Ethiopia Yellow Cards Stats 2026

Ethiopia Yellow Cards Stats 2026 - season overview

Ethiopia are averaging 1.2 yellow cards per game in 2026, with matches involving them seeing 2 cards on average. That puts them 14th of 40 for total cards per match among CAF World Cup Qualifiers teams on their 2026 record across all competitions. Below you'll find player booking-rate forecasts, the matchup risk read for the upcoming fixture against Mozambique, and a full match-by-match log.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which Ethiopia players get booked most often?

Use the booking-rate table on this page to see each Ethiopia player's yellow cards per qualifying appearance (≥20 minutes), plus their hit-rate over the last six appearances and current bookmaker odds to be carded.

How is the matchup risk score calculated?

Matchup risk blends the defender's fouls per game (40%), the opposition attacker's fouls drawn per game (40%), and the defender's underlying card rate (20%). Scores above 0.7 are flagged high risk, 0.4–0.7 medium and below 0.4 low.

Where do these yellow card stats come from?

All numbers come from match-level Sportmonks data ingested into Statz. Player odds are taken from Bet365 player markets when priced. Pre-match lineups are predicted lineups until team news lands, then confirmed.

What counts as a qualifying appearance?

A player must have featured for at least 20 minutes in a fixture for that match to count toward their booking rate and form. Cameo appearances are excluded so the rates aren't diluted.

How accurate are these predictions?

Yellow cards are inherently noisy - we surface signal (form, matchup, referee profile, market price), not certainties. Use the booking-rate table and matchup risk as inputs, not guarantees.

Does the referee affect the chance of a yellow card?

Yes. The referee profile module shows the assigned official's average yellows per match this season alongside their season fouls and red-card rate so you can adjust expectations for the upcoming fixture.

Ethiopia player yellow cards rates

Player	Position	Apps	Yellow cards	Per game	1+ hit rate
Kitika Jemma	attacker	1	1	1	100%
Mesfin Tafesse	attacker	1	1	1	100%
Suleman Hamid	defender	2	1	0.5	50%
Firew Getahun	goalkeeper	2	1	0.5	50%
Gatoch Panom	midfielder	2	1	0.5	50%
Ramkel James	defender	4	1	0.25	25%
Yared Baye	defender	4	1	0.25	25%
Chernet Gugsa	attacker	5	0	0	0%
Abubeker Nura	goalkeeper	4	0	0	0%
Bereket Desta	attacker	4	0	0	0%
Canaan Markneh	midfielder	4	0	0	0%
Wogene Gezahegn	attacker	4	0	0	0%
Ahmed Reshid	defender	3	0	0	0%
Bereket Waza	midfielder	3	0	0	0%
Asrat Tonjo	defender	2	0	0	0%
Biniam Ayten	midfielder	2	0	0	0%
Bekele Berhane	defender	2	0	0	0%
Abel Yalew Tilahun	attacker	2	0	0	0%
Fitsum Tilahun	attacker	2	0	0	0%
Habtamu Tekeste	midfielder	2	0	0	0%
Beneyam Demte	attacker	1	0	0	0%
Yared Moges		1	0	0	0%
Ramadan Yesuf	defender	1	0	0	0%
Abdulkarim Worku	midfielder	1	0	0	0%
Binyam Belay	attacker	1	0	0	0%

Ethiopia yellow cards match by match

Date	Competition	Opponent	Venue	Score	Team yellow cards	Opposition yellow cards	Match total
29 Sep 2026	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Senegal	Home	0-1	1	4	5
25 Sep 2026	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Sudan	Away	1-0	4	1	5
9 Jun 2026	Friendly International	Malawi	Home	1-1	0	0	0
6 Jun 2026	Friendly International	Malawi	Home	1-0	0	0	0
31 Mar 2026	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	São Tomé and Príncipe	Home	1-0	1	0	1
27 Mar 2026	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	São Tomé and Príncipe	Away	0-3	0	0	0
12 Oct 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Burkina Faso	Away	3-1	3	1	4
8 Oct 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Guinea-Bissau	Home	1-0	2	1	3
9 Sep 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Sierra Leone	Away	2-0	0	0	0
5 Sep 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Egypt	Away	2-0	1	1	2

