Fatih Karagümrük xG 2025/2026

Fatih Karagümrük expected goals 2025/2026: 2025/2026

Games: 34
Expected goals (xG): 33.22
Goals scored: 31
Goals minus xG: -2.22
Expected goals against (xGA): 51.05
Goals conceded: 54
xGA minus goals conceded: -2.95
Expected points (xPts): 36.89
Points: 30
Points minus xPts: -6.89
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Fatih Karagümrük overperforming their expected goals?

Fatih Karagümrük have taken 6.9 points fewer than their chances warranted over 34 games: -2.2 goals against their xG, and -3.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Fatih Karagümrük results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
25/26	34	33.22	31	-2.22	51.05	54	-2.95	36.89	30	-6.89
Last 10	10	10.32	10	-0.32	12.57	9	+3.57	12.43	17	+4.57
Last 5	5	5.19	5	-0.19	6.12	3	+3.12	6.41	10	+3.59
Home	17	19.59	18	-1.59	22.56	23	-0.44	22.34	21	-1.34
Away	17	13.63	13	-0.63	28.49	31	-2.51	14.55	9	-5.55

Fatih Karagümrük expected goals match by match, 2025/2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
16 May	Super Lig	Alanyaspor (H)	2-1	1.67	0.84	1.95	3	W
9 May	Super Lig	Kocaelispor (A)	0-1	0.38	0.47	1.14	3	D
3 May	Super Lig	Gençler (H)	1-0	0.78	2.15	0.56	3	L
27 Apr	Super Lig	Beşiktaş (A)	0-0	0.77	2.24	0.52	1	L
18 Apr	Super Lig	Eyüpspor (H)	1-2	1.59	0.42	2.24	0	W
12 Apr	Super Lig	Konyaspor (A)	3-0	1.56	1.07	1.71	0	W
5 Apr	Super Lig	Rizespor (H)	2-1	1.18	1.69	1.04	3	L
19 Mar	Super Lig	Kayserispor (A)	1-0	0.29	2.01	0.30	0	L
13 Mar	Super Lig	Fenerbahçe (H)	2-0	1.43	0.83	1.81	3	W
8 Mar	Super Lig	Gaziantep (A)	1-1	0.67	0.85	1.16	1	L
27 Feb	Super Lig	Trabzonspor (A)	3-1	0.71	1.54	0.77	0	L
22 Feb	Super Lig	Samsunspor (H)	0-0	0.77	0.57	1.49	1	D
16 Feb	Super Lig	Kasımpaşa (A)	3-2	0.96	1.57	0.94	0	L
7 Feb	Super Lig	Antalyaspor (H)	1-0	2.37	0.47	2.54	3	W
31 Jan	Super Lig	Göztepe (A)	2-1	0.81	1.13	1.09	0	L
24 Jan	Super Lig	Galatasaray (H)	1-3	0.60	1.14	0.90	0	L
17 Jan	Super Lig	Başakşehir (A)	2-1	0.96	2.54	0.53	0	L
21 Dec	Super Lig	Alanyaspor (A)	2-0	0.30	0.69	0.88	0	D
14 Dec	Super Lig	Kocaelispor (H)	1-1	0.86	1.12	1.14	1	L
7 Dec	Super Lig	Gençler (A)	3-0	0.53	1.84	0.51	0	L
30 Nov	Super Lig	Beşiktaş (H)	0-2	0.57	3.41	0.17	0	L
22 Nov	Super Lig	Eyüpspor (A)	1-1	1.14	1.43	1.16	1	L
9 Nov	Super Lig	Konyaspor (H)	2-0	0.96	0.44	1.78	3	W
3 Nov	Super Lig	Rizespor (A)	1-0	1.05	1.81	0.89	0	L
24 Oct	Super Lig	Kayserispor (H)	2-2	1.67	1.76	1.33	1	L
19 Oct	Super Lig	Fenerbahçe (A)	2-1	0.74	3.09	0.28	0	L
5 Oct	Super Lig	Gaziantep (H)	0-2	1.97	2.78	0.99	0	L
27 Sep	Super Lig	Trabzonspor (H)	3-4	1.31	2.64	0.68	0	L
21 Sep	Super Lig	Samsunspor (A)	3-2	0.68	2.35	0.43	0	L
17 Sep	Super Lig	Başakşehir (H)	0-2	0.58	0.18	1.67	0	D

Fatih Karagümrük players: goals against expected goals, 2025/2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
David Datro Fofana	attacker	13	982	3.91	6	+2.09	0.36
Serginho	attacker	32	2227	5.93	8	+2.07	0.24
Anıl Yiğit Çınar	defender	16	1100	0.77	2	+1.23	0.06
Filip Mladenovic	defender	10	849	0.19	1	+0.81	0.02
Matías Kranevitter	midfielder	23	1780	0.59	1	+0.41	0.03
Ahmed Traore	attacker	14	410	0.59	1	+0.41	0.13
Bartuğ Elmaz	midfielder	16	1042	0.65	1	+0.35	0.06
Daniel Johnson	midfielder	17	1012	0.78	1	+0.22	0.07
Atakan Cankaya	midfielder	17	1530	1.24	1	-0.24	0.07
Daniele Verde	attacker	8	492	1.32	1	-0.32	0.24
Tiago Çukur	attacker	28	1535	2.38	2	-0.38	0.14
João Camacho	attacker	8	317	0.55	0	-0.55	0.16
Shavy Babicka	attacker	15	860	1.58	1	-0.58	0.17
Ahmet Sivri	attacker	9	296	0.64	0	-0.64	0.19
Marius Tresor Doh	midfielder	17	1016	0.66	0	-0.66	0.06
Barış Kalaycı	attacker	29	1316	2.16	1	-1.16	0.15
Berkay Özcan	midfielder	33	2375	2.03	0	-2.03	0.08
Sam Larsson	midfielder	22	1580	5.32	3	-2.32	0.30

Super Lig 2025/2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Trabzonspor	34	52	61	41.8	39	53.6	69	+15.4
2	Galatasaray	34	67.4	77	32.5	30	64.6	77	+12.4
3	Fenerbahçe	34	65.6	77	32.4	37	66	74	+8
4	Antalyaspor	34	27.2	33	54	55	30.3	32	+1.7
5	İstanbul Başakşehir	34	56.4	58	42.1	35	56.1	57	+0.9
6	Samsunspor	34	46.9	46	42.9	45	50.4	51	+0.6
7	Göztepe	34	49.4	42	37.5	32	55.1	55	-0.1
8	Beşiktaş	34	61	59	37.7	40	61.8	60	-1.8
9	Gençlerbirliği	34	35.6	36	53.9	47	36	34	-2
10	Eyüpspor	34	35.9	33	52.2	48	36.2	33	-3.2
11	Konyaspor	34	46.2	43	50.1	50	44.9	40	-4.9
12	Kasımpaşa	34	33.5	33	44.3	49	39.9	35	-4.9
13	Rizespor	34	44.1	46	45.8	52	46.1	41	-5.1
14	Gaziantep F.K.	34	42	43	50.4	58	42.1	37	-5.1
15	Alanyaspor	34	35.1	41	42.7	41	42.7	37	-5.7
16	Kocaelispor	34	33.3	26	37.9	38	43.5	37	-6.5
17	Fatih Karagümrük	34	33.2	31	51	54	36.9	30	-6.9
18	Kayserispor	34	37.9	27	53.2	62	38	30	-8