.42	13	-5.42
Away	17	13.03	6	-7.03	34.87	38	-3.13	11.11	3	-8.11

Montpellier expected goals match by match, 2024/2025

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
17 May	Ligue 1	Nantes (A)	3-0	1.10	2.50	0.62	0	L
10 May	Ligue 1	PSG (H)	1-4	0.59	1.60	0.65	0	L
4 May	Ligue 1	Brest (A)	1-0	0.63	1.16	0.92	0	L
27 Apr	Ligue 1	Reims (H)	0-0	0.85	1.05	1.18	1	L
19 Apr	Ligue 1	Marseille (A)	5-1	0.28	3.67	0.07	0	L
13 Apr	Ligue 1	Angers (A)	2-0	0.46	0.76	1.02	0	D
6 Apr	Ligue 1	Le Havre (H)	0-2	1.20	1.65	1.08	0	L
30 Mar	Ligue 1	Auxerre (A)	1-0	0.63	2.15	0.46	0	L
16 Mar	Ligue 1	St Etienne (H)	0-2	1.15	0.91	1.54	0	W
8 Mar	Ligue 1	Lille (A)	1-0	0.34	1.70	0.42	0	L
2 Mar	Ligue 1	Rennes (H)	0-4	1.18	2.99	0.50	0	L
23 Feb	Ligue 1	Nice (A)	2-0	0.74	1.89	0.63	0	L
16 Feb	Ligue 1	Lyon (H)	1-4	1.19	1.23	1.34	0	L
9 Feb	Ligue 1	Strasbourg (A)	2-0	1.65	2.81	0.80	0	L
31 Jan	Ligue 1	Lens (H)	0-2	0.87	2.57	0.47	0	L
26 Jan	Ligue 1	Toulouse (A)	1-2	0.56	1.57	0.64	3	L
17 Jan	Ligue 1	Monaco (H)	2-1	1.73	2.59	0.94	3	L
12 Jan	Ligue 1	Angers (H)	1-3	1.44	2.58	0.78	0	L
4 Jan	Ligue 1	Lyon (A)	1-0	0.81	1.53	0.85	0	L
15 Dec	Ligue 1	Nice (H)	2-2	2.53	1.45	2.01	1	W
8 Dec	Ligue 1	Lens (A)	2-0	1.41	1.80	1.14	0	L
1 Dec	Ligue 1	Lille (H)	2-2	0.93	2.24	0.61	1	L
23 Nov	Ligue 1	St Etienne (A)	1-0	0.95	1.25	1.13	0	L
10 Nov	Ligue 1	Brest (H)	3-1	2.86	1.93	1.89	3	W
3 Nov	Ligue 1	Le Havre (A)	1-0	1.00	1.73	0.89	0	L
27 Oct	Ligue 1	Toulouse (H)	0-3	0.24	1.94	0.29	0	L
20 Oct	Ligue 1	Marseille (H)	0-5	1.48	3.16	0.59	0	L
6 Oct	Ligue 1	Reims (A)	4-2	0.58	2.85	0.26	0	L
28 Sep	Ligue 1	Monaco (A)	2-1	0.82	3.21	0.29	0	L
22 Sep	Ligue 1	Auxerre (H)	3-2	1.73	1.23	1.71	3	W

Montpellier players: goals against expected goals, 2024/2025

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Modibo Sagnan	defender	27	2125	0.83	2	+1.17	0.04
Wilfried Ndollo Bille	defender	7	392	0.00	1	+1.00	0.00
Lucas Mincarelli Davin	defender	10	715	0.69	1	+0.31	0.09
Arnaud Nordin	attacker	16	1179	3.80	4	+0.20	0.29
Othmane Maamma	attacker	12	331	0.81	1	+0.19	0.22
Mousa Tamari	attacker	15	1119	2.16	2	-0.16	0.17
Rabby Nzingoula	midfielder	27	1699	1.17	1	-0.17	0.06
Akor Adams	attacker	15	1080	4.36	4	-0.36	0.36
Theo Sainte Luce	defender	16	1024	1.39	1	-0.39	0.12
Joris Chotard	midfielder	26	1879	1.49	1	-0.49	0.07
Jordan Ferri	midfielder	25	1782	0.50	0	-0.50	0.03
Junior Ndiaye	attacker	15	433	0.59	0	-0.59	0.12
Kiki Kouyaté	defender	11	728	0.78	0	-0.78	0.10
Issiaga Sylla	defender	19	1144	1.87	1	-0.87	0.15
Khalil Fayad	midfielder	20	1032	0.98	0	-0.98	0.09
Wahbi Khazri	attacker	30	1081	2.18	1	-1.18	0.18
Nicolas Pays	midfielder	9	444	1.26	0	-1.26	0.26
Andy Delort	attacker	9	585	1.36	0	-1.36	0.21
Tanguy Coulibaly	attacker	25	1462	4.68	3	-1.68	0.29
Teji Savanier	midfielder	31	2349	4.01	2	-2.01	0.15

Ligue 1 2024/2025: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Strasbourg	34	42.6	56	57.9	44	38.5	57	+18.5
2	Paris Saint Germain	34	82.4	92	32.5	35	74.8	84	+9.2
3	Olympique Marseille	34	62.6	74	40.1	47	57.4	65	+7.6
4	LOSC Lille	34	52.4	52	42.6	36	53.2	60	+6.8
5	Brest	34	49	52	55.2	59	44.3	50	+5.7
6	Auxerre	34	41	48	55	51	38.6	42	+3.4
7	Olympique Lyonnais	34	58	65	45	46	54.4	57	+2.6
8	Nice	34	61.9	66	42.3	41	57.7	60	+2.3
9	Angers SCO	34	35.8	32	60	53	33.7	36	+2.3
10	Lens	34	54.6	42	48.1	39	50.7	52	+1.3
11	Saint-Étienne	34	37.6	39	76.1	77	29.6	30	+0.4
12	Le Havre	34	43.9	40	61.5	71	37.2	34	-3.2
13	Reims	34	40.5	33	60.2	47	37	33	-4
14	Nantes	34	42.5	39	55.3	52	41.2	36	-5.2
15	Monaco	34	72.4	63	35.8	41	66.3	61	-5.3
16	Rennes	34	53.3	51	44.9	50	51.6	41	-10.6
17	Toulouse	34	49.9	44	37	43	54.6	42	-12.6
18	Montpellier	34	35.3	23	66.1	79	29.5	16	-13.5