Kayserispor xG 2025/2026

Kayserispor expected goals 2025/2026: 2025/2026

Games: 34
Expected goals (xG): 37.84
Goals scored: 27
Goals minus xG: -10.84
Expected goals against (xGA): 53.19
Goals conceded: 62
xGA minus goals conceded: -8.81
Expected points (xPts): 38.04
Points: 30
Points minus xPts: -8.04
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Kayserispor overperforming their expected goals?

Kayserispor have taken 8.0 points fewer than their chances warranted over 34 games: -10.8 goals against their xG, and -8.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Kayserispor results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
25/26	34	37.84	27	-10.84	53.19	62	-8.81	38.04	30	-8.04
Last 10	10	12.10	9	-3.10	16.69	19	-2.31	11.12	10	-1.12
Last 5	5	6.88	6	-0.88	7.96	8	-0.04	6.31	7	+0.69
Home	17	21.16	15	-6.16	22.99	32	-9.01	22.30	19	-3.30
Away	17	16.68	12	-4.68	30.20	30	+0.20	15.74	11	-4.74

Kayserispor expected goals match by match, 2025/2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
17 May	Super Lig	Konyaspor (H)	2-1	1.33	1.53	1.24	3	L
9 May	Super Lig	Alanyaspor (A)	3-1	1.61	1.89	1.22	0	L
3 May	Super Lig	Eyüpspor (H)	1-1	1.76	0.95	1.93	1	W
25 Apr	Super Lig	Rizespor (H)	2-0	1.02	1.17	1.24	3	L
20 Apr	Super Lig	Gaziantep (A)	3-0	1.16	2.42	0.68	0	L
11 Apr	Super Lig	Fenerbahçe (H)	0-4	0.50	1.61	0.58	0	L
4 Apr	Super Lig	Kasımpaşa (A)	2-0	0.31	1.40	0.51	0	L
19 Mar	Super Lig	Fatih Karagümrük (H)	1-0	2.01	0.29	2.53	3	W
15 Mar	Super Lig	Samsunspor (A)	2-1	0.94	2.47	0.54	0	L
9 Mar	Super Lig	Trabzonspor (H)	1-3	1.46	2.96	0.65	0	L
1 Mar	Super Lig	Gençler (A)	0-0	0.54	0.57	1.25	1	D
22 Feb	Super Lig	Antalyaspor (H)	1-0	2.47	1.29	2.08	3	W
15 Feb	Super Lig	Göztepe (A)	0-0	1.13	1.02	1.44	1	W
9 Feb	Super Lig	Kocaelispor (H)	1-2	2.18	0.88	2.20	0	W
1 Feb	Super Lig	Galatasaray (A)	4-0	0.29	3.91	0.06	0	L
24 Jan	Super Lig	Başakşehir (H)	0-3	0.36	1.75	0.42	0	L
19 Jan	Super Lig	Beşiktaş (A)	1-0	0.67	1.88	0.59	0	L
20 Dec	Super Lig	Konyaspor (A)	1-1	1.81	1.18	1.80	1	W
13 Dec	Super Lig	Alanyaspor (H)	0-0	0.66	1.14	0.95	1	L
6 Dec	Super Lig	Eyüpspor (A)	1-1	0.56	1.46	0.69	1	L
29 Nov	Super Lig	Rizespor (A)	0-1	0.65	1.72	0.64	3	L
22 Nov	Super Lig	Gaziantep (H)	0-3	0.87	1.16	1.12	0	L
9 Nov	Super Lig	Fenerbahçe (A)	4-2	1.44	2.19	0.95	0	L
2 Nov	Super Lig	Kasımpaşa (H)	3-2	1.03	0.50	1.78	3	W
24 Oct	Super Lig	Fatih Karagümrük (A)	2-2	1.76	1.67	1.44	1	W
19 Oct	Super Lig	Samsunspor (H)	1-3	1.22	2.47	0.70	0	L
3 Oct	Super Lig	Trabzonspor (A)	4-0	1.59	3.35	0.58	0	L
28 Sep	Super Lig	Gençler (H)	1-1	2.47	0.20	2.72	1	W
24 Sep	Super Lig	Beşiktaş (H)	0-4	0.37	1.78	0.42	0	L
20 Sep	Super Lig	Antalyaspor (A)	1-1	0.85	0.72	1.44	1	W

Kayserispor players: goals against expected goals, 2025/2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
László Bénes	midfielder	32	2581	4.46	7	+2.54	0.16
Talha Sarıarslan	attacker	14	153	0.86	2	+1.14	0.51
Fedor Chalov	attacker	14	856	1.66	2	+0.34	0.17
Ramazan Civelek	defender	30	2152	0.51	0	-0.51	0.02
German Onugkha	attacker	27	1888	8.62	8	-0.62	0.41
Semih Güler	defender	17	1379	0.65	0	-0.65	0.04
Stefano Denswil	defender	31	2723	1.68	1	-0.68	0.06
Aaron Opoku	attacker	19	1234	0.81	0	-0.81	0.06
Furkan Soyalp	midfielder	28	1811	1.85	1	-0.85	0.09
Carlos Mané	attacker	22	1046	0.96	0	-0.96	0.08
Indrit Tuci	attacker	20	780	4.08	3	-1.08	0.47
João Mendes	midfielder	26	1504	1.66	0	-1.66	0.10
Denis Makarov	attacker	13	647	2.33	0	-2.33	0.32
Miguel Cardoso	attacker	32	2856	5.59	2	-3.59	0.18

Super Lig 2025/2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Trabzonspor	34	52	61	41.8	39	53.6	69	+15.4
2	Galatasaray	34	67.4	77	32.5	30	64.6	77	+12.4
3	Fenerbahçe	34	65.6	77	32.4	37	66	74	+8
4	Antalyaspor	34	27.2	33	54	55	30.3	32	+1.7
5	İstanbul Başakşehir	34	56.4	58	42.1	35	56.1	57	+0.9
6	Samsunspor	34	46.9	46	42.9	45	50.4	51	+0.6
7	Göztepe	34	49.4	42	37.5	32	55.1	55	-0.1
8	Beşiktaş	34	61	59	37.7	40	61.8	60	-1.8
9	Gençlerbirliği	34	35.6	36	53.9	47	36	34	-2
10	Eyüpspor	34	35.9	33	52.2	48	36.2	33	-3.2
11	Konyaspor	34	46.2	43	50.1	50	44.9	40	-4.9
12	Kasımpaşa	34	33.5	33	44.3	49	39.9	35	-4.9
13	Rizespor	34	44.1	46	45.8	52	46.1	41	-5.1
14	Gaziantep F.K.	34	42	43	50.4	58	42.1	37	-5.1
15	Alanyaspor	34	35.1	41	42.7	41	42.7	37	-5.7
16	Kocaelispor	34	33.3	26	37.9	38	43.5	37	-6.5
17	Fatih Karagümrük	34	33.2	31	51	54	36.9	30	-6.9
18	Kayserispor	34	37.9	27	53.2	62	38	30	-8