Ethiopia cards 2026: last 10 games

Cards for per game: 2
Cards against per game: 1.33
Match total cards per game: 3.33
Games: 6
League rank for match cards: 15 of 44

Ethiopia Cards for 2026 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	3	1.33	100%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Away	3	2.67	100%	67%	67%	33%	0%
Overall	6	2	100%	50%	33%	17%	0%

Ethiopia Cards against 2026 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	3	1.67	67%	33%	33%	33%	0%
Away	3	1	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	6	1.33	83%	17%	17%	17%	0%

Ethiopia Match total 2026 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %	Over 5.5 %	Over 6.5 %
Home	3	3	67%	33%	33%	0%	0%
Away	3	3.67	67%	67%	33%	0%	0%
Overall	6	3.33	67%	50%	33%	0%	0%

Ethiopia Team cards 2026: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Team cards	Overall	Home	Away
Cards / match	2	1.33	2.67
Fouls / match	8.5	12.5	4.5
Fouls per yellow card	4.3	9.4	1.7
Cards over 0.5	100%	100%	100%
Cards over 1.5	50%	33%	67%
Cards over 2.5	33%	0%	67%
Cards over 3.5	17%	0%	33%
Cards over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Ethiopia Cards against 2026: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Cards against	Overall	Home	Away
Cards against / match	1.33	1.67	1
Cards against over 0.5	83%	67%	100%
Cards against over 1.5	17%	33%	0%
Cards against over 2.5	17%	33%	0%
Cards against over 3.5	17%	33%	0%
Cards against over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Ethiopia Match cards 2026: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Match cards	Overall	Home	Away
Match cards / match	3.33	3	3.67
Match cards over 2.5	67%	67%	67%
Match cards over 3.5	50%	33%	67%
Match cards over 4.5	33%	33%	33%
Match cards over 5.5	0%	0%	0%
Match cards over 6.5	0%	0%	0%

Ethiopia cards match by match 2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Cards for	Cards against	Match total	1st-half total
29 Sep	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Senegal (H)	0-1	1	4	5	-
25 Sep	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Sudan (A)	1-0	4	1	5	-
31 Mar	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	São Tomé and Príncipe (H)	1-0	1	0	1	-
12 Oct	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Burkina Faso (A)	3-1	3	1	4	3
8 Oct	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Guinea-Bissau (H)	1-0	2	1	3	-
5 Sep	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Egypt (A)	2-0	1	1	2	4

