Fredericia xG 2025/2026

Fredericia expected goals 2025/2026: 2025/2026

Games: 32
Expected goals (xG): 42.84
Goals scored: 45
Goals minus xG: +2.16
Expected goals against (xGA): 70.22
Goals conceded: 68
xGA minus goals conceded: +2.22
Expected points (xPts): 30.76
Points: 34
Points minus xPts: +3.24
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are Fredericia overperforming their expected goals?

Fredericia's results and their chances agree, within 3.2 points of xPts over 32 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

Fredericia results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
25/26	32	42.84	45	+2.16	70.22	68	+2.22	30.76	34	+3.24
Last 10	10	15.92	15	-0.92	22.40	19	+3.40	11.41	10	-1.41
Last 5	5	9.17	9	-0.17	9.46	10	-0.54	6.69	5	-1.69
Home	16	22.55	20	-2.55	29.37	33	-3.63	18.10	16	-2.10
Away	16	20.29	25	+4.71	40.85	35	+5.85	12.66	18	+5.34

Fredericia expected goals match by match, 2025/2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
17 May	Superliga	Silkeborg (H)	4-1	2.80	1.54	2.08	3	W
10 May	Superliga	Vejle Boldklub (A)	2-0	1.12	1.97	0.85	0	L
3 May	Superliga	Copenhagen (H)	3-3	2.14	2.99	0.98	1	L
26 Apr	Superliga	Odense BK (H)	0-2	2.23	1.46	1.85	0	W
23 Apr	Superliga	Randers FC (A)	2-2	0.88	1.50	0.93	1	L
19 Apr	Superliga	Silkeborg (A)	2-2	1.72	2.09	1.18	1	L
13 Apr	Superliga	Vejle Boldklub (H)	2-2	1.96	1.43	1.72	1	W
6 Apr	Superliga	Odense BK (A)	1-0	1.32	2.10	0.92	0	L
22 Mar	Superliga	Copenhagen (A)	1-2	1.01	5.85	0.06	3	L
13 Mar	Superliga	Randers FC (H)	0-3	0.74	1.47	0.84	0	L
1 Mar	Superliga	Silkeborg (H)	2-1	1.87	1.04	1.93	3	W
22 Feb	Superliga	Randers FC (A)	1-2	2.05	2.68	1.07	3	L
15 Feb	Superliga	AGF (H)	1-1	0.85	2.38	0.51	1	L
9 Feb	Superliga	Vejle Boldklub (A)	2-3	2.22	3.00	1.02	3	L
5 Dec	Superliga	Odense BK (H)	1-3	0.91	2.06	0.68	0	L
1 Dec	Superliga	Brøndby IF (A)	1-3	1.41	2.13	0.97	3	L
23 Nov	Superliga	Nordsjælland (A)	5-0	0.30	3.21	0.12	0	L
9 Nov	Superliga	Viborg FF (H)	0-3	1.17	1.90	0.92	0	L
1 Nov	Superliga	Copenhagen (A)	3-2	1.72	2.00	1.23	0	L
26 Oct	Superliga	Midtjylland (H)	0-4	0.76	2.12	0.56	0	L
20 Oct	Superliga	Sønderjyske (A)	3-0	0.81	2.69	0.40	0	L
5 Oct	Superliga	Brøndby IF (H)	0-2	1.20	2.54	0.66	0	L
28 Sep	Superliga	Viborg FF (A)	2-1	0.57	2.09	0.45	0	L
19 Sep	Superliga	Odense BK (A)	3-2	1.22	2.71	0.61	0	L
15 Sep	Superliga	Vejle Boldklub (H)	1-1	2.14	1.80	1.59	1	W
31 Aug	Superliga	AGF (A)	4-1	0.88	3.57	0.25	0	L
24 Aug	Superliga	Randers FC (H)	1-0	0.57	2.31	0.38	3	L
15 Aug	Superliga	Sønderjyske (H)	3-2	1.97	1.38	1.76	3	W
10 Aug	Superliga	Midtjylland (A)	3-3	2.02	1.89	1.47	1	W
1 Aug	Superliga	Copenhagen (H)	0-2	0.38	2.06	0.34	0	L

Fredericia players: goals against expected goals, 2025/2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Sofus Johannesen	midfielder	22	1274	3.63	6	+2.37	0.26
Felix Winther	midfielder	27	2259	1.27	3	+1.73	0.05
Agon Mucolli	attacker	16	687	2.53	4	+1.47	0.33
Oscar Buch	attacker	22	1358	4.73	6	+1.27	0.31
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde	midfielder	17	985	4.12	5	+0.88	0.38
Anders Dahl	defender	18	571	0.35	1	+0.65	0.05
Svenn Crone	defender	30	2313	2.58	3	+0.42	0.10
William Madsen	midfielder	20	963	0.66	1	+0.34	0.06
Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson	defender	16	999	0.74	1	+0.26	0.07
Patrick Egelund	attacker	15	470	0.82	1	+0.18	0.16
Gustav Ølsted Marcussen	attacker	29	2002	4.04	4	-0.04	0.18
Jeppe Kudsk	defender	23	1318	1.05	1	-0.05	0.07
Eskild Munk Dall	attacker	23	730	1.48	1	-0.48	0.18
Elias Hansborg-Sørensen	attacker	6	145	0.54	0	-0.54	0.34
Jakob Jessen	defender	32	2514	1.69	1	-0.69	0.06
Adam Nygaard Andersen	defender	27	1726	0.94	0	-0.94	0.05
Frederik Thykær Rieper	defender	32	2880	1.16	0	-1.16	0.04
Etim	attacker	14	1228	6.52	5	-1.52	0.48
Emilio Simonsen	midfielder	20	1253	2.91	1	-1.91	0.21

Superliga 2025/2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	FC Midtjylland	32	53.9	72	46.7	36	48.9	60	+11.1
2	AGF	32	61.3	62	37.8	32	57.9	67	+9.1
3	Silkeborg IF	32	39.2	41	63.8	67	30.7	36	+5.3
4	Nordsjælland	32	49.3	51	47.4	46	45.6	50	+4.4
5	Fredericia	32	42.9	45	70.2	68	30.7	34	+3.3
6	Sønderjyske Fodbold	32	47.1	44	50.5	49	43.3	44	+0.7
7	Viborg FF	32	50.4	49	50.9	51	44.3	44	-0.3
8	Brøndby IF	32	51.2	44	44	35	48.1	45	-3.1
9	Odense BK	32	49.3	51	47.3	60	45.7	41	-4.7
10	FC København	32	67.5	67	41.1	44	57.1	51	-6.1
11	Vejle Boldklub	32	36.3	36	53.8	60	33.9	24	-9.9
12	Randers FC	32	47.9	33	42.8	47	47.2	35	-12.2