Metz xG 2025/2026

Metz expected goals 2025/2026: 2025/2026

Games: 34
Expected goals (xG): 34.05
Goals scored: 32
Goals minus xG: -2.05
Expected goals against (xGA): 60.29
Goals conceded: 76
xGA minus goals conceded: -15.71
Expected points (xPts): 31.55
Points: 17
Points minus xPts: -14.55
Verdict: Due an upturn

Are Metz overperforming their expected goals?

Metz have taken 14.6 points fewer than their chances warranted over 34 games: -2.1 goals against their xG, and -15.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Metz results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
25/26	34	34.05	32	-2.05	60.29	76	-15.71	31.55	17	-14.55
Last 10	10	10.69	10	-0.69	17.69	23	-5.31	9.74	4	-5.74
Last 5	5	5.48	6	+0.52	8.21	13	-4.79	5.04	2	-3.04
Home	17	19.77	15	-4.77	24.04	32	-7.96	20.49	10	-10.49
Away	17	14.28	17	+2.72	36.25	44	-7.75	11.06	7	-4.06

Metz expected goals match by match, 2025/2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
17 May	Ligue 1	Nice (A)	0-0	1.07	1.89	0.86	1	L
10 May	Ligue 1	Lorient (H)	0-4	0.73	1.39	0.87	0	L
2 May	Ligue 1	Monaco (H)	1-2	1.22	1.34	1.28	0	L
26 Apr	Ligue 1	Le Havre (A)	4-4	1.52	2.18	1.01	1	L
19 Apr	Ligue 1	Paris (H)	1-3	0.94	1.41	1.02	0	L
10 Apr	Ligue 1	Marseille (A)	3-1	0.33	2.39	0.24	0	L
5 Apr	Ligue 1	Nantes (H)	0-0	2.01	0.77	2.20	1	W
22 Mar	Ligue 1	Rennes (A)	0-0	0.44	1.74	0.48	1	L
15 Mar	Ligue 1	Toulouse (H)	3-4	2.00	1.68	1.59	0	W
8 Mar	Ligue 1	Lens (A)	3-0	0.43	2.90	0.19	0	L
1 Mar	Ligue 1	Brest (H)	0-1	1.23	0.82	1.67	0	W
21 Feb	Ligue 1	PSG (A)	3-0	0.11	2.08	0.18	0	L
15 Feb	Ligue 1	Auxerre (H)	1-3	0.89	1.26	1.08	0	L
6 Feb	Ligue 1	Lille (H)	0-0	0.52	1.94	0.47	1	L
1 Feb	Ligue 1	Angers (A)	1-0	0.53	1.41	0.69	0	L
25 Jan	Ligue 1	Lyon (H)	2-5	1.27	2.45	0.74	0	L
18 Jan	Ligue 1	Strasbourg (A)	2-1	1.11	0.87	1.54	0	W
4 Jan	Ligue 1	Lorient (A)	1-1	0.48	1.27	0.72	1	L
13 Dec	Ligue 1	PSG (H)	2-3	0.69	1.56	0.75	0	L
7 Dec	Ligue 1	Auxerre (A)	3-1	0.60	1.94	0.52	0	L
28 Nov	Ligue 1	Rennes (H)	0-1	1.09	1.06	1.37	0	W
23 Nov	Ligue 1	Brest (A)	3-2	0.96	3.15	0.36	0	L
9 Nov	Ligue 1	Nice (H)	2-1	1.51	1.18	1.60	3	W
2 Nov	Ligue 1	Nantes (A)	0-2	0.93	1.09	1.22	3	L
29 Oct	Ligue 1	Lens (H)	2-0	2.92	1.24	2.29	3	W
26 Oct	Ligue 1	Lille (A)	6-1	1.19	2.44	0.69	0	L
19 Oct	Ligue 1	Toulouse (A)	4-0	0.18	2.80	0.12	0	L
4 Oct	Ligue 1	Marseille (H)	0-3	0.19	2.74	0.13	0	L
28 Sep	Ligue 1	Le Havre (H)	0-0	0.59	0.40	1.46	1	D
21 Sep	Ligue 1	Monaco (A)	5-2	1.78	2.90	0.84	0	L

Metz players: goals against expected goals, 2025/2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Sadibou Sané	defender	23	1941	0.40	2	+1.60	0.02
Giorgi Tsitaishvili	attacker	33	2469	1.63	3	+1.37	0.06
Giorgi Kvilitaia	attacker	10	502	0.77	2	+1.23	0.14
Nathan Mbala	attacker	13	435	0.96	2	+1.04	0.20
Jessy Deminguet	midfielder	31	2025	0.97	2	+1.03	0.04
Boubacar Traoré	midfielder	7	605	0.00	1	+1.00	0.00
Giorgi Abuashvili	attacker	23	687	1.16	2	+0.84	0.15
Koffi Kouao	defender	27	2274	1.39	2	+0.61	0.06
Ibou Sané	attacker	16	546	0.44	1	+0.56	0.07
Gauthier Hein	attacker	29	2355	7.75	8	+0.25	0.30
Boubacar Traoré	midfielder	20	1393	1.01	1	-0.01	0.07
Alpha Touré	midfielder	30	1601	1.15	1	-0.15	0.06
Joel Asoro	attacker	8	224	0.62	0	-0.62	0.25
Brian Madjo	attacker	5	157	0.69	0	-0.69	0.40
Terry Yegbe	defender	24	1965	0.72	0	-0.72	0.03
Lucas Michal	attacker	9	207	0.81	0	-0.81	0.35
Jean-Philippe Gbamin	defender	31	2489	1.91	1	-0.91	0.07
Cheikh Sabaly	attacker	14	971	1.61	0	-1.61	0.15
Bouna Sarr	defender	12	897	1.68	0	-1.68	0.17
Habib Diallo	attacker	25	1910	5.73	4	-1.73	0.27

Ligue 1 2025/2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Lens	34	67.5	66	44	35	58.6	70	+11.4
2	Rennes	34	53	59	52.2	50	48.3	59	+10.7
3	Olympique Lyonnais	34	52.4	53	47.4	40	49.8	60	+10.2
4	Paris Saint Germain	34	67.8	74	33.3	29	67.4	76	+8.6
5	Strasbourg	34	49.7	58	45.3	47	48.9	53	+4.1
6	Monaco	34	55.4	60	48.7	54	50.6	54	+3.4
7	LOSC Lille	34	53.8	52	35.4	37	58	61	+3
8	Olympique Marseille	34	57.7	63	40.8	45	57.4	59	+1.6
9	Paris	34	45	47	55	50	42.5	44	+1.5
10	Angers SCO	34	34.5	29	53.8	48	34.5	36	+1.5
11	Lorient	34	45.8	48	46.8	51	45.4	45	-0.4
12	Brest	34	43.9	43	52.4	55	43.5	39	-4.5
13	Toulouse	34	45.8	47	41.8	46	49.6	45	-4.6
14	Le Havre	34	40	32	52.2	44	40.5	35	-5.5
15	Nice	34	42.2	37	58.2	60	38.2	32	-6.2
16	Auxerre	34	38.2	34	46.6	44	41.8	34	-7.8
17	Nantes	34	36.5	29	49.2	52	38.5	24	-14.5
18	Metz	34	34	32	60.3	76	31.5	17	-14.5