AGF have recorded 14 expected goals (xG) across 9 Superliga games in 2026/2027, averaging 1.6 per match. K. Arnstad leads the squad with 2 expected goals (xG) - 0.34 per game. J. Bogere is next with 1.
Over their last 10 games, AGF are averaging 1.6 expected goals (xG) per match - J. Serra leads that period with 2. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of AGF vs Sønderjyske on 12.10.2026.
AGF average 1.6 expected goals (xG) per Superliga game in 2026/2027, based on 9 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.6 per match.
K. Arnstad leads AGF for expected goals (xG) in 2026/2027 with 2 in Superliga - an average of 0.34 per game. J. Bogere is second with 1.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare AGF's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
AGF have taken 6.5 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -4.8 goals against their xG, and +0.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 33.82 | 29 | -4.82 | 27.81 | 27 | +0.81 | 31.53 | 25 | -6.53 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.27 | 17 | -0.27 | 16.87 | 19 | -2.13 | 14.60 | 8 | -6.60 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.73 | 5 | -2.73 | 7.91 | 10 | -2.09 | 6.89 | 2 | -4.89 |
| Home | 9 | 16.28 | 14 | -2.28 | 11.54 | 11 | +0.54 | 15.24 | 12 | -3.24 |
| Away | 11 | 17.54 | 15 | -2.54 | 16.27 | 16 | +0.27 | 16.29 | 13 | -3.29 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Superliga | Horsens (A) | 2-2 | 1.17 | 1.42 | 1.19 | 1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Superliga | Nordsjælland (A) | 2-0 | 1.43 | 2.44 | 0.83 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | Superliga | Silkeborg (H) | 2-2 | 1.97 | 1.39 | 1.75 | 1 | W |
| 2 Sep | Superliga | Midtjylland (H) | 0-2 | 1.48 | 1.73 | 1.23 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Superliga | Randers FC (A) | 2-1 | 1.68 | 0.93 | 1.89 | 0 | W |
| 23 Aug | Superliga | Odense BK (H) | 2-2 | 2.15 | 1.00 | 2.10 | 1 | W |
| 14 Aug | Superliga | Viborg FF (A) | 2-1 | 1.81 | 1.26 | 1.74 | 0 | W |
| 1 Aug | Superliga | Lyngby (A) | 2-2 | 1.38 | 3.35 | 0.49 | 1 | L |
| 25 Jul | Superliga | Brøndby IF (H) | 1-1 | 2.00 | 0.86 | 2.13 | 1 | W |
| 17 May | Superliga | Viborg FF (H) | 6-2 | 2.20 | 2.49 | 1.25 | 3 | L |
| 10 May | Superliga | Brøndby IF (A) | 0-2 | 0.76 | 0.74 | 1.33 | 3 | D |
| 3 May | Superliga | Sønderjyske (H) | 2-1 | 1.73 | 1.19 | 1.74 | 3 | W |
| 26 Apr | Superliga | Midtjylland (H) | 0-0 | 1.14 | 1.74 | 0.99 | 1 | L |
| 23 Apr | Superliga | Nordsjælland (A) | 1-1 | 1.27 | 2.48 | 0.72 | 1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Superliga | Midtjylland (A) | 2-1 | 2.95 | 0.59 | 2.63 | 0 | W |
| 10 Apr | Superliga | Nordsjælland (H) | 1-1 | 2.82 | 0.38 | 2.71 | 1 | W |
| 6 Apr | Superliga | Viborg FF (A) | 1-2 | 2.05 | 0.78 | 2.21 | 3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Superliga | Brøndby IF (H) | 0-0 | 0.79 | 0.76 | 1.34 | 1 | D |
| 15 Mar | Superliga | Sønderjyske (A) | 1-1 | 1.37 | 1.12 | 1.54 | 1 | W |
| 1 Mar | Superliga | Vejle Boldklub (A) | 1-2 | 1.67 | 1.16 | 1.72 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Carstensen | midfielder | 11 | 553 | 1.86 | 3 | +1.14 | 0.30 |
| Callum McCowatt | midfielder | 3 | 127 | 0.36 | 1 | +0.64 | 0.25 |
| Janni Serra | attacker | 17 | 729 | 4.38 | 5 | +0.62 | 0.54 |
| Magnus Knudsen | midfielder | 20 | 1629 | 0.61 | 1 | +0.39 | 0.03 |
| Frederik Tingager | defender | 11 | 308 | 0.79 | 1 | +0.21 | 0.23 |
| Frederik Emmery | attacker | 18 | 1099 | 1.81 | 2 | +0.19 | 0.15 |
| Patrick Mortensen | attacker | 11 | 563 | 2.33 | 2 | -0.33 | 0.37 |
| Sebastian Jørgensen | attacker | 17 | 800 | 1.34 | 1 | -0.34 | 0.15 |
| Henrik Dalsgaard | defender | 11 | 907 | 2.50 | 2 | -0.50 | 0.25 |
| Markus Solbakken | midfielder | 4 | 186 | 0.55 | 0 | -0.55 | 0.27 |
| Gift Links | midfielder | 14 | 1206 | 1.59 | 1 | -0.59 | 0.12 |
| Kevin Yakob | midfielder | 10 | 692 | 2.02 | 1 | -1.02 | 0.26 |
| Mikael Anderson | midfielder | 7 | 475 | 1.28 | 0 | -1.28 | 0.24 |
| Tobias Bech | attacker | 20 | 1474 | 3.54 | 2 | -1.54 | 0.22 |
| James Bogere | attacker | 11 | 405 | 2.60 | 1 | -1.60 | 0.58 |
| Kristian Arnstad | attacker | 20 | 1724 | 4.15 | 2 | -2.15 | 0.22 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC København | 9 | 13.8 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 14.8 | 24 | +9.2 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 9 | 12.8 | 17 | 11.4 | 9 | 13.4 | 19 | +5.6 |
| 3 | Viborg FF | 9 | 15.3 | 15 | 12.3 | 8 | 14.5 | 17 | +2.5 |
| 4 | Horsens | 9 | 10.3 | 15 | 16.8 | 16 | 8.8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| 5 | Brøndby IF | 9 | 12.3 | 12 | 13.3 | 15 | 11.9 | 13 | +1.1 |
| 6 | Nordsjælland | 9 | 18.9 | 14 | 12.5 | 10 | 16.2 | 17 | +0.8 |
| 7 | Randers FC | 9 | 9.7 | 11 | 14.2 | 14 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| 8 | Silkeborg IF | 9 | 9.5 | 12 | 13.7 | 12 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| 9 | Sønderjyske Fodbold | 9 | 9.4 | 12 | 15.9 | 21 | 8.6 | 5 | -3.6 |
| 10 | Odense BK | 9 | 16.7 | 8 | 14.4 | 14 | 13.9 | 9 | -4.9 |
| 11 | Lyngby Boldklub | 9 | 16.6 | 10 | 11.5 | 16 | 14.7 | 7 | -7.7 |
| 12 | AGF | 9 | 15.1 | 11 | 14.4 | 17 | 13.4 | 5 | -8.4 |