CAF World Cup Qualifiers cards table 2026: every team's cards per game

#	Team	MP	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 4.5 %
1	Seychelles	3	4.67	1.67	6.33	100%
2	Mali	5	1.8	3.4	5.2	40%
3	Togo	3	2.33	2.67	5	33%
4	Namibia	4	2.25	2.5	4.75	50%
5	Cameroon	6	2.33	2.33	4.67	33%
6	Cameroon	6	2.33	2.33	4.67	33%
7	Niger	5	2.4	2.2	4.6	60%
8	Sudan	3	1.67	2.67	4.33	33%
9	Benin	7	2.43	1.86	4.29	43%
10	Mauritania	4	1.25	3	4.25	50%
11	Lesotho	4	2	2	4	50%
12	Libya	4	1.75	2.25	4	25%
13	Algeria	9	2.11	1.78	3.89	33%
14	Tunisia	8	1.63	2.25	3.88	38%
15	Ethiopia	3	2	1.67	3.67	67%
16	Comoros	3	1.67	2	3.67	33%
17	Nigeria	11	1.91	1.73	3.64	9%
18	Nigeria	11	1.91	1.73	3.64	9%
19	Cape Verde Islands	10	1.5	2.1	3.6	30%
20	Senegal	12	2.08	1.42	3.5	33%
21	Mozambique	4	1.5	2	3.5	25%
22	Egypt	15	1.8	1.67	3.47	20%
23	Madagascar	3	2	1.33	3.33	0%
24	Liberia	6	1.67	1.67	3.33	17%
25	South Africa	10	1.7	1.6	3.3	20%
26	Gambia	4	1.75	1.5	3.25	25%
27	Morocco	16	1.19	2.06	3.25	19%
28	Tanzania	5	2	1.2	3.2	20%
29	Rwanda	4	2.25	0.75	3	25%
30	Sierra Leone	5	1.8	1.2	3	20%
31	Guinea-Bissau	4	1.75	1.25	3	25%
32	Burkina Faso	6	1.5	1.5	3	17%
33	Congo DR	9	1.22	1.78	3	22%
34	Congo DR	9	1.22	1.78	3	22%
35	Ghana	10	1.5	1.4	2.9	10%
36	Guinea	4	1	1.75	2.75	0%
37	Zambia	3	2	0.67	2.67	0%
38	Somalia	3	1.33	1.33	2.67	0%
39	Eritrea	3	1.33	1.33	2.67	0%
40	Zimbabwe	3	1	1.67	2.67	0%
41	Côte d'Ivoire	8	1.25	1.25	2.5	0%
42	Gabon	4	1.25	1.25	2.5	0%
43	Gabon	4	1.25	1.25	2.5	0%
44	Kenya	5	1.4	1	2.4	20%

Ethiopia cards against top-half and bottom-half teams 2026

Opponents	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 4.5 %
Vs top six	8	1.75	1.5	3.25	0%
Vs top half	8	1.75	1.5	3.25	0%
Vs bottom half	0	-	-	-	-
Vs bottom six	0	-	-	-	-

Ethiopia cards per game by competition, last three seasons

Competition	Season	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 4.5 %
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	2027	3	2	1.67	3.67	67%
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	2025	6	1.67	1	2.67	17%
Friendly International	2024	2	0.5	4.5	5	100%

Ethiopia next three opponents: cards per game this season

Kick-off	Opponent	Their match total	Their cards for	Their cards against	Match total at that venue	For at that venue	Against at that venue
Wed 11 Nov 00:00	Mozambique (away)	3.44	1.56	1.89	4	1.67	2.33
Sun 15 Nov 00:00	Mozambique (home)	3.44	1.56	1.89	3.17	1.5	1.67
Wed 24 Mar 00:00	Sudan (home)	3.86	1.86	2	4	2.4	1.6

Ethiopia players with the most games of 1+ cards 2026

#	Player	Position	Games with 1+	Apps	Hit rate
1	Mesfin Tafesse	attacker	1	1	100%
2	Gatoch Panom	midfielder	1	2	50%
3	Yared Baye	defender	1	2	50%

Mozambique yellow cards match by match, last 10 games (next opponent)

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Cards for	Cards against	Match total	1st-half total
29 Sep	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Sudan (H)	4-1	2	2	4	-
25 Sep	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Senegal (H)	1-1	3	2	5	-
9 Jun	Friendly International	Indonesia (A)	1-0	0	1	1	-
5 Jan	Africa Cup of Nations	Nigeria (A)	4-0	1	3	4	2
31 Dec	Africa Cup of Nations	Cameroon (H)	1-2	0	3	3	-
28 Dec	Africa Cup of Nations	Gabon (A)	2-3	2	2	4	3
24 Dec	Africa Cup of Nations	Ivory Coast (A)	1-0	2	1	3	1
17 Nov	Friendly International	Chad (A)	2-2	3	3	6	2
14 Nov	Friendly International	Morocco (A)	1-0	1	0	1	1